Shenzhen Sinovatio Technology Co (002912) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 3.4B CNY

A solid business, but screening 28% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥14.17 – ¥50.14 · fair‑value band ¥10.98 – ¥18.29 · the ¥20.36 price screens above the ¥14.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Shenzhen Sinovatio Technology Co (002912) currently trades at ¥20.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.63, implying the stock looks roughly 28.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Sinovatio Technology Co generated revenue of 769M CNY at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue grew 21.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 934M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥10.98 (bear case) to ¥18.29 (bull case); at ¥20.36, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -28%, 002912 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥14.52) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.03). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Shenzhen Sinovatio Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of network visualization infrastructure, network content security, data operation, and industrial Internet security products.

Full company description

Shenzhen Sinovatio Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of network visualization infrastructure, network content security, data operation, and industrial Internet security products. The company offers telecom network visualization and analysis products, network flow management and DPI products, mobile data acquisition and analysis products, and a Deepinsight data fusion center. It also provides services, such as technical solution consulting, project implementation supporting, remote technical support, on-site fault handling technical, network regular inspection, and on-site duty support, as well as provides radio signal detectors. In addition, the company offers broadband internet data aggregation and distribution management products, mobile access network data collection and analysis products; and technical services such as installation, debugging, and training for related products. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Sinovatio Technology Ltd. and changed its name to Shenzhen Sinovatio Technology Co., Ltd. in March 2015. Shenzhen Sinovatio Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Sinovatio Technology Co reported revenue of ¥751M in FY2025 versus ¥694M in FY2021, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥69.4M in FY2025, compounding +5.4%/yr from FY2021.

002912 screens 28% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 480 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.