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STOCK COMPARISON

Posti Group Oyj vs United Parcel Service: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Posti Group Oyj (POSTI) and United Parcel Service (UPS) compare, as of Sep 25, 2026.

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees United Parcel Service as the more attractively valued of the two: Posti Group Oyj trades at €13.26 versus a fair value of €10.41 (-21%), while United Parcel Service trades at $95.82 versus $108 (+13%).
Posti Group Oyj
POSTI.HE · EUR · Industrials
-21%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price€13.26
Fair Value€10.41
Quality53/100
United Parcel Service
UPS · USD · Industrials
+13%
upside to fair value
undervalued
Price$95.82
Fair Value$108
Quality62/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Posti Group OyjUnited Parcel Service
Valuation
18.0×P/E (TTM)19.0×
n/aP/E ex one-offs (FY2025)13.4×
0.42×P/S (TTM)1.13×
2.19×P/B6.14×
6.7×EV/EBITDA9.9×
n/aPEG1.85×
−21.5%Fair value upside+12.5%
6.3%Dividend yield6.8%
€0.84Dividend per share$6.56
Profitability
5%Operating margin6%
1.16×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.83×
11%Return on equity33%
4%Return on assets7%
Growth
-1%Revenue growth (YoY)-2%
-4.3%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-3.9%
n/aAvg. growth/yr (5Y)1.0%
+7.1%Value creation/yr+12.6%
Balance & size
2.5×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)7.8×
0.65×Debt / equity1.45×
$606MMarket cap$100B
weakGrowth qualityweak
The P/E excluding one-off items is only shown where the special items are documented in the accounts (our own raw data or SEC filings). If one side lacks it, the reported P/E stays scored.

United Parcel Service leads: 6 to 7 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Posti Group Oyjof which business quality 51 · market factors 93 United Parcel Serviceof which business quality 59 · market factors 52
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
57
64
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
24
31
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
40
45
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
29
47
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
94
95
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
81
63
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
99
45
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
97
49
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
82
89

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyPosti Group OyjPrice €13.26United Parcel ServicePrice $95.82
DCF Models-13%close to the price€11.58+14%close to the price$109
Earnings-Based-60%below the price€5.34-27%below the price$69.77
Dividend Discount+200%above the price€39.82n/a
Multiples-4%close to the price€12.78+47%above the price$141
Asset-Based-65%below the price€4.58-85%below the price$14.56
Growth DCF-11%close to the price€11.82+5%close to the price$101
Economic Profit-56%below the price€5.86-19%below the price$77.20
Growth Earnings-30%below the price€9.22+32%above the price$127
Minimum-65%below the price€4.58-85%below the price$14.56
Maximum+200%above the price€39.82+47%above the price$141
Median-22%below the price€10.40+5%close to the price$101
Geometric mean-25%below the price€9.90-20%below the price$76.56

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Posti Group Oyj: 16 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

United Parcel Service: 7 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Posti Group Oyj
Price €13.26
Fair Value €10.41
Bear €7.28Bull €15.23
United Parcel Service
Price $95.82
Fair Value $108
Bear $62.73Bull $165

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Posti Group Oyj · Industrials

Quality score53 · above median
Fair value upside-21% · below median

United Parcel Service · Industrials

Quality score62 · Top 25%
Fair value upside+13% · above median

Bottom line

As of Sep 25, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees United Parcel Service as the more attractively valued of the two: Posti Group Oyj trades at €13.26 versus a fair value of €10.41 (-21%), while United Parcel Service trades at $95.82 versus $108 (+13%).

United Parcel Service has the higher quality score (62/100).

Open United Parcel Service live analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.