STOCK COMPARISON
Paccar vs Caterpillar: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Paccar (PCAR) and Caterpillar (CAT) compare, as of Aug 8, 2026.
As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Paccar as the less overvalued of the two: Paccar trades at $132 versus a fair value of $94.80 (-28%), while Caterpillar trades at $857 versus $308 (-64%).
Paccar
PCAR · USD · Industrials
-28%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$132
Fair Value$94.80
Quality59/100
Caterpillar
CAT · USD · Industrials
-64%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$857
Fair Value$308
Quality65/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
PaccarCaterpillar
Valuation
27.0×P/E (TTM)47.2×
2.39×P/S (TTM)6.11×
3.45×P/B20.27×
21.2×EV/EBITDA31.1×
1.28×PEG2.25×
1.0%Dividend yield0.6%
$1.32Dividend per share$6.04
Profitability
9%Net margin13%
10%Operating margin18%
13%Return on equity51%
4%Return on assets9%
Growth
-9%Revenue growth (YoY)22%
-0.4%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)4.4%
8.7%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)10.1%
Balance & size
0.57×Debt / equity1.44×
$66BMarket cap$432B
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy
Even match: 7 to 7 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
Paccarof which business quality 54 · market factors 71
Caterpillarof which business quality 62 · market factors 63
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
39
61
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
9
22
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
64
68
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
69
51
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
55
72
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
68
32
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
63
72
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
89
84
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
80
100
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
Paccar
DCF Models$98.12
Earnings-Based$41.37
Dividend Discount$75.80
Multiples$83.51
Asset-Based$24.52
Growth DCF$96.76
Economic Profit$46.03
Growth Earnings$68.85
26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.
Caterpillar
DCF Models$360
Earnings-Based$151
Dividend Discount$111
Multiples$331
Asset-Based$31.01
Growth DCF$347
Economic Profit$220
Growth Earnings$345
26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Paccar
Bear $62.16Fair Value $94.80Bull $119
$132 = current price (white tick)
Caterpillar
Bear $196Fair Value $308Bull $403
$857 = current price (white tick)
Compare two other stocks
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Paccar · Industrials
Quality score59 · above median
Fair value upside-28% · below median
Caterpillar · Industrials
Quality score65 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-64% · bottom 25%
Bottom line
As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Paccar as the less overvalued of the two: Paccar trades at $132 versus a fair value of $94.80 (-28%), while Caterpillar trades at $857 versus $308 (-64%).
Caterpillar has the higher quality score (65/100).
See the full analysis →
More comparisons
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
