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Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Great-West Lifeco Inc C$35.71, price C$89.20, upside -60.0%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Financial Services · GB · Home Canada · ISIN CA39138C1068

GW Some data Sep 29, 2026

Great-West Lifeco Inc

0AH3 · LSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value C$35.71 · Strongly overvalued (−60.0%)
!Quality 56/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −4.1 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 12.4% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
✓2.8% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Moderate moat 56/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

C$94.58 C$16.66 Fair Value C$35.71 Feb 2018 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$16.66 – C$94.58 · fair‑value band C$26.78 – C$44.64 · the C$89.20 price screens above the C$35.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Great-West Lifeco Inc. engages in the life and health insurance, retirement savings, wealth and asset management, and reinsurance businesses in Canada, the United States, and Europe.

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Great-West Lifeco Inc. engages in the life and health insurance, retirement savings, wealth and asset management, and reinsurance businesses in Canada, the United States, and Europe. The company offers life, accidental death and dismemberment, critical illness, disability, health and dental protection, and creditor insurance products; and retirement savings, income and annuity products, and other specialty products to individuals, families, businesses, and organizations. It also provides individual product solutions and employer-sponsored retirement savings plans that offers saving, investment, and advisory services; retail wealth management products and services to individuals, including individual retirement accounts and after-tax investment accounts; and wealth management, including payout annuity, equity release mortgages, pensions, and investments products. In addition, the company offers bulk and individual payout annuities, equity release mortgages, life bonds, retirement drawdown and pension, and group insurance products; savings and investments; and provides asset management services, such as pension schemes, insurance companies, wealth managers, fiduciary managers, and sovereign wealth funds, as well as manages assets for third-party institutional clients. Further, it provides life, annuity/longevity, mortgage surety, and property catastrophe reinsurance products. The company offers its products under the Empower, Canada Life, and Irish Life brand names. It distributes its products through a network of sales force, brokers, consultants, advisors, third-party administrators, financial institutions, employee benefit consultants, and multi-tied agents. The company was founded in 1979 and is based in Winnipeg, Canada. Great-West Lifeco Inc. is a subsidiary of Power Financial Corporation.

Stock analysis

Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3) currently trades at C$89.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$35.71, 60.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of C$40.17 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the C$89.20 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$19.22, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: C$26.78 (bear) to C$44.64 (bull), the price of C$89.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Great-West Lifeco Inc reported revenue of C$49.2B in FY2025 versus C$63.8B in FY2021, a compound −6.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$4.1B in FY2025, compounding +6.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap C$82.8B (≈ $58.2B) · P/E ratio 0.3 · P/S ratio 0.02 · EPS (TTM) C$3.42 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 8.4% · Return on equity 13.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −60%, 0AH3 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$26.78 Fair Value C$35.71 Bull C$44.64
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.6987 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income C$28.38 C$35.31 C$49.24 73
Gordon GGM C$22.42 C$46.61 C$73.94 64
DDM Multi-Stage C$22.42 C$37.26 C$48.92 64
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM C$22.42 C$46.61 C$73.94 64
DDM Multi-Stage C$22.42 C$37.26 C$48.92 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$40.64 C$54.19 C$67.74 63
P/B Multiple C$30.12 C$40.17 C$50.21 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$14.35 C$19.22 C$28.69 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$28.38 C$35.31 C$49.24 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 78
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.2% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6.8% vs 4.5%, steady
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.1% a year for the price.

0AH3 screens overvalued: fair value 60% below the price. Compare with China Life Insurance Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Insurance - Life · 88 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −38.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13.8% · Above median
Return on assets 0.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 12.4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 20.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 7.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 17.8× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Life Insurance Company 601628 ¥37.43 ¥49.98 +34%
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 ¥53.29 ¥67.19 +26%
AIA Group 1299 HK$73.75 HK$41.69 −43%
Manulife Financial Corporation MFC $42.59 $27.37 −36%
MetLife, Inc MET $94.35 $54.39 −42%
Aflac Incorporated AFL $111.18 $67.02 −40%
Life Insurance Corporation LICI ₹409.05 ₹299.19 −27%
Cathay Financial Holding 2882 110.50 TWD 71.47 TWD −35%
China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 ¥30.88 ¥48.28 +56%
Power Corporation POW C$94.28 C$32.85 −65%

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C$35.71 −60%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Great-West Lifeco Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0AH3

Frequently asked questions

Is Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$35.71 versus a price of C$89.20, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0AH3?
Our model-based fair value for Great-West Lifeco Inc is C$35.71 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$89.20.
What is the quality score of 0AH3?
Great-West Lifeco Inc has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$35.71 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$26.78, optimistic scenario C$44.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Great-West Lifeco Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$35.71, about −60% upside versus a price of C$89.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$26.78, optimistic scenario C$44.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3)?
Great-West Lifeco Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$36.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Great-West Lifeco Inc pay a dividend?
Great-West Lifeco Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.80% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Great-West Lifeco Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +13.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -4.1 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0AH3 use?
Our models discount Great-West Lifeco Inc at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.69, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Great-West Lifeco Inc that is +13.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Great-West Lifeco Inc grew -4.1 % a year. The price currently implies +13.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Great-West Lifeco Inc (+13.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.27 %: that much free cash flow Great-West Lifeco Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Great-West Lifeco Inc it is C$35.71 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of C$89.20. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Great-West Lifeco Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 0AH3 trades above its calculated fair value: price C$89.20, fair value C$35.71, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0AH3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$89.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$35.71). For Great-West Lifeco Inc the two are C$53.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Great-West Lifeco Inc worth?
The market values Great-West Lifeco Inc at about C$82.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is C$89.20; our models calculate a fair value of C$35.71 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0AH3?
Our models span a range for Great-West Lifeco Inc: cautious scenario C$26.78, base C$35.71, optimistic C$44.64 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price C$89.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0AH3?
Great-West Lifeco Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.3 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$35.71 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3)?
Balance-sheet figures for Great-West Lifeco Inc (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 13.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0AH3 from its 52-week high?
Great-West Lifeco Inc trades at C$89.20, about 6% below its 52-week high of C$94.58 and 61% above the low of C$55.39 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$35.71 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Great-West Lifeco Inc?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Life Insurance Company, Ping An Insurance (Group) Company, AIA Group, Manulife Financial Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Great-West Lifeco Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price C$89.20, calculated fair value C$35.71 (−60%), Quality Score 56/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0AH3 calculated?
We run Great-West Lifeco Inc through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$35.71, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Great-West Lifeco Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was C$89.20. Our model-based fair value is C$35.71, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Great-West Lifeco Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$44.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3) come from?
Earnings per share at Great-West Lifeco Inc grew +3.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.9 %, EBIT margin +2.4 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Great-West Lifeco Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3)?
The market capitalisation of Great-West Lifeco Inc is C$82.8B (≈ $58.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Great-West Lifeco Inc is 0.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3)?
Earnings per share at Great-West Lifeco Inc are C$3.42 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3)?
The dividend yield of Great-West Lifeco Inc is 2.8% (payout 73.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3)?
The net margin of Great-West Lifeco Inc is 8.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Great-West Lifeco Inc is 13.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Great-West Lifeco Inc is 0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3)?
The operating margin of Great-West Lifeco Inc is 20.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3)?
Revenue at Great-West Lifeco Inc is growing +7.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +34.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3)?
Earnings per share at Great-West Lifeco Inc are growing +42.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Great-West Lifeco Inc (0AH3) carry?
The net debt of Great-West Lifeco Inc is C$2.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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