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Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd stock ¥8.04, price ¥15.40, that is 47.8% below the price, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials CN · ISIN CNE100002QG4

SG Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 5, 2026

Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd

002869 · SHE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 48% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 41/100
Revenue last quarter 20% below a year ago.
Fair value ¥8.04 · Strongly overvalued (−47.8%)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −21.6 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -45.9% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 14/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥37.31 ¥10.85 Fair Value ¥8.04 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.85 – ¥37.31 · fair‑value band ¥5.31 – ¥10.05 · the ¥15.40 price screens above the ¥8.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, and sale of smart transportation technologies in China.

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The company offers smart highway products, such as unmanned smart charging, mobile emergency charging, smart tunnel integration, smart maintenance construction, and smart service area solutions; and urban digital transportation products, including smart intersection holographic perception, smart transportation digital twin, RFID electric bicycle management, urban parking ETC recovery, and city-level smart parking solutions.

It also provides vehicle-road collaboration products comprising intelligent connected bus, smart highway, intelligent connected test zone, and intelligent networking solutions; and automotive electronics consisting of V2X autonomous driving, car T-BOX, ETC car front-end, and body electronics solutions, as well as digital energy solutions.

The company was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Shenzhen, China.

Stock analysis

Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869) currently trades at ¥15.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.04, 48% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: ¥5.31 (bear) to ¥10.05 (bull), the price of ¥15.40 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd reported revenue of 464M CNY in FY2025 versus 302M CNY in FY2021, a compound +11.4%/yr. Reported net income was −130M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.7B CNY (≈ $409M) Small · P/S ratio 6.12 · EPS (TTM) ¥−1.11 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin −45.9% · Return on equity −9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin −41.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 14 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −48%, 002869 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥5.31 Fair Value ¥8.04 Bull ¥10.05
Price ¥15.40 · Downside -47.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.31 ¥8.04 ¥10.05 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.31 ¥8.04 ¥10.05 52

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 2
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 6
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 2
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 96
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 97
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 59
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 19
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 6
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 63
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−22.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.7% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
49.4% (2020) → −18.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

002869 screens overvalued: fair value 48% below the price. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 564 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −47.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −5.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −45.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −41.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −19.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.4% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.33× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 6.49× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 66
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)27 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 300750 ¥254.22 ¥648.35 +155% vs 002869
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥81.97 ¥182.32 +122% vs 002869
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥23.86 ¥29.39 +23% vs 002869
Vertiv Holdings VRT $182.86 $178.64 −2% vs 002869
Legrand SA LR €129.65 €82.57 −36% vs 002869
Prysmian S.p.A PRY €101.00 €64.29 −36% vs 002869
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 66.98 CHF 29.49 −56% vs 002869
Samsung SDI Co 006400 468,000 KRW 153,766 KRW −67% vs 002869
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company DELTA 177.00 THB 39.14 THB −78% vs 002869
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 337,500 KRW 53,325 KRW −84% vs 002869

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Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002869

Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.04 versus a price of ¥15.40, about 48% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002869?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd is ¥8.04 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥15.40.
What is the quality score of 002869?
Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥8.04 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.31, optimistic scenario ¥10.05. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥8.04, about 48% lower versus a price of ¥15.40 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.31, optimistic scenario ¥10.05. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869)?
Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 420M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.36% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869)?
Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 1.4%.
What is the intrinsic value of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd it is ¥8.04 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥15.40. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 002869 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥15.40, fair value ¥8.04, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002869?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥15.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥8.04). For Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd the two are ¥7.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd at about 2.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥15.40; our models calculate a fair value of ¥8.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002869?
Our models span a range for Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥5.31, base ¥8.04, optimistic ¥10.05 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥15.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −9.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002869 from its 52-week high?
Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd trades at ¥15.40, about 46% below its 52-week high of ¥28.74 and 14% above the low of ¥13.49 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥8.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥15.40, calculated fair value ¥8.04 (−48%), Quality Score 41/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002869 calculated?
We run Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥8.04 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥15.40. Our model-based fair value is ¥8.04, about 48% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥10.05). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥5.31 to ¥10.05) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869)?
The market capitalisation of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd is 2.7B CNY (≈ $409M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd is 6.12 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd are ¥−1.11. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869)?
The dividend yield of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd is 1.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869)?
The net margin of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd is −45.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd is −9.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd is −1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869)?
The operating margin of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd is −41.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869)?
Revenue at Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd is growing −19.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd are growing +80.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869) generate?
The free cash flow of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd is −28.3M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd (002869) hold?
Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 935M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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