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Booz Allen Hamilton Holding (BAH) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $7.6B

BA Booz Allen Hamilton Holding logo Booz Allen Hamilton Holding BAH · US
Price$73.93
Fair Value$120.62
Upside+63.2%
Quality53/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 7.6% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
3.46% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range $66.97 – $150.78 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $120.81 to $120.62 (−0.2%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +16.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 63% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($66.97 to $150.78) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$178.70 $59.71 Fair Value $120.62 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $59.71 – $178.70 · fair‑value band $66.97 – $150.78 · the $73.93 price screens below the $120.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding (BAH) currently trades at $73.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $120.62, implying the stock looks roughly 63.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding generated revenue of $11.2B at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue declined 6.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 80.7%. Net debt stands at $3.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $66.97 (bear case) to $150.78 (bull case); at $73.93, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at 63%, BAH screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $60.15 $99.62 $153.85 80
Residual Income $48.81 $83.48 $1,841 76
Rev-Margin DCF $54.78 $102.56 $157.53 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $58.97 $103.84 $169.56 38
Owner Earnings $56.54 $100.13 $163.99 31
5Y Revenue Exit $54.78 $102.36 $162.80 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $62.29 $116.42 $179.20 41
5Y P/E Exit $64.70 $120.92 $179.70 38
10Y Revenue Exit $53.07 $96.23 $153.69 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $60.18 $105.77 $165.92 37
10Y P/E Exit $61.68 $108.83 $166.29 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $48.25 $150.27 $199.87 54
Lynch FV $32.68 $46.69 $60.70 50
PEG = 1.0 $32.68 $46.69 $60.70 46
EPV $48.01 $59.79 $69.96 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $20.21 $40.27 $60.98 70
DDM Multi-Stage $20.21 $32.85 $42.51 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $106.43 $141.91 $177.39 63
P/S Multiple $90.47 $120.62 $150.78 58
P/B Multiple $20.73 $27.64 $34.55 55
EV/EBIT $96.52 $137.57 $178.61 53
EV/EBITDA $75.56 $109.63 $143.69 54
EV/Revenue $56.38 $91.96 $127.53 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.61 $6.17 $9.21 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $60.15 $99.62 $153.85 80
Rev-Margin DCF $54.78 $102.56 $157.53 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $48.81 $83.48 $1,841 76
ROIC Compounder $53.06 $72.61 $94.68 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $88.49 $126.42 $164.34 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($126.42) versus Asset-Based ($6.17). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $11.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.5%
Net margin 7.6%
Return on equity 80.7%
Free cash flow $951M FY2026
P/E ratio 11.6
More key figures
Operating margin 9.5%
EPS (TTM) $6.77
Dividend yield 3.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +10.3%
Net debt $3.4B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 73
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 13
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation, a technology company, provides technology solutions using artificial intelligence, cyber, and other technologies for government's cabinet-level departments and commercial customers in the United States and internationally.

Full company description

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation, a technology company, provides technology solutions using artificial intelligence, cyber, and other technologies for government's cabinet-level departments and commercial customers in the United States and internationally. The company offers artificial intelligence (AI) which creates purpose-built AI solutions that adapt commercial and technology to the needs of the federal government; cyber solutions; and legacy systems with cloud-enabled infrastructure, data platforms, and software applications.It also provides multi-modal data fusion coupled with cyber and AI for intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance, earth observation, and domain awareness and battle management; and quantum information sciences that provides quantum computing, quantum sensing, quantum communications, post-quantum compute readiness, and post-quantum cryptography. Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation was founded in 1914 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding reported revenue of $11.2B in FY2026 versus $8.4B in FY2022, a compound +7.6%/yr. Reported net income was $851M in FY2026, compounding +16.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$11.2B
Latest YoY
−6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+5.7%
Revenue +7.6%/yr
FY22 $8.4B
FY23 $9.3B
FY24 $10.7B
FY25 $12.0B
FY26 $11.2B
Net income +16.2%/yr
FY22 $467M
FY23 $272M
FY24 $606M
FY25 $935M
FY26 $851M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BAH

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Consulting Services · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside +63% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 81% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth -7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 3.55× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Consulting Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 6.90× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.68× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.09× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 26
FUTURE 0 · sector 11
PAST 100 · sector 41
HEALTH 0 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 69 · sector 59

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Consulting Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

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ALS Limited ALQ A$21.96 A$11.02 -50%
DKSH Holding DKSH CHF 67.60 CHF 64.81 -4%
FTI Consulting, Inc FCN $156.86 $171.64 +9%
Centre Testing International Group 300012 ¥14.06 ¥11.90 -15%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Booz Allen Hamilton Holding (BAH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $120.62 versus a price of $73.93, about +63% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BAH?
Our model-based fair value for Booz Allen Hamilton Holding is $120.62 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $73.93.
What is the quality score of BAH?
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding has a Quality Score of 53/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Booz Allen Hamilton Holding (BAH)?
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BAH?
The net profit margin of Booz Allen Hamilton Holding is about 7.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Booz Allen Hamilton Holding pay a dividend?
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.85% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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