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GRG Metrology & Test Group (002967) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 11.6B CNY

GM GRG Metrology & Test Group 002967 · SHE
Price¥17.25
Fair Value¥11.69
Upside-32.2%
Quality67/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.93% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range ¥8.49 – ¥14.91 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥13.99 to ¥11.69 (−16.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −6.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 32% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥14.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥42.16 ¥9.46 Fair Value ¥11.69 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.46 – ¥42.16 · fair‑value band ¥8.49 – ¥14.91 · the ¥17.25 price screens above the ¥11.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

GRG Metrology & Test Group (002967) currently trades at ¥17.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.69, implying the stock looks roughly 32.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, GRG Metrology & Test Group generated revenue of 3.7B CNY at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue grew 15.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at 769M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥8.49 (bear case) to ¥14.91 (bull case); at ¥17.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -4% fair-value upside, at -32%, 002967 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥11.76 ¥22.72 ¥43.51 80
Residual Income ¥5.22 ¥6.12 ¥11.94 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.01 ¥16.70 ¥28.12 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥12.30 ¥20.48 ¥43.70 38
Owner Earnings ¥10.61 ¥23.45 ¥50.33 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥9.01 ¥15.87 ¥28.95 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.98 ¥26.66 ¥49.54 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥11.19 ¥22.23 ¥36.33 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥9.68 ¥18.30 ¥28.62 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.45 ¥27.64 ¥53.55 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥11.49 ¥22.39 ¥40.86 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.53 ¥31.42 ¥44.09 54
Lynch FV ¥9.27 ¥13.24 ¥17.21 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥9.27 ¥13.24 ¥17.21 46
EPV ¥6.98 ¥8.06 ¥9.01 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.42 ¥5.04 ¥7.99 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.42 ¥4.25 ¥5.29 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥10.49 ¥13.99 ¥17.49 63
P/S Multiple ¥8.46 ¥11.28 ¥14.11 58
P/B Multiple ¥8.49 ¥11.32 ¥14.16 55
EV/EBIT ¥10.15 ¥13.37 ¥16.59 53
EV/EBITDA ¥14.94 ¥19.76 ¥24.58 54
EV/Revenue ¥7.38 ¥10.34 ¥13.29 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.83 ¥3.80 ¥5.67 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥11.76 ¥22.72 ¥43.51 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.01 ¥16.70 ¥28.12 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.22 ¥6.12 ¥11.94 76
ROIC Compounder ¥8.02 ¥11.59 ¥14.36 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥12.70 ¥18.14 ¥23.59 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥22.23) versus Asset-Based (¥3.80). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.4%
Net margin 11.8%
Return on equity 10.7%
Free cash flow 481M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 23.2
More key figures
Operating margin 1.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.7800
Dividend yield 1.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +226%
Net debt 769M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

GRG Metrology & Test Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a third-party measurement and testing institution in China.

Full company description

GRG Metrology & Test Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a third-party measurement and testing institution in China. It offers measurement and calibration, environmental and reliability testing, EMC testing, chemical and failure analysis, safety test and certification, environmental monitoring, and food and agricultural product testing services; integrated circuit testing and analysis, electromagnetic compatibility testing, and ecological environment testing; and EHS evaluation services, including safety evaluation, environmental impact assessment, and occupational health evaluation; and reference materials. The company also provides data science analysis and evaluation services, such as network security, software evaluation, and artificial intelligence testing; and technical services, including artificial intelligence ecosystem verification and human-machine efficacy evaluation, as well as digital services comprising data governance capability evaluation, digital evaluation consulting and training, and data asset security compliance evaluation and inclusion. In addition, It offers technical training and consulting; and software development services. The company serves the vehicle, aviation, rail transit, ship, communication, electricity, food, agriculture, medical, electronic, textile, and petrochemical industries. The company was formerly known as Guang Zhou GRG Metrology & Test Co., Ltd and changed its name to GRG Metrology & Test Group Co., Ltd. in March 2023. GRG Metrology & Test Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1964 and is based in Guangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GRG Metrology & Test Group reported revenue of ¥3.6B in FY2025 versus ¥2.2B in FY2021, a compound +12.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥425M in FY2025, compounding +23.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.6B CNY
Latest YoY
+12.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+11.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+14.3%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+27.5%
Revenue +12.5%/yr
FY21 ¥2.2B
FY22 ¥2.6B
FY23 ¥2.9B
FY24 ¥3.2B
FY25 ¥3.6B
Net income +23.6%/yr
FY21 ¥182M
FY22 ¥184M
FY23 ¥199M
FY24 ¥352M
FY25 ¥425M

002967 screens 32% overvalued. Compare with Verisk Analytics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GRG Metrology & Test Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002967

Peer Group

Consulting Services · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −32% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 15% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.22× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Consulting Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.20× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.12× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 13.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 20
FUTURE 77 · sector 11
PAST 43 · sector 41
HEALTH 89 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 39 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Consulting Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Verisk Analytics, Inc VRSK $201.49 $145.58 -28%
SGS SA SGSN CHF 94.68 CHF 68.96 -27%
Equifax Inc EFX $177.08 $101.34 -43%
Bureau Veritas SA BVI €27.20 €27.81 +2%
ALS Limited ALQ A$21.96 A$11.02 -50%
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding BAH $63.94 $120.62 +89%
DKSH Holding DKSH CHF 67.60 CHF 64.81 -4%
FTI Consulting, Inc FCN $156.86 $171.64 +9%
Centre Testing International Group 300012 ¥14.06 ¥11.90 -15%
Ipsos SA IPS €34.88 €85.77 +146%

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Frequently asked questions

Is GRG Metrology & Test Group (002967) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.69 versus a price of ¥17.25, about −32% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002967?
Our model-based fair value for GRG Metrology & Test Group is ¥11.69 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥17.25.
What is the quality score of 002967?
GRG Metrology & Test Group has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of GRG Metrology & Test Group (002967)?
GRG Metrology & Test Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002967?
The net profit margin of GRG Metrology & Test Group is about 11.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does GRG Metrology & Test Group pay a dividend?
GRG Metrology & Test Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.93% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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