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Huadong Medicine Co (000963) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 50.9B CNY

HM Huadong Medicine Co 000963 · SHE
Price¥28.99
Fair Value¥42.83
Upside+47.7%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.19% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range ¥28.91 – ¥53.54 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −0.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 48% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥28.91 to ¥53.54) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥48.14 ¥22.79 Fair Value ¥42.83 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥22.79 – ¥48.14 · fair‑value band ¥28.91 – ¥53.54 · the ¥28.99 price screens below the ¥42.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Huadong Medicine Co (000963) currently trades at ¥28.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥42.83, implying the stock looks roughly 47.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Huadong Medicine Co generated revenue of 44.1B CNY at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue grew 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥28.91 (bear case) to ¥53.54 (bull case); at ¥28.99, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 48%, 000963 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥22.40 ¥37.58 ¥63.54 80
Residual Income ¥13.71 ¥17.31 ¥42.41 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥24.78 ¥42.43 ¥65.47 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥22.59 ¥39.27 ¥68.67 38
Owner Earnings ¥24.07 ¥41.99 ¥73.58 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥24.78 ¥43.04 ¥68.21 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥29.88 ¥53.67 ¥83.96 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥29.31 ¥52.48 ¥79.34 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥23.08 ¥40.28 ¥67.33 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥27.29 ¥48.11 ¥80.64 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥26.90 ¥47.23 ¥76.74 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥13.24 ¥63.47 ¥87.36 54
Lynch FV ¥16.93 ¥24.18 ¥31.43 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥16.93 ¥24.18 ¥31.43 46
EPV ¥22.68 ¥26.01 ¥28.92 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥32.12 ¥42.83 ¥53.54 63
P/S Multiple ¥24.82 ¥33.10 ¥41.37 58
P/B Multiple ¥24.82 ¥33.10 ¥41.37 55
EV/EBIT ¥35.32 ¥46.19 ¥57.06 53
EV/EBITDA ¥35.73 ¥46.74 ¥57.75 54
EV/Revenue ¥25.98 ¥35.96 ¥45.93 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥7.07 ¥9.48 ¥14.15 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥22.40 ¥37.58 ¥63.54 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥24.78 ¥42.43 ¥65.47 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥13.71 ¥17.31 ¥42.41 76
ROIC Compounder ¥25.51 ¥33.85 ¥44.95 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥27.16 ¥38.80 ¥50.44 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥43.04) versus Asset-Based (¥9.48). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 44.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.2%
Net margin 8.0%
Return on equity 13.8%
Free cash flow 2.7B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 14.5
More key figures
Operating margin 10.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥2.00
Dividend yield 3.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +9.6%
Net cash 2.9B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale and retail of pharmaceutical products in China and internationally. The company operates through Pharmaceutical Manufacturing, Pharmaceutical Distribution, Medical Aesthetics, and Industrial Microbiology segments.

Full company description

Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale and retail of pharmaceutical products in China and internationally. The company operates through Pharmaceutical Manufacturing, Pharmaceutical Distribution, Medical Aesthetics, and Industrial Microbiology segments. It offers Chinese medicine, immunosuppressive agents, endocrine, digestive system, antineoplastic, cardiovascular, antibiotic drugs, medical beauty field, and medical devices, as well as engages in pharmaceutical logistics and industrial microbiology activities. In addition, the company provides formulation filling, technical, transportation and warehousing services. Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Huadong Medicine Co reported revenue of ¥43.6B in FY2025 versus ¥34.6B in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥3.4B in FY2025, compounding +10.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
43.6B CNY
Latest YoY
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y)
+15.5%
Revenue +6.0%/yr
FY21 ¥34.6B
FY22 ¥37.7B
FY23 ¥40.6B
FY24 ¥41.9B
FY25 ¥43.6B
Net income +10.4%/yr
FY21 ¥2.3B
FY22 ¥2.5B
FY23 ¥2.8B
FY24 ¥3.5B
FY25 ¥3.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huadong Medicine Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000963

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +48% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.05× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.15× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 97 · sector 7
FUTURE 21 · sector 20
PAST 55 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 64 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Huadong Medicine Co (000963) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥42.83 versus a price of ¥28.99, about +48% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 000963?
Our model-based fair value for Huadong Medicine Co is ¥42.83 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥28.99.
What is the quality score of 000963?
Huadong Medicine Co has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Huadong Medicine Co (000963)?
Huadong Medicine Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 44.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000963?
The net profit margin of Huadong Medicine Co is about 8.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Huadong Medicine Co pay a dividend?
Huadong Medicine Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.19% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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