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New Hope Dairy Co (002946) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 13.9B CNY

Price¥15.59
Fair Value¥17.84
Upside+14.4%
Quality92/100
Evidence: High Range ¥13.38 – ¥22.30

Analysis

New Hope Dairy Co (002946) currently trades at ¥15.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥17.84 — implying the stock looks roughly 14.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 92/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. produces and sells dairy products in China. It offers pasteurized milk, ultra-high temperature milk, modified milk, fermented milk, and other dairy products, as well as involved in food trading, dairy cattle breeding, and other businesses. New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. was founded in 2006 and is based in Chengdu, China. New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of UNIVERSAL DAIRY LIMITED.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.