China Minsheng Financial Holding Corp Ltd (0245) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$2.0B (≈ $249M) · ISIN HK0000268943
What is China Minsheng Financial Holding Corp Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 51% below our fair value of HK$2.05.
As of Aug 27, 2026, the fair value of China Minsheng Financial Holding Corp Ltd is HK$2.05 per share against a price of HK$1.00, so the fair value sits 105% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.54). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2400 – HK$2.40 · fair‑value band HK$1.54 – HK$2.57 · the HK$1.00 price screens below the HK$2.05 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
China Minsheng Financial Holding Corp Ltd (0245) currently trades at HK$1.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.05, implying the stock looks roughly 51.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 15 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$114M. Revenue declined 39.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$293M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.54 (bear case) to HK$2.57 (bull case); at HK$1.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at 105%, 0245 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.2729 per share, which is 13.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$2.06) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.62). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
China Vered Financial Holding Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, provides asset management, consultancy, financing, and securities advisory and brokerage services in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, and Japan. The company is involved in money lending services.
Full company description
China Vered Financial Holding Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, provides asset management, consultancy, financing, and securities advisory and brokerage services in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, and Japan. The company is involved in money lending services. The company was formerly known as China Minsheng Financial Holding Corporation Limited and changed its name to China Vered Financial Holding Corporation Limited in July 2020. China Vered Financial Holding Corporation Limited was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Wong Chuk Hang, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Minsheng Financial Holding Corp Ltd reported revenue of HK$112M in FY2025 versus HK$303M in FY2021, a compound −22.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$124M in FY2025, compounding +14.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Asset Management · 695 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackstone Inc BX | $142.39 | $52.88 | −63% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 408.05 | kr 827.56 | +103% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$55.74 | C$10.67 | −81% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $108.68 | $19.97 | −82% |
| Apollo Global Management, Inc APO | $135.04 | $101.04 | −25% |
| State Street Corporation STT | $193.33 | $138.33 | −28% |
| Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP | $559.32 | $515.24 | −8% |
| Ares Management Corporation ARES | $143.10 | $30.88 | −78% |
| Northern Trust Corporation NTRS | $186.79 | $122.02 | −35% |
| Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF | $181.10 | $142.42 | −21% |
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