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China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd stock ¥2.08, price ¥2.49, that is 16.5% below the price, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

EstimateBear ¥1.56 to bull ¥2.60 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 40/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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Energy CN · ISIN CNE1000010K8

Thin data Nov 10, 2026

China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd

002554 · SHE

Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 16% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 40/100

Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.4 %/yr in CNY)

Moderate debt

Revenue last quarter 36% below a year ago.

Fair value ¥2.08 · Overvalued

Loss-making · -23.9% net margin (TTM)

Negative free cash flow

Trails peers (0/11)

Narrow moat 9/100

Thin data

⟳ CyclicalEstimate

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.10 – ¥5.25 · fair‑value band ¥1.56 – ¥2.60 · the ¥2.49 price screens above the ¥2.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co., Ltd provides solutions for oil and gas development and exploitation in the South Asia, the Middle East, Central Asia, Africa, Latin America, and internationally.

Show moreShow less

The company offers oil gas water treatment matching technologies and products; oil and gas metering and test solutions; oily sewage treatment solutions; oil and gas field heating equipment; and ground technologies, as well as undertakes EPC engineering projects.

It also provides environmental protection equipment and services, including oily sludge recycling, aged oil treatment, pyrolysis and incineration harmless treatment, fracturing fluid acidizing treatment, and oil tank cleaning equipment, as well as environmental engineering services.

In addition, the company provides oil and gas field automation systems; SCADA system integration for oil and gas storage and transportation networks; software systems and services; and oil field service digitization and automation solutions.

Additionally, it engages in the operation and sale of natural gas resources. The company owns an interest in the Dagang Oilfield Kong South Block. China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co., Ltd was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554) currently trades at ¥2.49, while our estimate is ¥2.08, 16% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: ¥1.56 (bear) to ¥2.60 (bull), the price of ¥2.49 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was −370M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.3B CNY (≈ $498M) Small · P/S ratio 1.61 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.3700 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin −23.9% · Return on equity −24.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −9.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −16%, 002554 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear ¥1.56 Fair Value ¥2.08 Bull ¥2.60

Price ¥2.49 · Downside -16.5%

Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 7

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 22

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 22

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 40

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 94

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 51

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Price momentum 19

Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 6

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 91

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100

The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Revenue growth 1 year

−10.7%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+5.4%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+15.4%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.5% a year

Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+16.4%

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

−26.6% (2020) → −3.7% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

002554 screens overvalued: fair value 16% below the price. Compare with SLB N.V →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 172 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/10 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 40 · Below median

Fair Value upside −16.5% · Below median

Profitability

Return on assets −6.8% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (12 months) −23.9% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (12 months) −9.7% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −36.3% · Bottom 25%

Dividend yield (12 months) 1.9% · Below median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.60× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.71× · Pricier than median

P/S (12 months) 1.52× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)11 · sector 18

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 36

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25

HEALTH (low debt)70 · sector 91

DIVIDEND (yield)37 · sector 43

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT	€185.00	€203.50	+10%	vs 002554
Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353	¥84.61	¥91.31	+8%	vs 002554
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808	¥12.33	¥13.04	+6%	vs 002554
Subsea 7 S.A SUBC	kr 315.20	kr 257.37	−18%	vs 002554
Halliburton Company HAL	$31.88	$21.72	−32%	vs 002554
Baker Hughes Company BKR	$48.45	$32.37	−33%	vs 002554
Tenaris S.A TEN	€27.12	€17.68	−35%	vs 002554
Saipem SpA SPM	€4.28	€2.72	−36%	vs 002554
SLB N.V SLB	$50.38	$29.03	−42%	vs 002554
TechnipFMC plc FTI	$63.98	$28.12	−56%	vs 002554

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China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002554?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_medium=badge" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener"><img src="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/embed/002554.SHE.svg" width="360" height="84" alt="China Oil HBP Science &amp; Technology Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator" style="border:0;max-width:100%" loading="lazy"></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002554

Frequently asked questions

Is China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is ¥2.08 versus a price of ¥2.49, about 16% lower (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 002554?

Our estimate for China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd is ¥2.08 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥2.49.

What is the quality score of 002554?

China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554)?

Our calculated price target is the estimate of ¥2.08 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario ¥1.56, optimistic scenario ¥2.60. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.

What is the China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our estimate puts fair value at ¥2.08, about 16% lower versus a price of ¥2.49 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.56, optimistic scenario ¥2.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554)?

China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).

Does China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?

China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.87% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).

How much is the dividend of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554)?

China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 1.9%.

What is the intrinsic value of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd it is ¥2.08 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of ¥2.49.

Is China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Nov 10, 2026, 002554 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥2.49, fair value ¥2.08, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 002554?

No. The price is what the market pays today (¥2.49); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.08). For China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥0.4100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd worth?

The market values China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd at about 3.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is ¥2.49; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.08 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002554?

Our models span a range for China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.56, base ¥2.08, optimistic ¥2.60 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price ¥2.49). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554)?

Balance-sheet figures for China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −24.6%, debt of 0.60 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 002554 from its 52-week high?

China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥2.49, about 51% below its 52-week high of ¥5.13 and at the low of ¥2.48 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.08 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd?

From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, Tenaris S.A, Halliburton Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price ¥2.49, calculated fair value ¥2.08 (−16%), Quality Score 40/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554)?

The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was ¥2.49. Our estimate is ¥2.08, about 16% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd right now?

Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Where does the earnings growth of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554) come from?

Earnings per share at China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd grew −4.3 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.9 %, EBIT margin −9.4 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554)?

The market capitalisation of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd is 3.3B CNY (≈ $498M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554)?

The price-to-sales ratio of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd is 1.61 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554)?

Earnings per share at China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd are ¥−0.3700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554)?

The dividend yield of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd is 1.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554)?

The net margin of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd is −23.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554)?

The return on equity (ROE) of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd is −24.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd is 0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554)?

The operating margin of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd is −9.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554)?

Revenue at China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd is growing −36.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554)?

Earnings per share at China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd are growing −4.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554) generate?

The free cash flow of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd is −609M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd (002554) carry?

The net debt of China Oil HBP Science & Technology Co Ltd is 947M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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