Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.91 – ¥8.65 · fair‑value band ¥1.53 – ¥2.10 · the ¥5.13 price screens above the ¥2.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 4 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Xiamen Xindeco Ltd. engages in the automobile distribution, supply chain, and information technology businesses in China and internationally. The company involved in the non-ferrous metal and ferrous bulk commodity trade activities; and car dealership business.
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Xiamen Xindeco Ltd. engages in the automobile distribution, supply chain, and information technology businesses in China and internationally. The company involved in the non-ferrous metal and ferrous bulk commodity trade activities; and car dealership business. It also researches and develops, manufactures, and sells application integration services for a series of software and hardware products, such as RFID electronic tags, reading and writing equipment, and RFID solutions; and develops smart city-related solutions. In addition, the company engages in the research and development, production, and sale of LED packaging and related application products, including in-line LED tubes for display screens, SMD LED tubes for display screens, high-power and low-power white LEDs, other packaging products, LED road lighting fixtures, LED indoor lighting fixtures, and other application products that are used in flat panel display, general white light, special lighting, indoor and outdoor lighting, and other fields. Xiamen Xindeco Ltd. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Xiamen, China.
Stock analysis
Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701) currently trades at ¥5.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.10, implying the stock looks roughly 144.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥5.08 per share, and 4 of the 21 models we run sit above the ¥5.13 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.3200, and 17 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.53 (bear) to ¥2.10 (bull), the price of ¥5.13 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Xiamen Xindeco Ltd reported revenue of 32.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 109B CNY in FY2021, a compound −26.1%/yr. Reported net income was 15.2M CNY in FY2025, compounding −24.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.5B CNY (≈ $517M) · P/S ratio 0.10 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1600 · Dividend yield 10.3% · Net margin 0.0% · Return on equity 1.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.2% · Operating margin −0.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −65% fair-value upside, at −59%, 000701 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥1.53Fair Value ¥2.10Bull ¥2.10
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−26.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.7%
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−7.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−17.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)10.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−18% vs −23%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 0%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+19.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 644 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)10.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.11× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.22× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.02× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF2.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA63.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)45· sector 41
PAST (return on equity)8· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)45· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.10 versus a price of ¥5.13, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000701?
Our model-based fair value for Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is ¥2.10 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥5.13.
What is the quality score of 000701?
Xiamen Xindeco Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.10 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.53, optimistic scenario ¥2.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xiamen Xindeco Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.10, about −59% upside versus a price of ¥5.13 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.53, optimistic scenario ¥2.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
Xiamen Xindeco Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 33.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Xiamen Xindeco Ltd pay a dividend?
Xiamen Xindeco Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 10.33% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Xiamen Xindeco Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +19.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -15.8 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 000701 use?
Our models discount Xiamen Xindeco Ltd at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.54, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Xiamen Xindeco Ltd that is +19.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Xiamen Xindeco Ltd grew -15.8 % a year. The price currently implies +19.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (+19.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.31 %: that much free cash flow Xiamen Xindeco Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xiamen Xindeco Ltd it is ¥2.10 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥5.13. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xiamen Xindeco Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 000701 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥5.13, fair value ¥2.10, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000701?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥5.13); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.10). For Xiamen Xindeco Ltd the two are ¥3.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xiamen Xindeco Ltd worth?
The market values Xiamen Xindeco Ltd at about 3.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥5.13; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000701?
Our models span a range for Xiamen Xindeco Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.53, base ¥2.10, optimistic ¥2.10 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥5.13). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 1.9%, debt of 1.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000701 from its 52-week high?
Xiamen Xindeco Ltd trades at ¥5.13, about 41% below its 52-week high of ¥8.65 and 4% above the low of ¥4.93 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xiamen Xindeco Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Corning Incorporated, Delta Electronics, Inc, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xiamen Xindeco Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥5.13, calculated fair value ¥2.10 (−59%), Quality Score 39/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000701 calculated?
We run Xiamen Xindeco Ltd through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.10, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Xiamen Xindeco Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Xiamen Xindeco Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
The market capitalisation of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is 3.5B CNY (≈ $517M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is 0.10 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
Earnings per share at Xiamen Xindeco Ltd are ¥−0.1600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
The dividend yield of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is 10.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
The net margin of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is 0.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is 1.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is −1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
The operating margin of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is −0.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
Revenue at Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is growing +8.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −29.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701)?
Earnings per share at Xiamen Xindeco Ltd are growing −94.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Xiamen Xindeco Ltd (000701) carry?
The net debt of Xiamen Xindeco Ltd is 2.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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