Hunan Valin Wire & Cable Co (001208) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 10.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +11.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 80% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.13 – ¥30.92 · fair‑value band ¥2.72 – ¥3.68 · the ¥15.10 price screens above the ¥3.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Hunan Valin Wire & Cable Co (001208) currently trades at ¥15.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.00, implying the stock looks roughly 80.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hunan Valin Wire & Cable Co generated revenue of 4.7B CNY at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue grew 20.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. Net debt stands at 178M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.72 (bear case) to ¥3.68 (bull case); at ¥15.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -80%, 001208 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥8.84) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.61). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hunan Valin Wire & Cable Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of wires and cables in China.
Full company description
Hunan Valin Wire & Cable Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of wires and cables in China. The company offers special cables, including data communication, robot, rail transit, mining, new energy special weather-resistant special soft, high flame retardant and fire-resistant, and special engineering equipment cables; aerospace and integrated equipment; and power cables, cables for electrical equipment, and bare conductors and wires. Its products are used in aerospace, smart mine, iron and steel smelting, high-end equipment, rail transit, green energy, smart grid, offshore oil, petrochemical, and building and home decoration industries. The company also exports its products in Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Africa, Central Asia, and internationally. Hunan Valin Wire & Cable Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1951 and is based in Xiangtan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hunan Valin Wire & Cable Co reported revenue of ¥4.5B in FY2025 versus ¥2.5B in FY2021, a compound +15.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥110M in FY2025, compounding −4.9%/yr from FY2021.
001208 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →
Peer Group
Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 | HK$675.50 | HK$391.44 | -42% |
| ABB Ltd ABBN | CHF 83.82 | CHF 35.46 | -58% |
| Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED | 10.16 SGD | 1.47 SGD | -86% |
| LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 | 334,000 KRW | 201,455 KRW | -40% |
| WEG S.A WEGE3 | 13,210 ARS | 7,948 ARS | -40% |
| Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 | ¥114.79 | ¥123.83 | +8% |
| Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 | ¥63.43 | ¥33.04 | -48% |
| HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 | 823,000 KRW | 371,133 KRW | -55% |
| LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 | 190,000 KRW | 31,517 KRW | -83% |
| Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 | ¥151.73 | ¥71.69 | -53% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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