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Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation (002729) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 3.3B CNY

HC Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation 002729 · SHE
Price¥13.65
Fair Value¥5.27
Upside-61.4%
Quality72/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 9.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.16% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range ¥3.96 – ¥6.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −13.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 61% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥36.26 ¥8.41 Fair Value ¥5.27 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.41 – ¥36.26 · fair‑value band ¥3.96 – ¥6.59 · the ¥13.65 price screens above the ¥5.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation (002729) currently trades at ¥13.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.27, implying the stock looks roughly 61.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation generated revenue of 421M CNY at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue declined 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 69.7M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.96 (bear case) to ¥6.59 (bull case); at ¥13.65, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -61%, 002729 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.58 ¥5.53 ¥8.62 80
Residual Income ¥2.54 ¥2.74 ¥3.28 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.47 ¥5.48 ¥8.02 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.59 ¥5.72 ¥9.19 38
Owner Earnings ¥4.21 ¥6.78 ¥10.98 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.47 ¥5.52 ¥8.27 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.95 ¥6.48 ¥9.62 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.03 ¥6.66 ¥9.62 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.40 ¥5.31 ¥8.18 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.79 ¥6.00 ¥9.27 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.85 ¥6.12 ¥9.27 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.79 ¥7.82 ¥10.70 54
Lynch FV ¥2.02 ¥2.88 ¥3.74 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.02 ¥2.88 ¥3.74 46
EPV ¥3.19 ¥3.59 ¥3.93 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.5400 ¥1.07 ¥1.61 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.5400 ¥0.9200 ¥1.13 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.96 ¥5.27 ¥6.59 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.36 ¥4.48 ¥5.60 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.36 ¥4.48 ¥5.60 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.84 ¥6.23 ¥7.63 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.46 ¥5.73 ¥7.00 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.47 ¥4.68 ¥5.89 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.52 ¥2.04 ¥3.05 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.58 ¥5.53 ¥8.62 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.47 ¥5.48 ¥8.02 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.54 ¥2.74 ¥3.28 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.25 ¥4.07 ¥5.16 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.25 ¥4.64 ¥6.04 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.00) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.9200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 421M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.1%
Net margin 9.6%
Return on equity 7.4%
Free cash flow 45.1M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 82.7
More key figures
Operating margin 15.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2200
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -44.4%
Net cash 69.7M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation Limited engages in the research and development, production, and sale of circuit protection products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation Limited engages in the research and development, production, and sale of circuit protection products in China and internationally. It provides new energy solutions, such as energy storage solutions, photovoltaic solutions, wind power solutions, electric vehicle solutions, charging station solutions, and lithium battery protection solutions. The company also offers smart home solutions, household appliances, intelligent kitchen and bathroom, lighting series, and power supply; and digital solutions, including data centers and intelligent manufacturing. In addition, the company provides special fuse for new energy, axial lead fuse, surface mount fuse, board type bolt fuse, three terminal fuse, and other types of fuses. The company was formerly known as Xiamen Ningly Electronics Company Limited and changed its name to Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation Limited in July 2010. Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation Limited was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Xiamen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation reported revenue of ¥425M in FY2025 versus ¥223M in FY2021, a compound +17.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥48.2M in FY2025, compounding +18.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
425M CNY
Latest YoY
+12.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+18.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+20.2%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+6.3%
Revenue +17.6%/yr
FY21 ¥223M
FY22 ¥253M
FY23 ¥269M
FY24 ¥376M
FY25 ¥425M
Net income +18.9%/yr
FY21 ¥24.1M
FY22 ¥30.4M
FY23 ¥18.1M
FY24 ¥36.7M
FY25 ¥48.2M

002729 screens 61% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002729

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −61% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 82.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.97× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.91× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 11.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 59.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 32
PAST 29 · sector 24
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 3 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation (002729) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.27 versus a price of ¥13.65, about −61% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002729?
Our model-based fair value for Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation is ¥5.27 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥13.65.
What is the quality score of 002729?
Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation (002729)?
Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 421M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002729?
The net profit margin of Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation is about 9.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation pay a dividend?
Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.16% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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