Stadler Rail AG (SRAIL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CH · Market cap CHF 2.3B
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from CHF 14.85 to CHF 15.35 (+3.4%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price +1.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range CHF 17.78 – CHF 24.15 · fair‑value band CHF 10.75 – CHF 19.96 · the CHF 23.54 price screens above the CHF 15.35 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Stadler Rail AG (SRAIL) currently trades at CHF 23.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 15.35 — implying the stock looks roughly 34.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Stadler Rail AG generated revenue of CHF 3.7B at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue grew 16.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. Net debt stands at CHF 275M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Stadler Rail AG, through its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of trains in Switzerland, Germany, Austria, Western and Eastern Europe, the Americas, the CIS countries, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Rolling Stock; Service & Components; and Signalling. The Rolling Stock segment manufactures various rail vehicles comprising high-speed, intercity, regional trains, city transport, locomotives, and tailor made, as well as passenger coaches, light rails, and trams. The Service & Component segment provides revision, spare parts, vehicle repair, modernization and overhauling, and maintenance services; and supplies vehicle components, such as car bodies or bogies. The Signalling segment develops and distributes various signalling solutions for vehicles and infrastructures. This segment offers various solutions in the areas of train protection, communication-based train control for driverless operation, automatic train operation, driving assi…
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Stadler Rail AG reported revenue of CHF 3.7B in FY2025 versus CHF 3.6B in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 88.0M in FY2025, compounding −9.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
6 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | 4,617 MXN | 2,349 MXN | -49% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $46.20 | $11.13 | -76% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $89.60 | $29.46 | -67% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNI | $121.23 | $57.36 | -53% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $308.93 | $102.07 | -67% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $260.40 | $132.12 | -49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.