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Value Partners Group (0806) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$3.7B

VP Value Partners Group 0806 · HK
PriceHK$2.04
Fair ValueHK$4.20
Upside+105.9%
Quality83/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 66.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.70% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Wide moat 77/100
Evidence: High Range HK$2.63 – HK$5.25 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$3.25 to HK$4.20 (+29.2%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price +1.5% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 106% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (83/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$2.63). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$2.63 to HK$5.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$3.96 HK$1.20 Fair Value HK$4.20 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$1.20 – HK$3.96 · fair‑value band HK$2.63 – HK$5.25 · the HK$2.04 price screens below the HK$4.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Value Partners Group (0806) currently trades at HK$2.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$4.20, implying the stock looks roughly 105.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Value Partners Group generated revenue of HK$1.0B at a net margin of 66.4%. Revenue grew 183.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$2.63 (bear case) to HK$5.25 (bull case); at HK$2.04, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 106%, 0806 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$1.07 HK$1.24 HK$1.49 80
Residual Income HK$2.34 HK$3.23 HK$11.16 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.53 HK$2.16 HK$2.93 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$5.27 HK$8.36 HK$13.36 31
5Y P/E Exit HK$3.04 HK$5.21 HK$7.67 38
10Y P/E Exit HK$2.33 HK$4.02 HK$6.40 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$2.49 HK$10.47 HK$14.29 54
Lynch FV HK$2.66 HK$3.80 HK$4.94 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0900 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2600 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0900 HK$0.1500 HK$0.1800 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$3.56 HK$4.75 HK$5.94 63
P/B Multiple HK$2.43 HK$3.25 HK$4.06 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.16 HK$1.55 HK$2.32 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.07 HK$1.24 HK$1.49 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.53 HK$2.16 HK$2.93 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$2.34 HK$3.23 HK$11.16 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$5.21) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.1500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +183%
Net margin 66.4%
Return on equity 17.1%
Free cash flow HK$39.4M FY2025
P/E ratio 5.5 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 34.6%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.1400
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +589%
Net cash HK$1.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 83/100

Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Value Partners Group Limited is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm manages separate client focused portfolios. The firm manages separate client-focused equity, fixed income, multi-asset, alternative portfolios, and quantitative investment solutions. The firm invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe.

Full company description

Value Partners Group Limited is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm manages separate client focused portfolios. The firm manages separate client-focused equity, fixed income, multi-asset, alternative portfolios, and quantitative investment solutions. The firm invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. It primarily provides investment management services to investment funds and managed accounts. The firm employs fundamental analysis with bottom-up stock picking approach. The firm conducts in-house research to make its investments. Value Partners Group Limited was founded on 1993 and is based in Hong Kong with additional offices in Beijing, Boston, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Kuala Lumpur, Singapore and London.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Value Partners Group reported revenue of HK$1.3B in FY2025 versus HK$1.4B in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$668M in FY2025, compounding +9.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$1.3B
Latest YoY
+174.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.0%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.0%
Revenue −2.1%/yr
FY21 HK$1.4B
FY22 HK$650M
FY23 HK$520M
FY24 HK$467M
FY25 HK$1.3B
Net income +9.9%/yr
FY21 HK$458M
FY22 −HK$544M
FY23 HK$23.1M
FY24 HK$31.2M
FY25 HK$668M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −5.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share −8.2 pp

of which total revenue −8.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +0.9 pp
Tax rate +1.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Value Partners Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0806

Peer Group

Asset Management · 692 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 83 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +106% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 66% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 35% · Below median
Revenue growth 183% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.88× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.72× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.39× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 38
FUTURE 100 · sector 14
PAST 69 · sector 25
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 54 · sector 85

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,161 $465.75 -60%
Blackstone Inc BX $146.41 $52.88 -64%
Investor AB INVEB kr 417.90 kr 835.80 +100%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 544.00 kr 375.93 -31%
ICICIAMC ICICIAMC ₹3,077 ₹1,132 -63%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹256.05 ₹171.84 -33%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 321.44 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹11,579 ₹11,257 -3%
HDFC Asset Management Company HDFCAMC ₹2,490 ₹866.78 -65%
Nippon Life Asset Management Limited NAMINDIA ₹1,182 ₹311.00 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Value Partners Group (0806) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$4.20 versus a price of HK$2.04, about +106% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0806?
Our model-based fair value for Value Partners Group is HK$4.20 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.04.
What is the quality score of 0806?
Value Partners Group has a Quality Score of 83/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Value Partners Group (0806)?
Value Partners Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0806?
The net profit margin of Value Partners Group is about 66.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 66.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Value Partners Group pay a dividend?
Value Partners Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.70% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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