China New Economy Fund Ltd (0080) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$588M (≈ $75.0M) · ISIN KYG211971687
What is China New Economy Fund Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 170% above our fair value of HK$0.1000.
As of Aug 24, 2026, the fair value of China New Economy Fund Ltd is HK$0.1000 per share against a price of HK$0.2700, so the fair value sits 63% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 13 days ago
Share price +11.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0387 – HK$0.6200 · fair‑value band HK$0.0800 – HK$0.1300 · the HK$0.2700 price screens above the HK$0.1000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
Analysis
China New Economy Fund Ltd (0080) currently trades at HK$0.2700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1000, implying the stock looks roughly 170.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$22.8K. Revenue declined 49.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −19.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$27.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0800 (bear case) to HK$0.1300 (bull case); at HK$0.2700, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 312% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −63%, 0080 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.1000) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0800). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
CAI Corp is a mutual fund launched and managed by CITIC Securities International Investment Management (HK) Limited. It invests in public equity markets. China New Economy Fund Limited is domiciled in Cayman Islands.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China New Economy Fund Ltd reported revenue of −HK$5.2M in FY2025 versus −HK$35.9M in FY2021. Reported net income was −HK$31.7M in FY2025.
0080 screens 170% overvalued. Compare with Blackstone Inc →
Peer Group
Asset Management · 695 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackstone Inc BX | $142.39 | $52.88 | −63% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 408.05 | kr 827.56 | +103% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$55.74 | C$10.67 | −81% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $108.68 | $19.97 | −82% |
| Apollo Global Management, Inc APO | $135.04 | $101.04 | −25% |
| State Street Corporation STT | $193.33 | $138.33 | −28% |
| Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP | $559.32 | $515.24 | −8% |
| Ares Management Corporation ARES | $143.10 | $30.88 | −78% |
| Northern Trust Corporation NTRS | $186.79 | $122.02 | −35% |
| Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF | $181.10 | $142.42 | −21% |
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