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WH Group Ltd (0288) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what WH Group Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · HK · ISIN KYG960071028

WG Thin data Aug 20, 2026

WH Group Ltd

0288 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

Fair value HK$20.11 · Strongly undervalued (+211%)
Quality 66/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.6% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
·16.96% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
!Moderate moat 51/100
!Insider activity 35/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$10.37 HK$2.86 Fair Value HK$20.11 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$2.86 – HK$10.37 · fair‑value band HK$13.83 – HK$25.14 · the HK$6.47 price screens below the HK$20.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Company profile

WH Group Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells packaged meats, pork, and hogs in China, North America, and Europe. It operates through Packaged Meats, Pork, and Others segments.

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WH Group Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells packaged meats, pork, and hogs in China, North America, and Europe. It operates through Packaged Meats, Pork, and Others segments. The company is involved in production, wholesale, and retail sale of low temperature and high temperature meat products; hog farming, slaughtering, and wholesale and retail sale of fresh and frozen pork; slaughtering, production, and sale of poultry; and sale of ancillary products and services, such as logistics and supply chain management services, flavoring ingredients and natural casings, condiments, biological pharmaceutical materials, and packaging materials. It also engages in the operation of finance and property development companies, and a chain of retail food stores; and livestock breeding. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

WH Group Ltd (0288) currently trades at HK$6.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$20.11, implying the stock looks roughly 67.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$2.58 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$6.47 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$2.04, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$13.83 (bear) to HK$25.14 (bull), the price of HK$6.47 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

WH Group Ltd reported revenue of $28.0B in FY2025 versus $27.3B in FY2021, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was $1.6B in FY2025, compounding +10.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$103B (≈ $13.1B) · P/E ratio 8.4 · P/S ratio 0.47 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0600 · Net margin 5.6% · Return on equity 15.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.4% · Operating margin 10.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at 211%, 0288 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$13.83 Fair Value HK$20.11 Bull HK$25.14
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$1.68 HK$2.52 HK$3.76 80
Growth DCF HK$1.72 HK$2.48 HK$3.54 78
Owner Earnings HK$1.49 HK$2.23 HK$3.32 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$1.68 HK$2.52 HK$3.76 80
Owner Earnings HK$1.49 HK$2.23 HK$3.32 76
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.77 HK$2.78 HK$4.06 72
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.08 HK$3.36 HK$4.82 75
5Y P/E Exit HK$1.72 HK$2.69 HK$3.69 71
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.67 HK$2.58 HK$3.76 66
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.92 HK$2.97 HK$4.33 68
10Y P/E Exit HK$1.69 HK$2.51 HK$3.48 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.8300 HK$2.31 HK$3.04 65
Lynch FV HK$0.4600 HK$0.6600 HK$0.8600 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.4600 HK$0.6600 HK$0.8600 57
EPV HK$1.57 HK$1.82 HK$2.04 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$1.29 HK$2.69 HK$4.26 66
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.29 HK$2.04 HK$2.82 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$1.92 HK$2.56 HK$3.21 63
P/S Multiple HK$1.56 HK$2.08 HK$2.60 58
P/B Multiple HK$1.56 HK$2.08 HK$2.60 55
EV/EBIT HK$2.66 HK$3.54 HK$4.42 66
EV/EBITDA HK$2.60 HK$3.46 HK$4.31 67
EV/Revenue HK$1.91 HK$2.72 HK$3.52 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4400 HK$0.5800 HK$0.8700 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.72 HK$2.48 HK$3.54 78
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.77 HK$2.79 HK$3.92 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.8500 HK$1.03 HK$1.84 73
ROIC Compounder HK$1.66 HK$2.06 HK$2.52 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.53 HK$2.19 HK$2.85 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest YoY
+8.0%
Revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
Revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
Revenue growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+10.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend, before any change in valuation.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: last 5 vs last 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10.1% vs 7.2%, steady
Share of sales kept as operating profit Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3.6% (2020) → 9.4% (2025) · rising

Growth Forecast

What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, ten years of growth, then 2 % a year. Compared with the average analyst sales forecast (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.5%
How much the company would have to grow every year for ten years to justify the current price.
Analysts expect (Ø 2026/2027)
+2.8%
Average analyst sales forecast for the next fiscal years, per year.
🔴 A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 638 stocks

