ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · HK · Market cap HK$100B
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$29.39 to HK$38.21 (+30.0%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price −1.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 76% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$38.21). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$40.76 – HK$238.80 · the HK$158.50 price screens above the HK$38.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522) currently trades at HK$158.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$38.21, implying the stock looks roughly 75.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, ASM Pacific Technology Ltd generated revenue of HK$14.7B at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 27.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$440M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 179% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -76%, 0522 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$49.88) versus Dividend Discount (HK$8.26). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ASMPT Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the design, manufacture, and marketing of machines, tools, and materials used in the semiconductor and electronics assembly industries internationally. The company operates in two segments: Semiconductor Solutions and Surface Mount Technology Solutions.
Full company description
ASMPT Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the design, manufacture, and marketing of machines, tools, and materials used in the semiconductor and electronics assembly industries internationally. The company operates in two segments: Semiconductor Solutions and Surface Mount Technology Solutions. The company offers ASMPT semiconductor solutions includes advanced packing, such as laser dicing & grooving, fan out, hybrid bonding, thermos compress bonding, and die bonding; IC and discrete, including silver sintering, wire bonding, metrology, encapsulation, and singulation, trim & form; CMOS image sensor, such as inline solution, lens holder attach, curing, automated optical inspection, cleaning, active alignment, and test and calibration; and LED/ Photonics, includes FOL. It also offers ASMP SMT solutions, includes printing, inspection, placement, storage, and software. In addition, the company offers critical manufacturing of IoT data platforms. Further, it provides agency and logistics services. The company was formerly known as ASM Pacific Technology Limited and changed its name to ASMPT Limited in June 2022. ASMPT Limited was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ASM Pacific Technology Ltd reported revenue of HK$13.7B in FY2025 versus HK$21.9B in FY2021, a compound −11.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$902M in FY2025, compounding −27.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +0.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
0522 screens 76% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →
Peer Group
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 211 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASML Holding ASML | C$50.51 | C$21.21 | -58% |
| Applied Materials, Inc AMAT | $548.15 | $183.10 | -67% |
| Lam Research Corporation LRCX | $326.11 | $91.80 | -72% |
| KLA Corporation KLAC | $194.79 | $74.58 | -62% |
| NAURA Technology Group 002371 | ¥760.00 | ¥205.30 | -73% |
| Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 | ¥380.95 | ¥55.05 | -86% |
| Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 | 6,445 TWD | 1,804 TWD | -72% |
| MPI Corporation 6223 | 6,495 TWD | 738.64 TWD | -89% |
| HANMI Semiconductor Co 042700 | 217,500 KRW | 47,976 KRW | -78% |
| Wonik IPS Co 240810 | 120,000 KRW | 36,380 KRW | -70% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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