Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings (0412) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$3.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.9200 to HK$0.9400 (+2.2%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price −6.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 104% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.8560). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.4500 – HK$18.82 · fair‑value band HK$0.8560 – HK$1.06 · the HK$0.4600 price screens below the HK$0.9400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings (0412) currently trades at HK$0.4600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.9400, implying the stock looks roughly 104.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings generated revenue of HK$5.0B at a net margin of -2.4%. Revenue declined 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.8%. Net debt stands at HK$44.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.8560 (bear case) to HK$1.06 (bull case); at HK$0.4600, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 104%, 0412 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$1.51) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.8200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates photovoltaic and wind power plants in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Industrial Investment; Standard Investment; Non-Standard Investment; and Licensed Financial Services segments.
Full company description
Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates photovoltaic and wind power plants in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Industrial Investment; Standard Investment; Non-Standard Investment; and Licensed Financial Services segments. The Industrial Investment segment engages in industrial investment-related businesses. Its Standard Investment segment trades listed securities and bonds for interest income, dividend income, and capital appreciation. The Non-Standard Investment segment engages in the direct investment business, including investments in debt instruments, unlisted bonds, notes, unlisted equity investments, and investment funds. Its Licensed Financial Services segment provides money lending, securities brokerage, asset management, financial leasing, and advisory services. The company also engages in the operation of clean energy projects; construction of photovoltaic power plants and clean heat supply facilities; trading platform structure; financial taxation analysis; investment in securities; property holding; issuance of guaranteed bonds and perpetual capital instruments; infrastructure development; and trading of equipment. In addition, it provides corporate, business factoring, technical consultancy, and clean heat supply, and photovoltaic power-related services. The company was formerly known as China Shandong Hi-Speed Financial Group Limited and changed its name to Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings Group Limited in July 2022. Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings Group Limited was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings reported revenue of HK$5.6B in FY2025 versus HK$1.1B in FY2021, a compound +48.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$134M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Asset Management · 692 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc BLK | $1,161 | $465.75 | -60% |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $146.41 | $52.88 | -64% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 417.90 | kr 835.80 | +100% |
| AB Industrivärden INDUA | kr 544.00 | kr 375.93 | -31% |
| ICICIAMC ICICIAMC | ₹3,077 | ₹1,132 | -63% |
| Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN | ₹256.05 | ₹171.84 | -33% |
| Hedef Holding HEDEF | 267.25 TRY | 321.44 TRY | +20% |
| Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG | ₹11,579 | ₹11,257 | -3% |
| HDFC Asset Management Company HDFCAMC | ₹2,490 | ₹866.78 | -65% |
| Nippon Life Asset Management Limited NAMINDIA | ₹1,182 | ₹311.00 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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