Beats the industry median on 12/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +177% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 17.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.18× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.17× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.47× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.6× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 20.50× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)37 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)63 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)91 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 55

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 77.54 CHF 57.26 −26%
Danone S.A BN €61.38 €48.41 −21%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,478 ₹251.94 −83%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.60 $24.66 +0%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥34.18 ¥37.60 +10%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥26.66 ¥41.84 +57%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥26.38 ¥9.98 −62%
General Mills, Inc GIS $35.85 $27.48 −23%
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.64 SGD 3.89 SGD +7%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 75.00 TWD 68.72 TWD −8%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "WH Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0288.HK

Frequently asked questions

Is WH Group Ltd (0288) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$20.11 versus a price of HK$6.47, about +211% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0288?
Our model-based fair value for WH Group Ltd is HK$20.11 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$6.47.
What is the quality score of 0288?
WH Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for WH Group Ltd (0288)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$20.11 (as of Aug 20, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$13.83, optimistic scenario HK$25.14. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the WH Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$20.11, about +211% upside versus a price of HK$6.47 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$13.83, optimistic scenario HK$25.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of WH Group Ltd (0288)?
WH Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$28.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What growth is priced into WH Group Ltd (0288)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, WH Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +15.5 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.6 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.8 % per year. As of Aug 20, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0288 use?
Our models discount WH Group Ltd at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.24, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For WH Group Ltd that is +15.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has WH Group Ltd (0288) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at WH Group Ltd grew +1.8 % a year. The price currently implies +15.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of WH Group Ltd (0288) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into WH Group Ltd (+15.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of WH Group Ltd (0288)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.31 %: that much free cash flow WH Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of WH Group Ltd (0288)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For WH Group Ltd it is HK$20.11 per share (as of Aug 20, 2026), against a price of HK$6.47. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is WH Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 20, 2026, 0288 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$6.47, fair value HK$20.11, a gap of about +211% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0288?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$6.47); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$20.11). For WH Group Ltd the two are HK$13.65 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is WH Group Ltd worth?
The market values WH Group Ltd at about HK$103B (market capitalisation, as of Aug 20, 2026). Per share that is HK$6.47; our models calculate a fair value of HK$20.11 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0288?
Our models span a range for WH Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$13.83, base HK$20.11, optimistic HK$25.14 per share (as of Aug 20, 2026, price HK$6.47). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0288?
WH Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.4 (as of Aug 20, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$20.11 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 20.5, P/B 1.2, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 3.6.
What is the PEG ratio of 0288?
The PEG ratio of WH Group Ltd is 20.50 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Aug 20, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of WH Group Ltd (0288)?
Balance-sheet figures for WH Group Ltd (as of Aug 20, 2026): return on equity 15.7%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0288 from its 52-week high?
WH Group Ltd trades at HK$6.47, about 38% below its 52-week high of HK$10.38 (as of Aug 20, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$20.11 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to WH Group Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Nestlé India Limited, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is WH Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 20, 2026: price HK$6.47, calculated fair value HK$20.11 (+211%), Quality Score 66/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0288 calculated?
We run WH Group Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$20.11, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.0 % above its aggregate fair value. WH Group Ltd currently trades 211 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with WH Group Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$13.83). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$13.83 to HK$25.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of WH Group Ltd (0288) come from?
Earnings per share at WH Group Ltd grew +5.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.1 %, EBIT margin −2.9 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of WH Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of WH Group Ltd (0288)?
The market capitalisation of WH Group Ltd is HK$103B (≈ $13.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of WH Group Ltd (0288)?
The price-to-sales ratio of WH Group Ltd is 0.47 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of WH Group Ltd (0288)?
Earnings per share at WH Group Ltd are HK$0.0600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of WH Group Ltd (0288)?
The net margin of WH Group Ltd is 5.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of WH Group Ltd (0288)?
The return on equity (ROE) of WH Group Ltd is 15.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of WH Group Ltd (0288)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of WH Group Ltd is 8.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of WH Group Ltd (0288)?
The operating margin of WH Group Ltd is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at WH Group Ltd (0288)?
Revenue at WH Group Ltd is growing +7.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at WH Group Ltd (0288)?
Earnings per share at WH Group Ltd are growing −6.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does WH Group Ltd (0288) carry?
The net debt of WH Group Ltd is HK$1.6B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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