Toyota Motor vs Xpeng: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Toyota Motor (TM) and Xpeng (XPEV) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
Xpeng leads: 3 to 6 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
What the models say
How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.
▲above the price, more than 15% above ●close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price ▼below the price, more than 15% below
| Model family | Toyota MotorPrice $189 | XpengPrice $11.14 |
|---|---|---|
| DCF Models | ▲+21%above the price$228 | ▲+1516%above the price$180 |
| Earnings-Based | ▼-18%below the price$155 | n/a |
| Multiples | ▲+112%above the price$400 | ▲+755%above the price$95.24 |
| Asset-Based | ●-8%close to the price$174 | ▲+134%above the price$26.04 |
| Growth DCF | ●0%close to the price$189 | ▲+1564%above the price$185 |
| Economic Profit | ●-3%close to the price$184 | n/a |
| Growth Earnings | ▲+160%above the price$491 | n/a |
| Minimum | ▼-18%below the price$155 | ▲+134%above the price$26.04 |
| Maximum | ▲+160%above the price$491 | ▲+1564%above the price$185 |
| Median | ●0%close to the price$189 | ▲+1135%above the price$138 |
| Geometric mean | ▲+26%above the price$237 | ▲+756%above the price$95.37 |
Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.
Toyota Motor: 7 of 22 models see the stock below the current price.
Xpeng: 0 of 7 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Compare two other stocks
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Toyota Motor · Consumer Discretionary
Xpeng · Consumer Discretionary
Bottom line
As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Toyota Motor as the more attractively valued of the two: Toyota Motor trades at $189 versus a fair value of $228 (+21%), while Xpeng trades at $11.14 versus $9.33 (-16%).
Xpeng has the higher quality score (59/100).
See the full analysis →More comparisons
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.