Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group (0256) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$261M
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from HK$0.0541 to HK$0.0558 (+3.1%) since Jul 1, 2026. Share price +11.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 34% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0562). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.0554 to HK$0.0562), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0600 – HK$1.73 · fair‑value band HK$0.0554 – HK$0.0562 · the HK$0.0850 price screens above the HK$0.0558 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group (0256) currently trades at HK$0.0850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0558, implying the stock looks roughly 34.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group generated revenue of HK$1.3B at a net margin of -16.3%. Revenue declined 12.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$6.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0554 (bear case) to HK$0.0562 (bull case); at HK$0.0850, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -34%, 0256 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.0643) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0165). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures, sells, and distributes watches and timepieces in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, Liechtenstein, and internationally.
Full company description
Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures, sells, and distributes watches and timepieces in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, Liechtenstein, and internationally. It operates through Manufacturing and Distribution of Watches and Timepieces and Watch Accessories; Property Investments; and Banking and Financial Businesses segments. The company offers watches and timepieces under the Rossini, Corum, Eterna, Dreyfuss & Co, J&T Windmills, rotary, EBOHR, and Ernest Borel brands. It is also involved in the property investment activities; distribution of glasses; designing, development, and manufacturing of stainless-steel alloy watches cases and smartwatches cases; assets management, accepting client deposits, and making investment and granting loan; and issuance of bonds, and provision of investment fund services. In addition, it engages in the provision of investment counselling services, as well as acting as technical administrator of fund units, acting as a fund management company, and acting as an alternative investment fund manager. The company was formerly known as China Haidian Holdings Limited and changed its name to Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group Limited in May 2014. Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group Limited is based in Kowloon, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group reported revenue of HK$1.3B in FY2025 versus HK$2.0B in FY2021, a compound −10.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$213M in FY2025.
0256 screens 34% overvalued. Compare with Compagnie Financière Richemont SA →
Peer Group
Luxury Goods · 130 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR | CHF 197.40 | CHF 117.30 | -41% |
| Christian Dior SE DIO | €455.40 | €502.30 | +10% |
| Kering SA KER | €248.50 | €60.61 | -76% |
| Tapestry, Inc TPR | $140.73 | $19.95 | -86% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$11.82 | HK$12.28 | +4% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 40.95 | CHF 21.48 | -48% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$43.26 | HK$64.05 | +48% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 779.40 | kr 1,424 | +83% |
| Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC | €80.32 | €42.69 | -47% |
| Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL | ₹546.60 | ₹238.57 | -56% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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