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ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp (301017) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 5.5B CNY

SC ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp 301017 · SHE
Price¥13.86
Fair Value¥5.91
Upside-57.4%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
0.34% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/14)
Narrow moat 26/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.44 – ¥7.39 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +3.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 57% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥34.23 ¥8.94 Fair Value ¥5.91 Jul 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.94 – ¥34.23 · fair‑value band ¥4.44 – ¥7.39 · the ¥13.86 price screens above the ¥5.91 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp (301017) currently trades at ¥13.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.91, implying the stock looks roughly 57.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp generated revenue of 10.6B CNY at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue grew 9.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.7%. Net debt stands at 822M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.44 (bear case) to ¥7.39 (bull case); at ¥13.86, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -57%, 301017 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥19.44 ¥33.98 ¥57.95 80
Residual Income ¥4.01 ¥4.05 ¥3.89 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.89 ¥15.04 ¥21.89 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥19.75 ¥36.18 ¥64.57 38
Owner Earnings ¥11.18 ¥20.44 ¥36.44 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥9.89 ¥14.94 ¥21.41 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥16.11 ¥28.05 ¥43.12 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥9.30 ¥13.69 ¥18.49 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥12.94 ¥18.93 ¥27.53 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥17.18 ¥28.45 ¥45.72 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥12.72 ¥18.02 ¥25.09 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.92 ¥9.63 ¥13.30 54
Lynch FV ¥2.61 ¥3.73 ¥4.85 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.61 ¥3.73 ¥4.85 46
EPV ¥4.08 ¥4.71 ¥5.25 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.44 ¥5.91 ¥7.39 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.59 ¥4.79 ¥5.98 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.59 ¥4.79 ¥5.98 55
EV/EBIT ¥7.15 ¥9.50 ¥11.85 53
EV/EBITDA ¥15.44 ¥20.55 ¥25.65 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.14 ¥7.29 ¥9.45 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.63 ¥3.52 ¥5.25 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥19.44 ¥33.98 ¥57.95 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.89 ¥15.04 ¥21.89 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.01 ¥4.05 ¥3.89 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.08 ¥4.71 ¥5.25 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.97 ¥5.68 ¥7.38 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥18.93) versus Asset-Based (¥3.52). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 10.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.4%
Net margin 0.9%
Return on equity 4.7%
Free cash flow 631M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 54.3
More key figures
Operating margin 2.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2500
Dividend yield 0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -50.0%
Net debt 822M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp., Ltd. engages in the pharmaceutical retail chain business in China. The company is also involved in the pharmaceutical wholesale business. ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is based in Jinan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp reported revenue of ¥10.3B in FY2025 versus ¥5.3B in FY2021, a compound +18.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥114M in FY2025, compounding −0.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
10.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.4%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+20.0%
Revenue +18.0%/yr
FY21 ¥5.3B
FY22 ¥7.8B
FY23 ¥9.2B
FY24 ¥9.6B
FY25 ¥10.3B
Net income −0.2%/yr
FY21 ¥115M
FY22 ¥229M
FY23 ¥133M
FY24 −¥189M
FY25 ¥114M

301017 screens 57% overvalued. Compare with JD Health International Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301017

Peer Group

Pharmaceutical Retailers · 61 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −57% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.56× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Pharmaceutical Retailers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 54.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.58× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.52× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 23.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 21
FUTURE 47 · sector 19
PAST 19 · sector 19
HEALTH 72 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 7 · sector 66

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Pharmaceutical Retailers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JD Health International Inc 6618 HK$39.20 HK$33.28 -15%
Raia Drogasil S.A RADL3 R$18.20 R$15.58 -14%
Yifeng Pharmacy Chain Co 603939 ¥20.24 ¥29.07 +44%
DaShenLin Pharmaceutical Group 603233 ¥17.81 ¥23.86 +34%
Corporativo Fragua, S.A. FRAGUAB 463.00 MXN 821.18 MXN +77%
LBX Pharmacy Chain Joint Stock Company 603883 ¥11.51 ¥10.57 -8%
MedPlus Health Services Limited MEDPLUS ₹690.20 ₹379.25 -45%
Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group 002727 ¥11.46 ¥9.45 -18%
Anhui Huaren Health Pharmaceutical Co 301408 ¥14.40 ¥10.05 -30%
Apotea AB APOTEA kr 74.75 kr 43.95 -41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp (301017) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.91 versus a price of ¥13.86, about −57% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301017?
Our model-based fair value for ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp is ¥5.91 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥13.86.
What is the quality score of 301017?
ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp (301017)?
ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 10.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301017?
The net profit margin of ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp is about 0.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp pay a dividend?
ShuYu Civilian Pharmacy Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.34% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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