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STOCK COMPARISON

Honeywell International vs Union Pacific: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Honeywell International (HON) and Union Pacific (UNP) compare, as of Sep 10, 2026.

As of Sep 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Honeywell International as the more attractively valued of the two: Honeywell International trades at $205 versus a fair value of $219 (+7%), while Union Pacific trades at $285 versus $141 (-50%).
Honeywell International
HON · USD · Industrials
+7%
upside to fair value
fairly valued
Price$205
Fair Value$219
Quality67/100
Union Pacific
UNP · USD · Industrials
-50%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$285
Fair Value$141
Quality67/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Honeywell InternationalUnion Pacific
Valuation
18.1×P/E (TTM)24.6×
1.90×P/S (TTM)7.25×
4.64×P/B9.70×
10.1×EV/EBITDA16.5×
8.32×PEG3.64×
+6.8%Fair value upside−50.4%
2.2%Dividend yield1.9%
$9.28Dividend per share$5.48
Profitability
21%Operating margin40%
1.00×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.00×
24%Return on equity41%
6%Return on assets9%
Growth
2%Revenue growth (YoY)3%
1.8%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-0.5%
2.8%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)4.6%
+0.8%Value creation/yr+9.4%
Balance & size
4.9×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)7.5×
1.76×Debt / equity1.64×
$72BMarket cap$179B
healthyGrowth qualityhealthy

Even match: 7 to 7 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Honeywell Internationalof which business quality 62 · market factors 42 Union Pacificof which business quality 63 · market factors 69
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
54
64
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
43
57
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
67
71
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
40
40
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
89
47
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
70
74
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
34
62
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
24
76
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
100
100

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyHoneywell InternationalPrice $205Union PacificPrice $285
DCF Models+7%close to the price$220-57%below the price$122
Earnings-Based-1%close to the price$203-66%below the price$97.30
Dividend Discount-40%below the price$123n/a
Multiples+30%above the price$266-37%below the price$180
Asset-Based-84%below the price$32.65-93%below the price$20.84
Growth DCF-7%close to the price$190-75%below the price$69.97
Economic Profit-45%below the price$114-57%below the price$121
Growth Earningsn/a-28%below the price$204
Minimum-84%below the price$32.65-93%below the price$20.84
Maximum+30%above the price$266-28%below the price$204
Median-7%close to the price$190-57%below the price$121
Geometric mean-32%below the price$140-66%below the price$96.44

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Honeywell International: 8 of 12 models see the stock below the current price.

Union Pacific: 23 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Honeywell International
Bear $139Fair Value $219Bull $392
$205 = current price (white tick)
Union Pacific
Bear $87.76Fair Value $141Bull $266
$285 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Honeywell International · Industrials

Quality score67 · Top 25%
Fair value upside+7% · above median

Union Pacific · Industrials

Quality score67 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-50% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Honeywell International as the more attractively valued of the two: Honeywell International trades at $205 versus a fair value of $219 (+7%), while Union Pacific trades at $285 versus $141 (-50%).

Union Pacific has the higher quality score (67/100).

See the full analysis →
Honeywell International · Union Pacific

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.