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STOCK COMPARISON

Hotel Grand Central vs Marriott International: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Hotel Grand Central (H18) and Marriott International (MAR) compare, as of Oct 2, 2026.

As of Oct 2, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Hotel Grand Central as the less overvalued of the two: Hotel Grand Central trades at S$0.71 versus a fair value of S$0.52 (−26.8%), while Marriott International trades at $355 versus $152 (−57.1%).
Hotel Grand Central
H18.SG · SGD · Consumer Discretionary
−26.8%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceS$0.71
Fair ValueS$0.52
Quality56/100
Marriott International
MAR · USD · Consumer Discretionary
−57.1%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$355
Fair Value$152
Quality67/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Hotel Grand CentralMarriott International
Valuation
n/aP/E (TTM)36.7×
n/aForward P/E (FY2027)27.0×
n/aMedian P/E at FY-end (10 FY, ex one-offs where documented)32.2×
2.82×P/S (TTM)12.94×
0.33×P/BNegative equity
2.5×EV/EBITDA22.9×
n/aPEG1.76×
−26.8%Fair value upside−57.1%
2.1%Dividend yield0.8%
S$0.02Dividend per share$2.74
Profitability
10.8%Operating margin65.3%
0.27×EBIT margin trend (5Y)19.75×
-2.2%Return on equityNegative equity
0.6%Return on assets9.8%
Growth
5.8%Revenue growth (YoY)11.1%
0.5%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)8.0%
9.0%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)19.9%
n/aValue creation/yr+24.5%
Balance & size
4.0×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)5.1×
n/aDebt / equityNegative equity
$410MMarket cap$96B
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy
Marriott International, median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 4 of the years ex one-offs: 32.2.
Forward P/E: price divided by the analyst consensus for the first fiscal year that has not started yet. The current year carries special items from quarters already reported.

Marriott International leads: 4 to 7 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Hotel Grand Centralof which business quality 57 · market factors 57 Marriott Internationalof which business quality 62 · market factors 61
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
6
54
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
35
48
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
77
56
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
70
48
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
93
94
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
94
63
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
43
53
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
40
71
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
82
90

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyHotel Grand CentralPrice S$0.71Marriott InternationalPrice $355
DCF Models+19.7%above the priceS$0.85−54.8%below the price$160
Earnings-Based−28.2%below the priceS$0.51−79.0%below the price$74.39
Dividend Discountn/a−86.8%below the price$46.91
Multiples+7.0%close to the priceS$0.76−54.3%below the price$162
Asset-Based+57.7%above the priceS$1.12n/a
Growth DCF+11.3%close to the priceS$0.79−64.4%below the price$126
Economic Profit−28.2%below the priceS$0.51−70.4%below the price$105
Growth Earningsn/a−46.0%below the price$191
Minimum−28.2%below the priceS$0.51−86.8%below the price$46.91
Maximum+57.7%above the priceS$1.12−46.0%below the price$191
Median+9.2%close to the priceS$0.78−64.4%below the price$126
Geometric mean+2.5%close to the priceS$0.73−68.3%below the price$113

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Hotel Grand Central: 3 of 13 models see the stock below the current price.

Marriott International: 23 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Hotel Grand Central
Price S$0.71
Fair Value S$0.52
Bear S$0.51Bull S$0.54
Marriott International
Price $355
Fair Value $152
Bear $81.13Bull $209

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Hotel Grand Central · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score56 · above median
Fair value upside−26.8% · below median

Marriott International · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score67 · Top 25%
Fair value upside−57.1% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Oct 2, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Hotel Grand Central as the less overvalued of the two: Hotel Grand Central trades at S$0.71 versus a fair value of S$0.52 (−26.8%), while Marriott International trades at $355 versus $152 (−57.1%).

Marriott International has the higher quality score (67/100).

Open Hotel Grand Central live analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.