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Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group (002727) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 6.4B CNY

YP Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group 002727 · SHE
Price¥11.36
Fair Value¥9.45
Upside-16.8%
Quality65/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.56% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: High Range ¥7.09 – ¥11.81 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥18.92 to ¥9.45 (−50.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +11.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from ¥7.09 (bear) to ¥11.81 (bull), base ¥9.45. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 65/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥43.27 ¥9.59 Fair Value ¥9.45 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.59 – ¥43.27 · fair‑value band ¥7.09 – ¥11.81 · the ¥11.36 price screens above the ¥9.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group (002727) currently trades at ¥11.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.45, implying the stock looks roughly 16.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group generated revenue of 17.0B CNY at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue declined 7.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.09 (bear case) to ¥11.81 (bull case); at ¥11.36, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -17%, 002727 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥33.31 ¥56.66 ¥95.92 80
Residual Income ¥9.15 ¥9.08 ¥7.98 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥21.45 ¥32.55 ¥47.59 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥33.95 ¥60.60 ¥108.44 38
Owner Earnings ¥31.33 ¥55.83 ¥99.33 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥21.45 ¥32.63 ¥47.63 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥34.68 ¥61.13 ¥95.34 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥18.07 ¥25.36 ¥33.48 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥25.02 ¥37.30 ¥56.05 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥34.16 ¥58.22 ¥96.78 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥23.19 ¥31.96 ¥43.97 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.06 ¥16.36 ¥22.67 54
Lynch FV ¥4.52 ¥6.46 ¥8.39 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥4.52 ¥6.46 ¥8.39 46
EPV ¥13.99 ¥15.58 ¥16.95 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥4.57 ¥9.11 ¥13.80 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥4.57 ¥7.87 ¥9.62 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.09 ¥9.45 ¥11.81 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.74 ¥7.65 ¥9.56 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.74 ¥7.65 ¥9.56 55
EV/EBIT ¥20.16 ¥25.57 ¥30.98 53
EV/EBITDA ¥37.18 ¥48.27 ¥59.35 54
EV/Revenue ¥15.51 ¥20.47 ¥25.44 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.24 ¥8.36 ¥12.47 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥33.31 ¥56.66 ¥95.92 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥21.45 ¥32.55 ¥47.59 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥9.15 ¥9.08 ¥7.98 76
ROIC Compounder ¥14.80 ¥18.85 ¥23.19 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.66 ¥9.51 ¥12.36 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥37.30) versus Earnings-Based (¥6.46). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 17.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.0%
Net margin 1.6%
Return on equity 3.7%
Free cash flow 1.4B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 22.9
More key figures
Operating margin 6.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4800
Dividend yield 3.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +12.0%
Net cash 1.4B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiary, engages in the pharmaceutical retail chain and pharmaceutical distribution business.

Full company description

Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiary, engages in the pharmaceutical retail chain and pharmaceutical distribution business. The company is involved in the wholesale, retail, leasing, and operation of medical devices; sale of food, disinfectants, disinfection equipment, sanitary products and disposable medical products, household appliances, adult toys, agricultural and sideline products, cosmetics, and daily sundries and necessities; manufacturing of glasses; provision of value-added telecommunications, Internet live broadcast technology, and Internet information services for medicines, as well as clinic and foot bath services; operation of aquatic wild animals and call center; retail of publications; and decoction services for Chinese herbal medicines. It also engages in the agency sale of single-purpose commercial prepaid cards and China sports lottery; and maternal and child care activities. In addition, the company provides health care, housekeeping, amusement park, residents' daily life, and health consulting service, as well as business agency, ticket agency, personal Internet live broadcast, remote health management, corporate member points management, food delivery, and road freight transportation services. Further, it is involved in the import and export of goods and technology; wholesale of pet food and supplies; and wholesale of clothing and accessories. Additionally, the company sells products online. The company was formerly known as Yunnan Hongxiang Yixintang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. in June 2019. Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Kunming, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group reported revenue of ¥17.3B in FY2025 versus ¥14.6B in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥263M in FY2025, compounding −26.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
17.3B CNY
Latest YoY
−3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
+16.7%
Revenue +4.4%/yr
FY21 ¥14.6B
FY22 ¥17.4B
FY23 ¥17.4B
FY24 ¥18.0B
FY25 ¥17.3B
Net income −26.9%/yr
FY21 ¥922M
FY22 ¥1.0B
FY23 ¥549M
FY24 ¥114M
FY25 ¥263M

002727 screens 17% overvalued. Compare with JD Health International Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002727

Peer Group

Pharmaceutical Retailers · 61 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −17% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Pharmaceutical Retailers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.88× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.38× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 11 · sector 21
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 15 · sector 19
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 71 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Pharmaceutical Retailers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JD Health International Inc 6618 HK$39.20 HK$33.28 -15%
Raia Drogasil S.A RADL3 R$18.20 R$15.58 -14%
Yifeng Pharmacy Chain Co 603939 ¥20.24 ¥29.07 +44%
DaShenLin Pharmaceutical Group 603233 ¥17.81 ¥23.86 +34%
Corporativo Fragua, S.A. FRAGUAB 463.00 MXN 821.18 MXN +77%
LBX Pharmacy Chain Joint Stock Company 603883 ¥11.51 ¥10.57 -8%
MedPlus Health Services Limited MEDPLUS ₹690.20 ₹379.25 -45%
Anhui Huaren Health Pharmaceutical Co 301408 ¥14.40 ¥10.05 -30%
Apotea AB APOTEA kr 74.75 kr 43.95 -41%
ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp 301017 ¥13.34 ¥5.91 -56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group (002727) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.45 versus a price of ¥11.36, about −17% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002727?
Our model-based fair value for Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group is ¥9.45 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥11.36.
What is the quality score of 002727?
Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group (002727)?
Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 17.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002727?
The net profit margin of Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group is about 1.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group pay a dividend?
Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.56% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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