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STOCK COMPARISON

Target vs Walmart: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Target (TGT) and Walmart (WMT) compare, as of Aug 8, 2026.

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Target as the less overvalued of the two: Target trades at $147 versus a fair value of $118 (-20%), while Walmart trades at $112 versus $48.65 (-57%).
Target
TGT · USD · Consumer Staples
-20%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$147
Fair Value$118
Quality66/100
Walmart
WMT · USD · Consumer Staples
-57%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$112
Fair Value$48.65
Quality60/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

TargetWalmart
Valuation
18.5×P/E (TTM)39.5×
0.60×P/S (TTM)1.25×
3.94×P/B9.10×
8.7×EV/EBITDA20.8×
2.57×PEG4.30×
3.3%Dividend yield0.9%
$4.54Dividend per share$0.95
Profitability
3%Net margin3%
5%Operating margin4%
22%Return on equity24%
6%Return on assets7%
Growth
7%Revenue growth (YoY)7%
-1.3%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)5.3%
2.3%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)5.0%
Balance & size
0.89×Debt / equity0.35×
$64BMarket cap$906B
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy

Target leads: 8 to 6 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Targetof which business quality 58 · market factors 78 Walmartof which business quality 61 · market factors 53
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
68
71
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
31
38
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
39
37
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
58
62
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
70
78
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
64
85
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
76
36
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
97
47
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
92
89

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Target

DCF Models$114
Earnings-Based$79.74
Multiples$151
Asset-Based$23.85
Growth DCF$98.37
Economic Profit$81.08
Growth Earnings$135

19 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Walmart

DCF Models$44.67
Earnings-Based$23.95
Multiples$50.90
Asset-Based$8.39
Growth DCF$38.48
Economic Profit$30.59
Growth Earnings$48.63

24 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Target
Bear $66.67Fair Value $118Bull $184
$147 = current price (white tick)
Walmart
Bear $27.97Fair Value $48.65Bull $72.21
$112 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Target · Consumer Staples

Quality score66 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-20% · below median

Walmart · Consumer Staples

Quality score60 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-57% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Target as the less overvalued of the two: Target trades at $147 versus a fair value of $118 (-20%), while Walmart trades at $112 versus $48.65 (-57%).

Target has the higher quality score (66/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.