Seoul Food (004410) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 20, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Seoul Food stock KRW 507, price KRW 1,273, upside -60.2%, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 890.00 KRW – 4,650 KRW · fair‑value band 224.79 KRW – 788.25 KRW · the 1,273 KRW price screens above the 506.52 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Seoul Food Industrial. Co.,Ltd engages in the manufacture and sale of food products in South Korea, Vietnam, and internationally. The company offers frozen doughs, bread crumbs, snacks, and pizzas. It also operates bakeries; and provides food waste recycling services. Seoul Food Industrial.
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Co.,Ltd was incorporated in 1955 and is headquartered in Chungju-si, South Korea.
Stock analysis
Seoul Food (004410) currently trades at 1,273 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 506.52 KRW, 60.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: 224.79 KRW (bear) to 788.25 KRW (bull), the price of 1,273 KRW sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Seoul Food reported revenue of 68.6B KRW in FY2025 versus 55.3B KRW in FY2021, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was −1.6B KRW in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 50.0B KRW (≈ $37.6M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.98 · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.2% · Operating margin 0.3% · Revenue (TTM) 49.5B KRW · Revenue growth (YoY) −3.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 19 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at −60%, 004410 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear224.79 KRWFair Value 506.52 KRWBull788.25 KRW
Price 1,273 KRW · Upside -60.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.30/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.2% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.2% (2020) → −0.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 616 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−59.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)2.7% · Below median
Return on assets−2.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)1.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−3.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.84× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)1.00× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA14.7× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 23
PAST (return on equity)11· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 57
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Seoul Food Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/004410
Frequently asked questions
Is Seoul Food (004410) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 506.52 KRW versus a price of 1,273 KRW, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 004410?
Our model-based fair value for Seoul Food is 506.52 KRW (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,273 KRW.
What is the quality score of 004410?
Seoul Food has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Seoul Food (004410)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 506.52 KRW (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 224.79 KRW, optimistic scenario 788.25 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Seoul Food stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 506.52 KRW, about −60% upside versus a price of 1,273 KRW (overvalued). Cautious scenario 224.79 KRW, optimistic scenario 788.25 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Seoul Food (004410)?
Seoul Food reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 49.5B KRW (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Seoul Food (004410)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Seoul Food it is 506.52 KRW per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 1,273 KRW. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Seoul Food stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 004410 trades above its calculated fair value: price 1,273 KRW, fair value 506.52 KRW, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 004410?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,273 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (506.52 KRW). For Seoul Food the two are 766.48 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Seoul Food worth?
The market values Seoul Food at about 50.0B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 1,273 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 506.52 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 004410?
Our models span a range for Seoul Food: cautious scenario 224.79 KRW, base 506.52 KRW, optimistic 788.25 KRW per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 1,273 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Seoul Food (004410)?
Balance-sheet figures for Seoul Food (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 2.7%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 004410 from its 52-week high?
Seoul Food trades at 1,273 KRW, about 53% below its 52-week high of 2,680 KRW and 43% above the low of 890.00 KRW (as of Oct 20, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 506.52 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Seoul Food?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Seoul Food stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 1,273 KRW, calculated fair value 506.52 KRW (−60%), Quality Score 39/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 004410 calculated?
We run Seoul Food through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 506.52 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Seoul Food itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Seoul Food (004410)?
The closing price on Oct 20, 2026 was 1,273 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 506.52 KRW, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Seoul Food right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (788.25 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (224.79 KRW to 788.25 KRW). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Seoul Food
How large is the market capitalisation of Seoul Food (004410)?
The market capitalisation of Seoul Food is 50.0B KRW (≈ $37.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Seoul Food (004410)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Seoul Food is 0.98 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Seoul Food (004410)?
The net margin of Seoul Food is 1.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Seoul Food (004410)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Seoul Food is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Seoul Food (004410)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Seoul Food is −1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Seoul Food (004410)?
The operating margin of Seoul Food is 0.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Seoul Food (004410)?
Revenue at Seoul Food is growing −3.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Seoul Food (004410)?
Earnings per share at Seoul Food are growing −77.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Seoul Food (004410) generate?
The free cash flow of Seoul Food is −1.7B KRW (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Seoul Food (004410) carry?
The net debt of Seoul Food is 24.5B KRW (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 3, 2026