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RTX Corporation (RTX) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $262B

RC RTX Corporation logo RTX Corporation RTX · US
Price$223.25
Fair Value$88.37
Upside-60.4%
Quality69/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.39% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: High Range $52.65 – $116.42 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from $92.79 to $88.37 (−4.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +11.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 60% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($116.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($52.65 to $116.42) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$223.25 $65.57 Fair Value $88.37 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $65.57 – $223.25 · fair‑value band $52.65 – $116.42 · the $223.25 price screens above the $88.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

RTX Corporation (RTX) currently trades at $223.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $88.37, implying the stock looks roughly 60.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, RTX Corporation generated revenue of $90.4B at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue grew 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.6%. Net debt stands at $32.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $52.65 (bear case) to $116.42 (bull case); at $223.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at -60%, RTX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $49.67 $81.75 $128.61 80
Residual Income $43.77 $49.34 $80.37 76
Rev-Margin DCF $40.51 $73.38 $109.52 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $47.67 $82.49 $135.85 38
Owner Earnings $52.30 $89.49 $146.50 31
5Y Revenue Exit $40.51 $72.85 $113.04 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $58.82 $105.99 $159.45 41
5Y P/E Exit $46.66 $83.98 $121.72 38
10Y Revenue Exit $40.62 $70.72 $108.83 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $54.24 $93.84 $143.98 37
10Y P/E Exit $46.41 $78.48 $115.40 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $33.99 $88.27 $115.08 54
PEG = 1.0 $16.73 $23.89 $31.06 46
EPV $33.70 $43.16 $51.57 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $25.53 $53.27 $93.77 70
DDM Multi-Stage $25.53 $39.94 $56.16 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $74.98 $99.98 $124.97 63
P/S Multiple $63.74 $84.98 $106.23 58
P/B Multiple $63.74 $84.98 $106.23 55
EV/EBIT $69.15 $98.85 $128.54 53
EV/EBITDA $76.10 $108.11 $140.12 54
EV/Revenue $40.11 $65.85 $91.59 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $24.22 $32.46 $48.45 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $49.67 $81.75 $128.61 80
Rev-Margin DCF $40.51 $73.38 $109.52 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $43.77 $49.34 $80.37 76
ROIC Compounder $33.70 $43.16 $54.43 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $58.69 $83.84 $109.00 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($84.98) versus Asset-Based ($32.46). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $90.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.7%
Net margin 8.0%
Return on equity 11.6%
Free cash flow $7.9B FY2025
P/E ratio 36.4
More key figures
Operating margin 13.2%
EPS (TTM) $5.35
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +32.5%
Net debt $32.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 92
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

RTX Corporation, an aerospace and defense company, provides systems and services for commercial, military, and government customers worldwide. It operates through three segments: Collins Aerospace (Collins), Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon.

Full company description

RTX Corporation, an aerospace and defense company, provides systems and services for commercial, military, and government customers worldwide. It operates through three segments: Collins Aerospace (Collins), Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon. The Collins segment offers aerospace and defense products, and aftermarket services for civil and military aircraft manufacturers and commercial airlines, as well as regional, business, and general aviation, defense, and commercial space operations. This segment designs, manufactures, and supplies electric power generation and management and distribution, environmental control, flight control, air data and aircraft sensing, engine control, and engine nacelle systems, as well as engine components; cabin interiors, including seating, oxygen, food and beverage preparation, storage and galley, lavatory, and wastewater management systems; connected aviation solutions and services; and systems solutions for connected battlespace, test and training range systems, crew escape systems, and simulation and training. It also provides spare parts, overhaul and repair, engineering and technical support, training and fleet management solutions, and asset and information management services. The Pratt & Whitney segment supplies aircraft engines for commercial, military, business jet, and general aviation customers; and produces, sells, and services military and commercial auxiliary power units, as well as offers fleet management and aftermarket maintenance, repair, and overhaul services. The Raytheon segment provides defensive and offensive threat detection, tracking, and mitigation capabilities for government and commercial customers. This segment offers sensors, mission orchestration and satellite control products, and software. The company was formerly known as Raytheon Technologies Corporation and changed its name to RTX Corporation in July 2023. RTX Corporation was incorporated in 1934 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

RTX Corporation reported revenue of $88.6B in FY2025 versus $64.4B in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was $6.7B in FY2025, compounding +14.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$88.6B
Latest YoY
+9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+4.5%
Revenue +8.3%/yr
FY21 $64.4B
FY22 $67.1B
FY23 $68.9B
FY24 $80.7B
FY25 $88.6B
Net income +14.9%/yr
FY21 $3.9B
FY22 $5.2B
FY23 $3.4B
FY24 $4.8B
FY25 $6.7B

RTX screens 60% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "RTX Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RTX

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 227 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −60% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth 9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.53× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 36.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.02× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.90× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 33.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 18.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 44 · sector 47
PAST 46 · sector 39
HEALTH 74 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 28 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $381.22 $116.71 -69%
Airbus SE 1AIR €206.30 €92.85 -55%
The Boeing Company BA $217.11 $48.20 -78%
China CSSC Holdings 600150 ¥34.31 ¥21.90 -36%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 466,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -41%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 967,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -41%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 337.50 TRY 130.70 TRY -61%
Saab AB SAABB kr 520.40 kr 212.84 -59%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG kr 277.50 kr 106.93 -61%
HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering Co 009540 354,000 KRW 643,950 KRW +82%

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Frequently asked questions

Is RTX Corporation (RTX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $88.37 versus a price of $223.25, about −60% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RTX?
Our model-based fair value for RTX Corporation is $88.37 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $223.25.
What is the quality score of RTX?
RTX Corporation has a Quality Score of 69/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of RTX Corporation (RTX)?
RTX Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $90.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RTX?
The net profit margin of RTX Corporation is about 8.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does RTX Corporation pay a dividend?
RTX Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.58% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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