ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd stock HK$19.96, price HK$118, upside -83.1%, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value 30%+ above price?No
Quality 50+?Yes
In an uptrend?Yes
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
Technology · HK · Based in Singapore · ISIN KYG0535Q1331
APThin dataOct 29, 2026
ASM Pacific Technology Ltd
0522 · HK
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
Our calculation puts a fair price 83% below what the stock costs today.
Low debt
Quality 53/100
Thin margins · 7.8% net margin (TTM) · excl. one-off gain FY2025 3.4%
Mixed vs. peers(7/14)
Fair value HK$19.96 · Strongly overvalued (−83.1%)
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$40.76 – HK$238.80 · fair‑value band HK$14.95 – HK$24.95 · the HK$118.30 price screens above the HK$19.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 29, 2026.
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ASMPT Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the design, manufacture, and marketing of machines, tools, and materials used in the semiconductor and electronics assembly industries internationally.
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The company operates in two segments: Semiconductor Solutions and Surface Mount Technology Solutions.
The company offers ASMPT semiconductor solutions includes advanced packing, such as laser dicing & grooving, fan out, hybrid bonding, thermos compress bonding, and die bonding; IC and discrete, including silver sintering, wire bonding, metrology, encapsulation, and singulation, trim & form; CMOS image sensor, such as inline solution, lens holder attach, curing, automated optical inspection, cleaning, active alignment, and test and calibration; and LED/ Photonics, includes FOL. It also offers ASMP SMT solutions, includes printing, inspection, placement, storage, and software.
In addition, the company offers critical manufacturing of IoT data platforms. Further, it provides agency and logistics services. The company was formerly known as ASM Pacific Technology Limited and changed its name to ASMPT Limited in June 2022.
ASMPT Limited was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Stock analysis
ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522) currently trades at HK$118.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$19.96, 83.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$49.88 per share, and 1 of the 17 models we run sit above the HK$118.30 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$6.38, and 16 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$14.95 (bear) to HK$24.95 (bull), the price of HK$118.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
ASM Pacific Technology Ltd reported revenue of HK$13.7B in FY2025 versus HK$21.9B in FY2021, a compound −11.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$902M in FY2025, compounding −27.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$49.6B (≈ $6.3B) Mid · P/E ratio 46.1 · P/S ratio 3.03 · EPS (TTM) HK$2.71 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 7.8% · Return on equity 9.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −83%, 0522 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (HK$6.38 to HK$221.33). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
BearHK$14.95Fair Value HK$19.96BullHK$24.95
Price HK$118.30 · Upside -83.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.7860 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.22/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.6% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−9.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−11.4% vs −5.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 5%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 226 stocks
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Is ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$19.96 versus a price of HK$118.30, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0522?
Our model-based fair value for ASM Pacific Technology Ltd is HK$19.96 (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$118.30.
What is the quality score of 0522?
ASM Pacific Technology Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$19.96 (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$14.95, optimistic scenario HK$24.95. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ASM Pacific Technology Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$19.96, about −83% upside versus a price of HK$118.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$14.95, optimistic scenario HK$24.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522)?
ASM Pacific Technology Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$16.4B (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
Does ASM Pacific Technology Ltd pay a dividend?
ASM Pacific Technology Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.49% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ASM Pacific Technology Ltd it is HK$19.96 per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of HK$118.30. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ASM Pacific Technology Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, 0522 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$118.30, fair value HK$19.96, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0522?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$118.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$19.96). For ASM Pacific Technology Ltd the two are HK$98.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ASM Pacific Technology Ltd worth?
The market values ASM Pacific Technology Ltd at about HK$49.6B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is HK$118.30; our models calculate a fair value of HK$19.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0522?
Our models span a range for ASM Pacific Technology Ltd: cautious scenario HK$14.95, base HK$19.96, optimistic HK$24.95 per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price HK$118.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0522?
ASM Pacific Technology Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 46.1 (as of Oct 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$19.96 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 105.6 (reported for FY2025: 54.9). Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 2.9, P/S 3.0, EV/EBITDA 24.0.
What is the PEG ratio of 0522?
The PEG ratio of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd is 1.00 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 29, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522)?
Balance-sheet figures for ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity 9.3%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0522 from its 52-week high?
ASM Pacific Technology Ltd trades at HK$118.30, about 50% below its 52-week high of HK$238.80 and 67% above the low of HK$70.71 (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$19.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ASM Pacific Technology Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Applied Materials, Inc, Lam Research Corporation, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ASM Pacific Technology Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price HK$118.30, calculated fair value HK$19.96 (−83%), Quality Score 53/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0522 calculated?
We run ASM Pacific Technology Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$19.96, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. ASM Pacific Technology Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was HK$118.30. Our model-based fair value is HK$19.96, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ASM Pacific Technology Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$24.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522) come from?
Earnings per share at ASM Pacific Technology Ltd grew −7.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.3 %, EBIT margin −9.8 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522)?
The market capitalisation of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd is HK$49.6B (≈ $6.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd is 3.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522)?
Earnings per share at ASM Pacific Technology Ltd are HK$2.71 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 46.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522)?
The dividend yield of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd is 1.5% (payout 125%, on adjusted earnings, reported 64.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522)?
The net margin of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd is 7.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd is 9.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd is 7.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522)?
The operating margin of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd is 15.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522)?
Revenue at ASM Pacific Technology Ltd is growing +45.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522)?
Earnings per share at ASM Pacific Technology Ltd are growing +158% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522) generate?
The free cash flow of ASM Pacific Technology Ltd is −HK$251M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does ASM Pacific Technology Ltd (0522) hold?
ASM Pacific Technology Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$440M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 29, 2026