Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how RTX (RTX) and Union Pacific (UNP) compare, as of Aug 13, 2026.
As of Aug 13, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Union Pacific as the less overvalued of the two: RTX trades at $224 versus a fair value of $88.37 (-61%), while Union Pacific trades at $293 versus $145 (-51%).
RTX
RTX · USD · Industrials
-61%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$224
Fair Value$88.37
Quality63/100
Union Pacific
UNP · USD · Industrials
-51%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$293
Fair Value$145
Quality67/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
RTXUnion Pacific
Valuation
36.4×P/E (TTM)24.6×
2.90×P/S (TTM)7.25×
4.02×P/B9.70×
18.9×EV/EBITDA16.5×
2.67×PEG3.64×
1.4%Dividend yield1.8%
$2.72Dividend per share$5.48
Profitability
8%Net margin29%
13%Operating margin40%
12%Return on equity41%
4%Return on assets9%
Growth
9%Revenue growth (YoY)3%
9.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-0.5%
9.4%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)4.6%
Balance & size
0.53×Debt / equity1.64×
$262BMarket cap$179B
healthyGrowth qualityhealthy
Even match: 7 to 7 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
RTXof which business quality 59 · market factors 81Union Pacificof which business quality 63 · market factors 71
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
34
64
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
59
57
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
94
47
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
88
74
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
70
63
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
92
80
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
85
100
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
RTX
DCF Models$85.20
Earnings-Based$43.16
Dividend Discount$46.61
Multiples$88.62
Asset-Based$32.46
Growth DCF$77.57
Economic Profit$46.25
Growth Earnings$87.68
25 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.
Union Pacific
DCF Models$122
Earnings-Based$97.30
Multiples$180
Asset-Based$20.84
Growth DCF$69.97
Economic Profit$121
Growth Earnings$204
23 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
RTX
Bear $52.65Fair Value $88.37Bull $116
$224 = current price (white tick)
Union Pacific
Bear $89.73Fair Value $145Bull $266
$293 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
RTX · Industrials
Quality score63 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-61% · bottom 25%
Union Pacific · Industrials
Quality score67 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-51% · below median
Bottom line
As of Aug 13, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Union Pacific as the less overvalued of the two: RTX trades at $224 versus a fair value of $88.37 (-61%), while Union Pacific trades at $293 versus $145 (-51%).
Union Pacific has the higher quality score (67/100).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
