Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd stock ¥0.95, price ¥5.11, upside -81.4%, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value 30%+ above price?No
Quality 50+?No
In an uptrend?No
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.91 – ¥8.65 · fair‑value band ¥0.5700 – ¥1.50 · the ¥5.11 price screens above the ¥0.9500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 27, 2026.
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Xiamen Xindeco Ltd. engages in the automobile distribution, supply chain, and information technology businesses in China and internationally. The company involved in the non-ferrous metal and ferrous bulk commodity trade activities; and car dealership business.
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It also researches and develops, manufactures, and sells application integration services for a series of software and hardware products, such as RFID electronic tags, reading and writing equipment, and RFID solutions; and develops smart city-related solutions.
In addition, the company engages in the research and development, production, and sale of LED packaging and related application products, including in-line LED tubes for display screens, SMD LED tubes for display screens, high-power and low-power white LEDs, other packaging products, LED road lighting fixtures, LED indoor lighting fixtures, and other application products that are used in flat panel display, general white light, special lighting, indoor and outdoor lighting, and other fields.
Xiamen Xindeco Ltd. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Xiamen, China.
Stock analysis
Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701) currently trades at ¥5.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.9500, 81.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ¥2.04 per share, and 1 of the 21 models we run sit above the ¥5.11 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.3200, and 20 of the 21 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.5700 (bear) to ¥1.50 (bull), the price of ¥5.11 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Xiamen Xindeco Ltd reported revenue of 32.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 109B CNY in FY2021, a compound −26.1%/yr. Reported net income was 15.2M CNY in FY2025, compounding −24.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.5B CNY (≈ $519M) Small · P/E ratio 8.7 · P/S ratio 0.17 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.5900 · Dividend yield 9.4% · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 14.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 29 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −33% fair-value upside, at −81%, 000701 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.3200 to ¥10.20). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥0.5700Fair Value ¥0.9500Bull¥1.50
Price ¥5.11 · Upside -81.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.4882 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−26.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.0% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−8.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−17.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)9.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−17.9% vs −23.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 0%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+19.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +17.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 639 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−81.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)14.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets0.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)8.9% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)0.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−20.0% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)9.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.11× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)8.7× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.51× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)0.58× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow88.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA209.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 63
PAST (return on equity)59· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)45· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.9500 versus a price of ¥5.11, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000701?
Our model-based fair value for Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is ¥0.9500 (as of Oct 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥5.11.
What is the quality score of 000701?
Xiamen Xindeco Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.9500 (as of Oct 27, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.5700, optimistic scenario ¥1.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xiamen Xindeco Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.9500, about −81% upside versus a price of ¥5.11 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.5700, optimistic scenario ¥1.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
Xiamen Xindeco Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 28.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 27, 2026).
Does Xiamen Xindeco Ltd pay a dividend?
Xiamen Xindeco Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 9.44% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Xiamen Xindeco Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +19.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -15.8 % per year. As of Oct 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 000701 use?
Our models discount Xiamen Xindeco Ltd at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.56, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Xiamen Xindeco Ltd that is +19.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Xiamen Xindeco Ltd grew -15.8 % a year. The price currently implies +19.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (+19.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.34 %: that much free cash flow Xiamen Xindeco Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xiamen Xindeco Ltd it is ¥0.9500 per share (as of Oct 27, 2026), against a price of ¥5.11. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xiamen Xindeco Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, 000701 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥5.11, fair value ¥0.9500, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000701?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥5.11); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.9500). For Xiamen Xindeco Ltd the two are ¥4.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xiamen Xindeco Ltd worth?
The market values Xiamen Xindeco Ltd at about 3.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 27, 2026). Per share that is ¥5.11; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.9500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000701?
Our models span a range for Xiamen Xindeco Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.5700, base ¥0.9500, optimistic ¥1.50 per share (as of Oct 27, 2026, price ¥5.11). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 000701?
Xiamen Xindeco Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.7 (as of Oct 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥0.9500 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 209.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (as of Oct 27, 2026): return on equity 14.9%, debt of 1.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000701 from its 52-week high?
Xiamen Xindeco Ltd trades at ¥5.11, about 41% below its 52-week high of ¥8.65 and 18% above the low of ¥4.34 (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.9500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xiamen Xindeco Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xiamen Xindeco Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 27, 2026: price ¥5.11, calculated fair value ¥0.9500 (−81%), Quality Score 42/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000701 calculated?
We run Xiamen Xindeco Ltd through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.9500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Xiamen Xindeco Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was ¥5.11. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.9500, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xiamen Xindeco Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (¥0.5700 to ¥1.50). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
The market capitalisation of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is 3.5B CNY (≈ $519M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is 0.17 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
Earnings per share at Xiamen Xindeco Ltd are ¥0.5900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
The dividend yield of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is 9.4% (payout 81.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
The net margin of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is 1.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is −1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
The operating margin of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
Revenue at Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is growing −20.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −29.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
Earnings per share at Xiamen Xindeco Ltd are growing +25.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701) carry?
The net debt of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is 2.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 27, 2026