Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how McDonald’s (MCD) and TJX Companies (TJX) compare, as of Aug 16, 2026.
As of Aug 16, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees TJX Companies as the less overvalued of the two: McDonald’s trades at $273 versus a fair value of $149 (-45%), while TJX Companies trades at $152 versus $84.95 (-44%).
McDonald’s
MCD · USD · Consumer Discretionary
-45%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$273
Fair Value$149
Quality68/100
TJX Companies
TJX · USD · Consumer Discretionary
-44%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$152
Fair Value$84.95
Quality70/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
McDonald’sTJX Companies
Valuation
22.6×P/E (TTM)28.8×
7.11×P/S (TTM)2.77×
—P/B16.75×
15.8×EV/EBITDA18.8×
2.56×PEG3.30×
2.6%Dividend yield1.1%
$7.26Dividend per share$1.76
Profitability
32%Net margin9%
44%Operating margin12%
—Return on equity61%
14%Return on assets14%
Growth
9%Revenue growth (YoY)9%
5.1%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)6.5%
7.0%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)13.4%
Balance & size
—Debt / equity0.18×
$195BMarket cap$171B
healthyGrowth qualityhealthy
McDonald’s leads: 7 to 4 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
McDonald’sof which business quality 65 · market factors 47TJX Companiesof which business quality 68 · market factors 62
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
64
85
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
46
41
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
57
56
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
97
90
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
30
47
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
18
57
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
91
97
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
McDonald’s
DCF Models$117
Earnings-Based$102
Dividend Discount$98.39
Multiples$225
Growth DCF$58.72
Economic Profit$113
Growth Earnings$209
21 of 21 models see the stock below the current price.
TJX Companies
DCF Models$92.07
Earnings-Based$49.34
Multiples$82.50
Asset-Based$6.18
Growth DCF$84.97
Economic Profit$68.73
Growth Earnings$80.22
24 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
McDonald’s
Bear $98.03Fair Value $149Bull $233
$273 = current price (white tick)
TJX Companies
Bear $62.07Fair Value $84.95Bull $108
$152 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
McDonald’s · Consumer Discretionary
Quality score68 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-45% · below median
TJX Companies · Consumer Discretionary
Quality score70 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-44% · below median
Bottom line
As of Aug 16, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees TJX Companies as the less overvalued of the two: McDonald’s trades at $273 versus a fair value of $149 (-45%), while TJX Companies trades at $152 versus $84.95 (-44%).
TJX Companies has the higher quality score (70/100).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
