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Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co (002498) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 26.1B CNY

QH Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co 002498 · SHE
Price¥6.82
Fair Value¥3.11
Upside-54.4%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.1% net margin
generates free cash flow
0.53% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.32 – ¥3.90 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥3.37 to ¥3.11 (−7.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +10.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 54% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥10.95 ¥2.74 Fair Value ¥3.11 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.74 – ¥10.95 · fair‑value band ¥2.32 – ¥3.90 · the ¥6.82 price screens above the ¥3.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co (002498) currently trades at ¥6.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.11, implying the stock looks roughly 54.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co generated revenue of 11.1B CNY at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue grew 39.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. Net debt stands at 161M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.32 (bear case) to ¥3.90 (bull case); at ¥6.82, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 112% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -54%, 002498 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥2.09 ¥2.19 ¥2.33 76
Growth DCF ¥2.17 ¥3.28 ¥5.07 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.3700 ¥0.7800 ¥1.24 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.16 ¥3.31 ¥5.20 38
Owner Earnings ¥2.56 ¥3.98 ¥6.31 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.22 ¥3.45 ¥5.07 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.46 ¥3.93 ¥5.71 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.72 ¥4.45 ¥6.35 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.12 ¥3.26 ¥4.92 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.34 ¥3.61 ¥5.43 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥2.51 ¥3.98 ¥5.94 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.21 ¥4.71 ¥6.39 54
Lynch FV ¥1.16 ¥1.65 ¥2.15 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.16 ¥1.65 ¥2.15 46
EPV ¥2.17 ¥2.45 ¥2.70 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.3700 ¥0.7800 ¥1.24 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.3700 ¥0.6600 ¥0.8200 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.80 ¥3.74 ¥4.67 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.27 ¥3.03 ¥3.78 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.27 ¥3.03 ¥3.78 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.03 ¥3.89 ¥4.74 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.83 ¥3.62 ¥4.41 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.30 ¥3.08 ¥3.87 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.30 ¥1.74 ¥2.59 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.17 ¥3.28 ¥5.07 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.22 ¥3.43 ¥4.90 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.09 ¥2.19 ¥2.33 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.17 ¥2.45 ¥2.85 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.07 ¥2.96 ¥3.85 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥3.61) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.6600). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 11.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +39.4%
Net margin 5.1%
Return on equity 6.6%
Free cash flow 465M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 46.2
More key figures
Operating margin 5.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1700
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +12.1%
Net debt 161M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, production, and sale of cables and wires primarily in China.

Full company description

Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, production, and sale of cables and wires primarily in China. The company offers power cables, equipment cables, special cables, data cables, overhead lines, cable accessories, submarine cables, heat resistant and high strength aluminum alloy wires, fire-resistant cables, and DC series cables. It also provides power equipment monitoring system; electric power design, engineering, and installation services; and operation maintenance services for transformer substations. The company's products are used in various sectors, such as hydropower, metallurgy, telecommunication, railway, petroleum and petrochemical, ships, and construction, etc. The company was founded in 1982 and is based in Qingdao, China. Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co.,Ltd operates as a subsidiary of Qingdao Hanhe Group Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co reported revenue of ¥10.5B in FY2025 versus ¥9.0B in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥592M in FY2025, compounding −6.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
10.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+13.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+8.1%
Revenue +3.9%/yr
FY21 ¥9.0B
FY22 ¥9.8B
FY23 ¥9.7B
FY24 ¥9.3B
FY25 ¥10.5B
Net income −6.6%/yr
FY21 ¥777M
FY22 ¥786M
FY23 ¥760M
FY24 ¥655M
FY25 ¥592M

002498 screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002498

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −54% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 39% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 46.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.03× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.35× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 8.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 37.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 57
PAST 26 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 11 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co (002498) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.11 versus a price of ¥6.82, about −54% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002498?
Our model-based fair value for Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co is ¥3.11 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.82.
What is the quality score of 002498?
Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co (002498)?
Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002498?
The net profit margin of Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co is about 5.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co pay a dividend?
Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.53% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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