Stadler Rail vs Union Pacific: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Stadler Rail (SRAIL) and Union Pacific (UNP) compare, as of Aug 15, 2026.
As of Aug 15, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Stadler Rail as the less overvalued of the two: Stadler Rail trades at CHF 24.28 versus a fair value of CHF 15.35 (-37%), while Union Pacific trades at $294 versus $141 (-52%).
Stadler Rail
SRAIL.SW · CHF · Industrials
-37%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceCHF 24.28
Fair ValueCHF 15.35
Quality43/100
Union Pacific
UNP · USD · Industrials
-52%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$294
Fair Value$141
Quality67/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
Stadler RailUnion Pacific
Valuation
28.1×P/E (TTM)24.6×
0.78×P/S (TTM)7.25×
3.53×P/B9.70×
11.0×EV/EBITDA16.5×
—PEG3.64×
2.1%Dividend yield1.8%
CHF 0.50Dividend per share$5.48
Profitability
2%Net margin29%
5%Operating margin40%
12%Return on equity41%
2%Return on assets9%
Growth
16%Revenue growth (YoY)3%
-0.6%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-0.5%
3.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)4.6%
Balance & size
0.62×Debt / equity1.64×
$3BMarket cap$179B
expensiveGrowth qualityhealthy
Union Pacific leads: 6 to 7 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
Stadler Railof which business quality 38 · market factors 63Union Pacificof which business quality 63 · market factors 71
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
29
64
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
60
57
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
72
47
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
74
74
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
54
63
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
66
81
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
82
100
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
Stadler Rail
Earnings-BasedCHF 13.54
Dividend DiscountCHF 2.95
MultiplesCHF 20.64
Asset-BasedCHF 5.44
Economic ProfitCHF 11.44
Growth EarningsCHF 15.35
13 of 15 models see the stock below the current price.
Union Pacific
DCF Models$122
Earnings-Based$97.30
Multiples$180
Asset-Based$20.84
Growth DCF$69.97
Economic Profit$121
Growth Earnings$204
23 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Stadler Rail
Bear CHF 10.75Fair Value CHF 15.35Bull CHF 19.96
CHF 24.28 = current price (white tick)
Union Pacific
Bear $87.76Fair Value $141Bull $266
$294 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Stadler Rail · Industrials
Quality score43 · below median
Fair value upside-37% · below median
Union Pacific · Industrials
Quality score67 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-52% · below median
Bottom line
As of Aug 15, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Stadler Rail as the less overvalued of the two: Stadler Rail trades at CHF 24.28 versus a fair value of CHF 15.35 (-37%), while Union Pacific trades at $294 versus $141 (-52%).
Union Pacific has the higher quality score (67/100).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
