Netflix vs Spotify Technology: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Netflix (NFLX) and Spotify Technology (SPOT) compare, as of Aug 13, 2026.
As of Aug 13, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Netflix as the less overvalued of the two: Netflix trades at $74.79 versus a fair value of $49.35 (-34%), while Spotify Technology trades at $501 versus $210 (-58%).
Netflix
NFLX · USD · Communication Services
-34%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$74.79
Fair Value$49.35
Quality87/100
Spotify Technology
SPOT · USD · Communication Services
-58%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$501
Fair Value$210
Quality69/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
NetflixSpotify Technology
Valuation
23.7×P/E (TTM)33.1×
6.59×P/S (TTM)5.69×
11.61×P/B11.99×
21.9×EV/EBITDA38.7×
1.44×PEG1.66×
Profitability
29%Net margin15%
32%Operating margin16%
48%Return on equity38%
15%Return on assets12%
Growth
16%Revenue growth (YoY)8%
12.6%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)13.6%
12.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)16.9%
Balance & size
0.51×Debt / equity—
$309BMarket cap$100B
healthyGrowth qualityhealthy
Netflix leads: 9 to 3 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
Netflixof which business quality 82 · market factors 21Spotify Technologyof which business quality 71 · market factors 33
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
85
77
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
81
62
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
78
33
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
39
27
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
20
46
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
4
17
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
98
61
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
Netflix
DCF Models$94.36
Earnings-Based$60.95
Multiples$43.58
Asset-Based$4.23
Growth DCF$64.20
Economic Profit$40.90
Growth Earnings$81.21
16 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.
Spotify Technology
DCF Models$347
Earnings-Based$203
Dividend Discount$3.62
Multiples$174
Asset-Based$27.13
Growth DCF$352
Economic Profit$142
Growth Earnings$289
26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Netflix
Bear $36.69Fair Value $49.35Bull $106
$74.79 = current price (white tick)
Spotify Technology
Bear $157Fair Value $210Bull $430
$501 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Netflix · Communication Services
Quality score87 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-34% · below median
Spotify Technology · Communication Services
Quality score69 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-58% · bottom 25%
Bottom line
As of Aug 13, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Netflix as the less overvalued of the two: Netflix trades at $74.79 versus a fair value of $49.35 (-34%), while Spotify Technology trades at $501 versus $210 (-58%).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
