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Equifax Inc (EFX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Equifax Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · US · ISIN US2944291051

EI Equifax Inc logo Broad data Sep 18, 2026

Equifax Inc

EFX · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $100.04 · Strongly overvalued (−37%)
!Quality 63/100
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +8.0 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 11.1% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·1.30% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Moderate moat 58/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Weak on dividend: 26 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$301.98 $145.86 Fair Value $100.04 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $145.86 – $301.98 · fair‑value band $57.05 – $145.57 · the $158.87 price screens above the $100.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

Equifax Inc. operates as a data, analytics, and technology company. The company operates through three segments: Workforce Solutions, U.S. Information Solutions (USIS), and International.

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Equifax Inc. operates as a data, analytics, and technology company. The company operates through three segments: Workforce Solutions, U.S. Information Solutions (USIS), and International. The Workforce Solutions segment offers services that enables customers to verify income, employment, educational history, criminal justice data, healthcare professional licensure, and sanctions of people in the United States; and employer customers with services that that assist them in complying with and automating certain payroll-related and human resource management processes throughout the entire cycle of the employment relationship. The U.S. Information Solutions segment provides consumer and commercial information services, such as credit information and credit scoring, credit modeling and portfolio analytics, locate, fraud detection and prevention, identity verification, and other consulting services; mortgage services; financial marketing services; identity management services; and credit monitoring products. The International segment offers information service products, which include consumer and commercial services comprising credit and financial information, and credit scoring and modeling; and credit and other marketing products and services, as well as information, technology, and services to support debt collections and recovery management. The company also provides information solutions for businesses, governments and consumers; and human resources business process automation and outsourcing services for employers. It operates in Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Honduras, India, Ireland, Mexico, New Zealand, Paraguay, Peru, Portugal, Spain, the United Kingdom, Uruguay, and the United States. The company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Stock analysis

Equifax Inc (EFX) currently trades at $158.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $100.04, implying the stock looks roughly 58.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $105.19 per share, and 2 of the 26 models we run sit above the $158.87 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $25.91, and 24 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $57.05 (bear) to $145.57 (bull), the price of $158.87 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Equifax Inc reported revenue of $6.1B in FY2025 versus $4.9B in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was $660M in FY2025, compounding −2.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $21.4B · P/E ratio 27.6 · P/S ratio 3.00 · EPS (TTM) $5.68 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 10.9% · Return on equity 14.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −37%, EFX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $57.05 Fair Value $100.04 Bull $145.57
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.56 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $76.13 $137.63 $231.95 78
Growth DCF $77.91 $132.16 $210.20 77
Owner Earnings $54.24 $103.35 $178.67 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $76.13 $137.63 $231.95 78
Owner Earnings $54.24 $103.35 $178.67 74
5Y Revenue Exit $45.26 $85.02 $134.89 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $91.99 $172.76 $267.10 73
5Y P/E Exit $56.00 $105.19 $156.45 69
10Y Revenue Exit $53.43 $92.45 $143.55 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $85.23 $153.50 $244.83 67
10Y P/E Exit $62.25 $106.49 $160.07 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $37.71 $119.50 $159.22 64
Lynch FV $26.28 $37.54 $48.80 61
PEG = 1.0 $26.28 $37.54 $48.80 57
EPV $36.61 $48.14 $58.23 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $17.95 $37.32 $59.21 66
DDM Multi-Stage $17.95 $29.93 $39.17 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $87.34 $116.45 $145.57 63
P/S Multiple $70.70 $94.27 $117.84 58
P/B Multiple $70.70 $94.27 $117.84 55
EV/EBIT $84.73 $123.82 $162.91 65
EV/EBITDA $116.66 $166.39 $216.13 67
EV/Revenue $31.74 $59.29 $86.84 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $19.33 $25.91 $38.67 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $77.91 $132.16 $210.20 77
Rev-Margin DCF $45.26 $85.85 $133.07 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $38.04 $48.43 $117.22 69
ROIC Compounder $36.61 $53.80 $77.11 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $72.67 $103.82 $134.96 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.9%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Revenue growth 40 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+3.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1% vs 4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 18%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect Analysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+8.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+11.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+9.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)+8.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+7.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+6.6%

