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STOCK COMPARISON

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. vs Saudi Aramco: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. (XPBRA) and Saudi Aramco (2222) compare, as of Aug 8, 2026.

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Saudi Aramco as the less overvalued of the two: Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. trades at €7.26 versus a fair value of €2.35 (-68%), while Saudi Aramco trades at SAR 26.50 versus SAR 20.14 (-24%).
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.
XPBRA.MC · EUR · Energy
-68%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price€7.26
Fair Value€2.35
Quality68/100
Saudi Aramco
2222.SR · SAR · Energy
-24%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceSAR 26.50
Fair ValueSAR 20.14
Quality75/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.Saudi Aramco
Valuation
5.1×P/E (TTM)17.0×
0.23×P/S (TTM)0.99×
1.51×P/B1.13×
0.7×EV/EBITDA1.9×
4.05×PEG4.27×
Dividend yield5.1%
€2.99Dividend per shareSAR 1.34
Profitability
22%Net margin22%
32%Operating margin48%
26%Return on equity22%
8%Return on assets19%
Growth
0%Revenue growth (YoY)9%
-10.5%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)14.2%
Balance & size
0.32×Debt / equity0.14×
$115BMarket cap$1.7T
weakGrowth qualitymixed

Saudi Aramco leads: 5 to 7 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.of which business quality 58 · market factors 75 Saudi Aramcoof which business quality 70 · market factors 68
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
59
70
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
32
26
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
71
72
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
46
82
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
52
80
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
77
100
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
66
48
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
88
65
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
84
82

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.

DCF Models€2.13
Earnings-Based€1.80
Multiples€2.87
Asset-Based€0.47
Growth DCF€1.92
Economic Profit€1.90
Growth Earnings€2.75

22 of 22 models see the stock below the current price.

Saudi Aramco

DCF ModelsSAR 22.50
Earnings-BasedSAR 18.95
Dividend DiscountSAR 19.16
MultiplesSAR 23.64
Asset-BasedSAR 4.13
Growth DCFSAR 19.90
Economic ProfitSAR 15.52
Growth EarningsSAR 22.72

19 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.
Bear €1.73Fair Value €2.35Bull €3.40
€7.26 = current price (white tick)
Saudi Aramco
Bear SAR 14.55Fair Value SAR 20.14Bull SAR 25.18
SAR 26.50 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. · Energy

Quality score68 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-68% · bottom 25%

Saudi Aramco · Energy

Quality score75 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-24% · below median

Bottom line

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Saudi Aramco as the less overvalued of the two: Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. trades at €7.26 versus a fair value of €2.35 (-68%), while Saudi Aramco trades at SAR 26.50 versus SAR 20.14 (-24%).

Saudi Aramco has the higher quality score (75/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.