0154 (0154) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$623M

0 0154 0154 · HK

PriceHK$0.4150

Fair ValueHK$0.3088

Upside-25.6%

Quality56/100

Evidence: High Range HK$0.2265 – HK$0.3862

Fair value as of: Jul 1, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −15.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.4150 – HK$0.7000 · fair‑value band HK$0.2265 – HK$0.3862 · the HK$0.4150 price screens above the HK$0.3088 fair value. As of Jul 1, 2026.

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Analysis

0154 (0154) currently trades at HK$0.4150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3088 — implying the stock looks roughly 25.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 0154 generated revenue of HK$1.4B at a net margin of 16.3%. Revenue declined 18.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. Net debt stands at HK$2.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 1, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.4B

Revenue growth (YoY) -18.9%

Net margin 16.3%

Return on equity 6.3%

Free cash flow HK$449M FY2025

P/E ratio 2.3

More key figures

Operating margin 31.6%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.0800

EPS growth (YoY) -31.2%

Net debt HK$2.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

0154 reported revenue of HK$1.4B in FY2025 versus HK$2.4B in FY2021, a compound −12.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$232M in FY2025, compounding −3.2%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −12.5%/yr

FY21 HK$2.4B

FY22 HK$2.6B

FY23 HK$1.6B

FY24 HK$1.7B

FY25 HK$1.4B

Net income −3.2%/yr

FY21 HK$264M

FY22 HK$304M

FY23 HK$190M

FY24 HK$286M

FY25 HK$232M

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Waste Management, Inc WM	$213.31	$128.02	-40%
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Republic Services, Inc RSG	$212.59	$98.69	-54%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN	$155.22	$47.73	-69%
Veolia Environnement SA VEOEF	$41.05	$35.75	-13%
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Frequently asked questions

Is 0154 (0154) undervalued?

As of Jul 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3088 versus a price of HK$0.4150 — about −26% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 0154?

Our model-based fair value for 0154 is HK$0.3088 (as of Jul 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.4150.

What is the quality score of 0154?

0154 has a Quality Score of 56/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 0154 (0154)?

0154 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 1, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 0154?

The net profit margin of 0154 is about 16.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.