EFX screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Verisk Analytics, Inc →

Recent news

News mood News mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Consulting Services · 84 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside −44% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 14% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.88× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Consulting Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B 4.64× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 3.40× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 18.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 13.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.44× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)72 · sector 10
PAST (return on equity)57 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)56 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)26 · sector 68

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Consulting Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Verisk Analytics, Inc VRSK $181.75 $145.58 −20%
SGS SA SGSN CHF 93.34 CHF 68.96 −26%
Bureau Veritas SA BVI €27.59 €27.81 +1%
ALS Limited ALQ A$21.06 A$10.93 −48%
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding BAH $78.41 $146.45 +87%
DKSH Holding DKSH CHF 65.70 CHF 64.81 −1%
FTI Consulting, Inc FCN $141.00 $164.69 +17%
Centre Testing International Group 300012 ¥14.53 ¥15.98 +10%
GRG Metrology & Test Group 002967 ¥17.12 ¥18.83 +10%
Ipsos SA IPS €34.58 €78.34 +127%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Equifax Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EFX

Frequently asked questions

Is Equifax Inc (EFX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $100.04 versus a price of $158.87, about −37% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EFX?
Our model-based fair value for Equifax Inc is $100.04 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $158.87.
What is the quality score of EFX?
Equifax Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Equifax Inc (EFX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $100.04 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $57.05, optimistic scenario $145.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Equifax Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $100.04, about −37% upside versus a price of $158.87 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $57.05, optimistic scenario $145.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
Equifax Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Equifax Inc pay a dividend?
Equifax Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.30% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into Equifax Inc (EFX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Equifax Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +11.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.0 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EFX use?
Our models discount Equifax Inc at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.31, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Equifax Inc that is +11.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Equifax Inc (EFX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Equifax Inc grew +8.0 % a year. The price currently implies +11.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Equifax Inc (EFX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Equifax Inc (+11.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.75 %: that much free cash flow Equifax Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Equifax Inc it is $100.04 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $158.87. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Equifax Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, EFX trades above its calculated fair value: price $158.87, fair value $100.04, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EFX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($158.87); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($100.04). For Equifax Inc the two are $58.83 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Equifax Inc worth?
The market values Equifax Inc at about $21.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $158.87; our models calculate a fair value of $100.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EFX?
Our models span a range for Equifax Inc: cautious scenario $57.05, base $100.04, optimistic $145.57 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price $158.87). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EFX?
Equifax Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.6 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $100.04 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.4, P/B 4.6, P/S 3.4, EV/EBITDA 13.1.
What is the PEG ratio of EFX?
The PEG ratio of Equifax Inc is 1.44 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Equifax Inc (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 14.4%, debt of 0.88 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EFX from its 52-week high?
Equifax Inc trades at $158.87, about 42% below its 52-week high of $273.00 and 2% above the low of $155.93 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $100.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Equifax Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Verisk Analytics, Inc, SGS SA, Bureau Veritas SA, ALS Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Equifax Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $158.87, calculated fair value $100.04 (−37%), Quality Score 63/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EFX calculated?
We run Equifax Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $100.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Equifax Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $158.87. Our model-based fair value is $100.04, about −37% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Equifax Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($145.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($57.05 to $145.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Equifax Inc (EFX) come from?
Earnings per share at Equifax Inc grew +3.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.1 %, EBIT margin −4.0 %, tax rate +1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Equifax Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
The market capitalisation of Equifax Inc is $21.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Equifax Inc is 3.00 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
Earnings per share at Equifax Inc are $5.68 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
The dividend yield of Equifax Inc is 1.3% (payout 36.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
The net margin of Equifax Inc is 10.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Equifax Inc is 14.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Equifax Inc is 9.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Equifax Inc (EFX)?
The operating margin of Equifax Inc is 17.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Equifax Inc (EFX)?
Revenue at Equifax Inc is growing +14.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Equifax Inc (EFX)?
Earnings per share at Equifax Inc are growing +34.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Equifax Inc (EFX) carry?
The net debt of Equifax Inc is $4.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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