Atria Oyj (0IY1) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Atria Oyj €17.09, price €15.80, upside +8.2%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €4.58 – €17.76 · fair‑value band €12.82 – €21.36 · the €15.80 price screens below the €17.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Atria Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food products in Finland, Sweden, Denmark, and Estonia.
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Atria Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food products in Finland, Sweden, Denmark, and Estonia. The company offers fresh and consumer-packed meat; poultry products; cooking products, such as cooking sausages; sandwich toppings; convenience food; animal feed; cold cuts and spreads; vegetable and delicatessen products; ready meals; and plant-based products. It sells its products under the Atria, Jyvä Broiler, Forssan, Wilhelm, Sibylla, Ridderheims, Lönnenberga, Lithells, Arboga, Gooh!, 3-Stjernet, Maks & Moorits, Wõro, Aalbaek, and VK brands. The company serves consumers, retail trade, the food service sector, and the food industry. It exports its products to 25 countries. The company was formerly known as Atria Group Oyj and changed its name to Atria Oyj in May 2008. Atria Oyj was founded in 1903 and is headquartered in Seinäjoki, Finland.
Stock analysis
Atria Oyj (0IY1) currently trades at €15.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €17.09, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.5%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €22.51 per share, and 12 of the 23 models we run sit above the €15.80 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €4.79, and 11 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €12.82 (bear) to €21.36 (bull), the price of €15.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Atria Oyj reported revenue of €1.5B in FY2020 versus €1.4B in FY2016, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was €22.9M in FY2020, compounding +5.9%/yr from FY2016.
Key figures
Market cap €460M · P/S ratio 0.25 · EPS (TTM) €−0.2950 · Net margin 1.5% · Return on equity 10.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8% · Operating margin 3.1% · Revenue (TTM) €1.8B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 8%, 0IY1 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €12.82Fair Value €17.09Bull €21.36
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
’16
’17
’18
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.3% (2016) → 2.7% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 620 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−39.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.1% · Above median
Return on assets4.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.33× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Atria Oyj Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0IY1
Frequently asked questions
Is Atria Oyj (0IY1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €17.09 versus a price of €15.80, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0IY1?
Our model-based fair value for Atria Oyj is €17.09 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €15.80.
What is the quality score of 0IY1?
Atria Oyj has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Atria Oyj (0IY1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €17.09 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €12.82, optimistic scenario €21.36. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Atria Oyj stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €17.09, about +8% upside versus a price of €15.80 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €12.82, optimistic scenario €21.36. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Atria Oyj (0IY1)?
Atria Oyj reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Atria Oyj (0IY1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Atria Oyj it is €17.09 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €15.80. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Atria Oyj stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0IY1 trades below its calculated fair value: price €15.80, fair value €17.09, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0IY1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€15.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€17.09). For Atria Oyj the two are €1.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Atria Oyj worth?
The market values Atria Oyj at about €460M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €15.80; our models calculate a fair value of €17.09 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0IY1?
Our models span a range for Atria Oyj: cautious scenario €12.82, base €17.09, optimistic €21.36 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €15.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Atria Oyj (0IY1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Atria Oyj (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.1%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0IY1 from its 52-week high?
Atria Oyj trades at €15.80, about 11% below its 52-week high of €17.76 and 28% above the low of €12.38 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €17.09 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Atria Oyj?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Atria Oyj stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €15.80, calculated fair value €17.09 (+8%), Quality Score 63/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0IY1 calculated?
We run Atria Oyj through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €17.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Atria Oyj currently trades 8 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Atria Oyj (0IY1)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €15.80. Our model-based fair value is €17.09, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Atria Oyj right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Atria Oyj
How large is the market capitalisation of Atria Oyj (0IY1)?
The market capitalisation of Atria Oyj is €460M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Atria Oyj (0IY1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Atria Oyj is 0.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Atria Oyj (0IY1)?
Earnings per share at Atria Oyj are €−0.2950. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Atria Oyj (0IY1)?
The net margin of Atria Oyj is 1.5% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Atria Oyj (0IY1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Atria Oyj is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Atria Oyj (0IY1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Atria Oyj is 3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Atria Oyj (0IY1)?
The operating margin of Atria Oyj is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Atria Oyj (0IY1)?
Revenue at Atria Oyj is growing +7.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Atria Oyj (0IY1)?
Earnings per share at Atria Oyj are growing +25.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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