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STOCK COMPARISON

XPO Logistics vs Old Dominion Freight Line: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how XPO Logistics (XPO) and Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) compare, as of Aug 8, 2026.

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Old Dominion Freight Line as the less overvalued of the two: XPO Logistics trades at $196 versus a fair value of $56.52 (-71%), while Old Dominion Freight Line trades at $211 versus $103 (-51%).
XPO Logistics
XPO · USD · Industrials
-71%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$196
Fair Value$56.52
Quality51/100
Old Dominion Freight Line
ODFL · USD · Industrials
-51%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$211
Fair Value$103
Quality71/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

XPO LogisticsOld Dominion Freight Line
Valuation
73.6×P/E (TTM)47.6×
3.03×P/S (TTM)8.71×
13.52×P/B11.03×
21.6×EV/EBITDA27.8×
2.28×PEG3.44×
—Dividend yield0.5%
—Dividend per share$1.13
Profitability
4%Net margin18%
9%Operating margin24%
20%Return on equity23%
6%Return on assets15%
Growth
7%Revenue growth (YoY)-3%
1.9%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-4.2%
5.7%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)6.5%
Balance & size
1.64×Debt / equity0.01×
$25BMarket cap$48B
healthyGrowth qualitymixed

Old Dominion Freight Line leads: 5 to 8 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

XPO Logisticsof which business quality 46 · market factors 60 Old Dominion Freight Lineof which business quality 71 · market factors 65
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
44
78
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
39
18
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
45
69
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
35
81
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
40
72
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
24
48
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
70
70
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
85
78
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
82
100

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

XPO Logistics

DCF Models$76.94
Earnings-Based$61.96
Dividend Discount$57.55
Multiples$55.57
Asset-Based$10.62
Growth DCF$79.28
Economic Profit$41.18
Growth Earnings$79.77

26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Old Dominion Freight Line

DCF Models$103
Earnings-Based$53.11
Dividend Discount$19.94
Multiples$82.50
Asset-Based$13.89
Growth DCF$89.98
Economic Profit$57.53
Growth Earnings$84.30

26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

XPO Logistics
Bear $23.59Fair Value $56.52Bull $70.65
$196 = current price (white tick)
Old Dominion Freight Line
Bear $61.39Fair Value $103Bull $129
$211 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

XPO Logistics · Industrials

Quality score51 · above median
Fair value upside-71% · bottom 25%

Old Dominion Freight Line · Industrials

Quality score71 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-51% · below median

Bottom line

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Old Dominion Freight Line as the less overvalued of the two: XPO Logistics trades at $196 versus a fair value of $56.52 (-71%), while Old Dominion Freight Line trades at $211 versus $103 (-51%).

Old Dominion Freight Line has the higher quality score (71/100).

See the full analysis →
XPO Logistics · Old Dominion Freight Line

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.