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STOCK COMPARISON

Harvey Norman Holdings vs Caseys General Stores: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Harvey Norman Holdings (HVN) and Caseys General Stores (CASY) compare, as of Aug 10, 2026.

As of Aug 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Harvey Norman Holdings as the less overvalued of the two: Harvey Norman Holdings trades at A$5.05 versus a fair value of A$4.24 (-16%), while Caseys General Stores trades at $834 versus $405 (-51%).
Harvey Norman Holdings
HVN.AU · AUD · Consumer Discretionary
-16%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceA$5.05
Fair ValueA$4.24
Quality66/100
Caseys General Stores
CASY · USD · Consumer Staples
-51%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$834
Fair Value$405
Quality65/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Harvey Norman HoldingsCaseys General Stores
Valuation
10.6×P/E (TTM)43.2×
1.36×P/S (TTM)1.75×
0.88×P/B7.75×
4.9×EV/EBITDA21.7×
3.53×PEG3.70×
6.1%Dividend yield0.3%
A$0.29Dividend per share$2.21
Profitability
18%Net margin4%
27%Operating margin5%
12%Return on equity19%
6%Return on assets8%
Growth
12%Revenue growth (YoY)15%
-0.2%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)5.2%
12.4%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)15.1%
Balance & size
0.08×Debt / equity0.59×
$4BMarket cap$31B
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy

Harvey Norman Holdings leads: 9 to 5 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Harvey Norman Holdingsof which business quality 61 · market factors 43 Caseys General Storesof which business quality 64 · market factors 78
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
45
67
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
59
64
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
60
48
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
56
70
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
80
49
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
77
77
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
32
72
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
24
89
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
82
84

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Harvey Norman Holdings

DCF ModelsA$7.80
Earnings-BasedA$4.64
Dividend DiscountA$3.92
MultiplesA$5.70
Asset-BasedA$2.58
Growth DCFA$6.85
Economic ProfitA$2.74
Growth EarningsA$7.81

10 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Caseys General Stores

DCF Models$370
Earnings-Based$190
Dividend Discount$39.53
Multiples$367
Asset-Based$71.55
Growth DCF$357
Economic Profit$215
Growth Earnings$326

26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Harvey Norman Holdings
Bear A$3.49Fair Value A$4.24Bull A$6.47
A$5.05 = current price (white tick)
Caseys General Stores
Bear $218Fair Value $405Bull $507
$834 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Harvey Norman Holdings · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score66 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-16% · below median

Caseys General Stores · Consumer Staples

Quality score65 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-51% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Aug 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Harvey Norman Holdings as the less overvalued of the two: Harvey Norman Holdings trades at A$5.05 versus a fair value of A$4.24 (-16%), while Caseys General Stores trades at $834 versus $405 (-51%).

Harvey Norman Holdings has the higher quality score (66/100).

See the full analysis →
Harvey Norman Holdings · Caseys General Stores

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.