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Celestica Inc (CLS) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $40.8B

CI Celestica Inc logo Celestica Inc CLS · US
Price$314.53
Fair Value$92.93
Upside-70.5%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: High Range $57.83 – $156.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from $93.66 to $92.93 (−0.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −8.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 70% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($156.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($57.83 to $156.31). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$472.40 $7.08 Fair Value $92.93 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.08 – $472.40 · fair‑value band $57.83 – $156.31 · the $314.53 price screens above the $92.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Celestica Inc (CLS) currently trades at $314.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $92.93, implying the stock looks roughly 70.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Celestica Inc generated revenue of $13.8B at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue grew 52.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 52.5%. Net debt stands at $320M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $57.83 (bear case) to $156.31 (bull case); at $314.53, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 168% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -70%, CLS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $43.21 $61.21 $85.83 80
Residual Income $62.18 $105.28 $1,778 76
Rev-Margin DCF $65.92 $107.59 $151.99 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $41.96 $61.36 $89.08 38
Owner Earnings $74.63 $108.66 $157.29 31
5Y Revenue Exit $65.92 $107.60 $159.54 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $74.24 $122.43 $176.65 41
5Y P/E Exit $76.05 $125.66 $175.39 38
10Y Revenue Exit $54.06 $89.63 $134.62 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $61.75 $99.66 $147.10 37
10Y P/E Exit $62.88 $101.85 $146.19 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $50.10 $118.86 $153.17 54
PEG = 1.0 $20.63 $29.47 $38.31 46
EPV $76.16 $89.08 $100.38 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.93 $6.84 $10.47 70
DDM Multi-Stage $3.93 $5.84 $7.94 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $110.51 $147.35 $184.19 63
P/S Multiple $93.94 $125.25 $156.56 58
P/B Multiple $43.29 $57.72 $72.16 55
EV/EBIT $126.53 $169.16 $211.79 53
EV/EBITDA $105.90 $141.66 $177.41 54
EV/Revenue $84.85 $121.79 $158.74 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.62 $12.89 $19.24 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $43.21 $61.21 $85.83 80
Rev-Margin DCF $65.92 $107.59 $151.99 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $62.18 $105.28 $1,778 76
ROIC Compounder $78.81 $95.44 $112.33 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $84.17 $120.24 $156.31 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($125.25) versus Dividend Discount ($5.84). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $13.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +52.8%
Net margin 7.0%
Return on equity 52.5%
Free cash flow $466M FY2025
P/E ratio 42.3
More key figures
Operating margin 6.6%
EPS (TTM) $8.38
EPS growth (YoY) +147%
Net debt $320M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 69
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 86
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 11
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Celestica Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides supply chain solutions in Asia, North America, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Advanced Technology Solutions, and Connectivity and Cloud Solutions.

Full company description

Celestica Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides supply chain solutions in Asia, North America, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Advanced Technology Solutions, and Connectivity and Cloud Solutions. The company offers a range of product manufacturing and related supply chain services, including design and development, new product introduction, engineering services, component sourcing, electronics manufacturing and assembly, testing, mechanical assembly, systems integration, precision machining, logistics, asset management, product licensing, and after-market repair and return services. It also provides hardware platform solutions, which includes development of infrastructure platforms, and hardware and software design solutions and services, including open-source software that can be used as-is or customized for specific applications; and management of program, including design and supply chain, manufacturing, and after-market support, including IT asset disposition and asset management services. The company offers its products and services to original equipment manufacturers, and cloud-based and other service providers, including hyperscalers, and other companies in aerospace and defense, industrial, HealthTech, capital equipment, communications, and enterprise markets. The company has a strategic collaboration with Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. for the development of Helios, a rack-scale AI platform. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Celestica Inc reported revenue of $12.6B in FY2025 versus $5.6B in FY2021, a compound +22.3%/yr. Reported net income was $847M in FY2025, compounding +69.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$12.6B
Latest YoY
+30.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+20.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.0%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y)
+6.8%
Revenue +22.3%/yr
FY21 $5.6B
FY22 $7.3B
FY23 $8.0B
FY24 $9.6B
FY25 $12.6B
Net income +69.0%/yr
FY21 $104M
FY22 $180M
FY23 $244M
FY24 $428M
FY25 $847M

CLS screens 70% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Celestica Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CLS

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 52% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 53% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.34× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 42.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 18.44× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.96× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 87.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 29.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.00× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 32
PAST 100 · sector 24
HEALTH 83 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Celestica Inc (CLS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $92.93 versus a price of $314.53, about −70% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CLS?
Our model-based fair value for Celestica Inc is $92.93 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $314.53.
What is the quality score of CLS?
Celestica Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Celestica Inc (CLS)?
Celestica Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CLS?
The net profit margin of Celestica Inc is about 7.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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