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STOCK COMPARISON

Warrior Met Coal vs Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Warrior Met Coal (HCC) and Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT (ADMR) compare, as of Aug 10, 2026.

As of Aug 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT as the less overvalued of the two: Warrior Met Coal trades at $91.97 versus a fair value of $36.70 (-60%), while Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT trades at IDR 1,620 versus IDR 1,267 (-22%).
Warrior Met Coal
HCC · USD · Materials
-60%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$91.97
Fair Value$36.70
Quality38/100
Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT
ADMR.JK · IDR · Energy
-22%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceIDR 1,620
Fair ValueIDR 1,267
Quality41/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Warrior Met CoalAdaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT
Valuation
31.3×P/E (TTM)11.7×
2.88×P/S (TTM)5.89×
1.98×P/B3.93×
12.0×EV/EBITDA15.4×
0.4%Dividend yield—
$0.32Dividend per share—
Profitability
9%Net margin28%
17%Operating margin41%
6%Return on equity17%
3%Return on assets8%
Growth
54%Revenue growth (YoY)34%
-9.0%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)1.9%
10.8%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)50.8%
Balance & size
0.07×Debt / equity0.44×
$4BMarket cap$6B
expensiveGrowth qualityexpensive

Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT leads: 5 to 7 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Warrior Met Coalof which business quality 41 · market factors 66 Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PTof which business quality 42 · market factors 51
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
23
53
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
0
0
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
41
19
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
73
80
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
25
0
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
52
50
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
65
40
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
85
71
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
76
82

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Warrior Met Coal

Earnings-Based$12.75
Dividend Discount$4.13
Multiples$16.60
Asset-Based$27.17
Economic Profit$19.16
Growth Earnings$14.38

14 of 14 models see the stock below the current price.

Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT

Earnings-BasedIDR 3,076
MultiplesIDR 995
Asset-BasedIDR 543
Economic ProfitIDR 1,357
Growth EarningsIDR 3,438

8 of 14 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Warrior Met Coal
Bear $27.52Fair Value $36.70Bull $45.88
$91.97 = current price (white tick)
Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT
Bear IDR 905Fair Value IDR 1,267Bull IDR 3,981
IDR 1,620 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Warrior Met Coal · Materials

Quality score38 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-60% · bottom 25%

Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT · Energy

Quality score41 · below median
Fair value upside-22% · below median

Bottom line

As of Aug 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT as the less overvalued of the two: Warrior Met Coal trades at $91.97 versus a fair value of $36.70 (-60%), while Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT trades at IDR 1,620 versus IDR 1,267 (-22%).

Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT has the higher quality score (41/100).

See the full analysis →
Warrior Met Coal · Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.