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Anhui ZhongDianXinLong Science and Technology Co (002298) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.3B CNY

AZ Anhui ZhongDianXinLong Science and Technology Co 002298 · SHE
Price¥8.49
Fair Value¥0.9500
Upside-88.8%
Quality45/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -24.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: High Range ¥0.8900 – ¥1.01 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥1.27 to ¥0.9500 (−25.2%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +19.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band (¥0.8900 to ¥1.01), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥14.01 ¥3.13 Fair Value ¥0.9500 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.13 – ¥14.01 · fair‑value band ¥0.8900 – ¥1.01 · the ¥8.49 price screens above the ¥0.9500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Anhui ZhongDianXinLong Science and Technology Co (002298) currently trades at ¥8.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.9500, implying the stock looks roughly 88.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui ZhongDianXinLong Science and Technology Co generated revenue of 1.7B CNY at a net margin of -24.4%. Revenue declined 13.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -18.7%. Net debt stands at 490M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.8900 (bear case) to ¥1.01 (bull case); at ¥8.49, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -89%, 002298 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.8900 ¥1.01 ¥1.17 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.03 ¥1.30 ¥1.60 74
ROIC Compounder ¥0.8600 ¥0.9000 ¥0.9400 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.8800 ¥1.01 ¥1.19 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.03 ¥1.30 ¥1.65 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.47 ¥2.09 ¥2.79 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.9500 ¥1.18 ¥1.47 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.24 ¥1.70 ¥2.29 37
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥0.8600 ¥0.9000 ¥0.9400 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.3400 ¥0.5600 ¥0.8100 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.3400 ¥0.4900 ¥0.6500 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥1.39 ¥1.66 ¥1.94 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.01 ¥2.49 ¥2.97 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.15 ¥1.40 ¥1.66 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.23 ¥1.65 ¥2.46 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.8900 ¥1.01 ¥1.17 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.03 ¥1.30 ¥1.60 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥0.8600 ¥0.9000 ¥0.9400 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥1.66) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.4900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.3%
Net margin -24.4%
Return on equity -18.7%
Free cash flow 23.1M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 11.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.5700
EPS growth (YoY) -1.5%
Net debt 490M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 60
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Anhui ZhongDianXinLong Science and Technology Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures, sells, and services of smart energy-using products for electrical machinery manufacturing industry in China.

Full company description

Anhui ZhongDianXinLong Science and Technology Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures, sells, and services of smart energy-using products for electrical machinery manufacturing industry in China. It offers smart city products, including high-definition network cameras; soSCMS, a security-oriented smart city integrated management platform; ITS-CMS, an intelligent transportation central control platform software; an Internet of Things (IoT) information collection product; backend application platforms, including public security integrated information resource, video information integrated application, multimedia emergency response command and dispatch, and alarm and video application platform; and panoramic, surveillance, and smart checkpoints and integrated electronic police cameras, as well as infrared thermal imagers. The company also provides intelligent energy storage systems, high and low voltage power supplies and components, automation products, and transformers. In addition, it engages in the development, investment, design, construction, and operation and maintenance of distributed and centralized photovoltaic power plants. The company was formerly known as Anhui Sinonet & Xinlong Science & Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Anhui ZhongDianXinLong Science and Technology Co., Ltd. in February 2025. Anhui ZhongDianXinLong Science and Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is based in Wuhu, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Anhui ZhongDianXinLong Science and Technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.8B in FY2025 versus ¥2.8B in FY2021, a compound −10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥423M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.8B CNY
Latest YoY
−8.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+10.8%
Revenue −10.3%/yr
FY21 ¥2.8B
FY22 ¥2.4B
FY23 ¥2.2B
FY24 ¥2.0B
FY25 ¥1.8B
Net income
FY21 ¥206M
FY22 −¥860M
FY23 −¥590M
FY24 −¥1.5B
FY25 −¥423M

002298 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anhui ZhongDianXinLong Science and Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002298

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -24% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth -13% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.10× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.52× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.54× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 40.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.37× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 57
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 95 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Anhui ZhongDianXinLong Science and Technology Co (002298) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.9500 versus a price of ¥8.49, about −89% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002298?
Our model-based fair value for Anhui ZhongDianXinLong Science and Technology Co is ¥0.9500 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.49.
What is the quality score of 002298?
Anhui ZhongDianXinLong Science and Technology Co has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Anhui ZhongDianXinLong Science and Technology Co (002298)?
Anhui ZhongDianXinLong Science and Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002298?
The net profit margin of Anhui ZhongDianXinLong Science and Technology Co is about -24.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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