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STOCK COMPARISON

NIO vs Toyota Motor Corp/: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how NIO (NIOIF) and Toyota Motor Corp/ (TM) compare, as of Aug 10, 2026.

As of Aug 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Toyota Motor Corp/ as the more attractively valued of the two: NIO trades at $5.20 versus a fair value of $3.06 (-41%), while Toyota Motor Corp/ trades at $190 versus $225 (+18%).
NIO
NIOIF · USD · Consumer Discretionary
-41%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$5.20
Fair Value$3.06
Quality28/100
Toyota Motor Corp/
TM · USD · Consumer Discretionary
+18%
upside to fair value
undervalued
Price$190
Fair Value$225
Quality46/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

NIOToyota Motor Corp/
Valuation
P/E (TTM)9.8×
0.13×P/S (TTM)
3.13×P/B
PEG1.54×
Dividend yield3.5%
Dividend per share$95.00
Profitability
-9%Net margin8%
-1%Operating margin5%
-84%Return on equity10%
-4%Return on assets2%
Growth
112%Revenue growth (YoY)2%
20.0%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)10.9%
39.3%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)13.2%
Balance & size
2.07×Debt / equity0.64×
$13BMarket cap$213B
expensiveGrowth qualityexpensive

Toyota Motor Corp/ leads: 3 to 5 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

NIOof which business quality 30 · market factors 43 Toyota Motor Corp/of which business quality 45 · market factors 50
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
13
33
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
95
29
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
10
33
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
17
49
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
76
43
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
35
87
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
42
34
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
53
37
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
0
92

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

NIO

Dividend Discount$21.44
Asset-Based$1.18

1 of 3 models see the stock below the current price.

Toyota Motor Corp/

DCF Models$225
Earnings-Based$152
Multiples$394
Asset-Based$171
Growth DCF$186
Economic Profit$181
Growth Earnings$484

9 of 22 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

NIO
Bear $1.44Fair Value $3.06Bull $4.99
$5.20 = current price (white tick)
Toyota Motor Corp/
Bear $194Fair Value $225Bull $427
$190 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

NIO · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score28 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-41% · below median

Toyota Motor Corp/ · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score46 · below median
Fair value upside+18% · above median

Bottom line

As of Aug 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Toyota Motor Corp/ as the more attractively valued of the two: NIO trades at $5.20 versus a fair value of $3.06 (-41%), while Toyota Motor Corp/ trades at $190 versus $225 (+18%).

Toyota Motor Corp/ has the higher quality score (46/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.