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Guangzhou Shiyuan Electronic Technology Company (002841) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 24.0B CNY

GS Guangzhou Shiyuan Electronic Technology Company 002841 · SHE
Price¥50.17
Fair Value¥20.98
Upside-58.2%
Quality51/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.11% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: High Range ¥16.32 – ¥30.94 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +16.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥30.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥16.32 to ¥30.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥134.50 ¥26.08 Fair Value ¥20.98 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥26.08 – ¥134.50 · fair‑value band ¥16.32 – ¥30.94 · the ¥50.17 price screens above the ¥20.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangzhou Shiyuan Electronic Technology Company (002841) currently trades at ¥50.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥20.98, implying the stock looks roughly 58.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangzhou Shiyuan Electronic Technology Company generated revenue of 25.6B CNY at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue grew 23.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.8%. Net debt stands at 2.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥16.32 (bear case) to ¥30.94 (bull case); at ¥50.17, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -58%, 002841 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥4.79 ¥5.99 ¥8.05 80
Residual Income ¥15.85 ¥16.89 ¥18.61 76
ROIC Compounder ¥12.55 ¥14.10 ¥15.45 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.81 ¥6.14 ¥8.51 38
Owner Earnings ¥15.90 ¥26.89 ¥46.57 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥10.49 ¥18.01 ¥28.68 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.52 ¥24.40 ¥38.58 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥17.70 ¥33.19 ¥51.57 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥8.25 ¥14.80 ¥25.70 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.63 ¥19.55 ¥34.16 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥13.42 ¥26.07 ¥45.26 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥9.90 ¥49.32 ¥68.04 54
Lynch FV ¥13.32 ¥19.03 ¥24.74 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥13.32 ¥19.03 ¥24.74 46
EPV ¥12.55 ¥14.10 ¥15.45 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥6.22 ¥12.93 ¥20.52 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥6.22 ¥10.91 ¥13.57 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥21.84 ¥29.12 ¥36.40 63
P/S Multiple ¥18.56 ¥24.75 ¥30.94 58
P/B Multiple ¥18.56 ¥24.75 ¥30.94 55
EV/EBIT ¥17.88 ¥22.73 ¥27.59 53
EV/EBITDA ¥18.59 ¥23.69 ¥28.79 54
EV/Revenue ¥13.12 ¥17.34 ¥21.55 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥9.58 ¥12.84 ¥19.16 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.79 ¥5.99 ¥8.05 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥15.85 ¥16.89 ¥18.61 76
ROIC Compounder ¥12.55 ¥14.10 ¥15.45 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥19.88 ¥28.40 ¥36.91 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥28.40) versus Growth DCF (¥5.99). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 25.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.9%
Net margin 4.3%
Return on equity 8.8%
Free cash flow 79.6M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 21.5
More key figures
Operating margin 2.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.60
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +56.5%
Net debt 2.1B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 94
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangzhou Shiyuan Electronic Technology Company Limited engages in the research, development, and sale of LCD display main control boards and interactive smart tablets in China.

Full company description

Guangzhou Shiyuan Electronic Technology Company Limited engages in the research, development, and sale of LCD display main control boards and interactive smart tablets in China. The company offers educational interactive smart tablets, AI full-screen smart blackboards, smart podiums, teaching terminals, intelligent recording and broadcasting of teaching, learning machines, parent-child screens, smart security, teaching applications, and education management platforms; conference interactive smart tablets, LED machines, smart meeting screens, audio equipment, conference management platforms, and screen sharing assistants, as well as video conferencing terminals, peripherals, and platforms; and desktop computers, laptop computers, monitors, and cloud terminals. It also provides clothing care machines; commercial display products; book-type and scalable industrial computers and industrial computer and table PCs; energy products; driving recorders; quadruped and commercial cleaning robots; and parts for show, electric appliances, energy, and automotive electronic products. In addition, the company is involved in the technology and goods import and export; engineering and technology research and experimental development; wholesale and retail of computers, software, and auxiliary equipment; retail of household audio-visual equipment; software development; repair of household electronic products; computer and auxiliary equipment repair businesses; and provision of information technology consulting services. Further, it offers medical technology consultation, project investment, investment consulting, finance, and scientific and technical study services, as well as information transmission and software and information technology services. It serves computer, communications, and other electronic equipment manufacturing industries. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangzhou Shiyuan Electronic Technology Company reported revenue of ¥24.3B in FY2025 versus ¥21.2B in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.0B in FY2025, compounding −12.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 54/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
24.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+24.3%
Revenue +3.5%/yr
FY21 ¥21.2B
FY22 ¥21.0B
FY23 ¥20.2B
FY24 ¥22.4B
FY25 ¥24.3B
Net income −12.1%/yr
FY21 ¥1.7B
FY22 ¥2.1B
FY23 ¥1.4B
FY24 ¥971M
FY25 ¥1.0B

002841 screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangzhou Shiyuan Electronic Technology Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002841

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −58% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 24% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.80× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.94× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 44.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 19.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 32
PAST 35 · sector 24
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 42 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangzhou Shiyuan Electronic Technology Company (002841) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥20.98 versus a price of ¥50.17, about −58% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002841?
Our model-based fair value for Guangzhou Shiyuan Electronic Technology Company is ¥20.98 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥50.17.
What is the quality score of 002841?
Guangzhou Shiyuan Electronic Technology Company has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangzhou Shiyuan Electronic Technology Company (002841)?
Guangzhou Shiyuan Electronic Technology Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 25.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002841?
The net profit margin of Guangzhou Shiyuan Electronic Technology Company is about 4.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Guangzhou Shiyuan Electronic Technology Company pay a dividend?
Guangzhou Shiyuan Electronic Technology Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.11% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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