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Ebro Foods, S.A (0NYH) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Ebro Foods, S.A €13.71, price €17.89, upside -23.4%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · GB · Home Spain · ISIN ES0112501012

EF Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Ebro Foods, S.A

0NYH · LSE

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value €13.71 · Overvalued (−23.4%)
✓Quality 61/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +4.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
!Narrow moat 43/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€19.10 €13.05 Fair Value €13.71 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €13.05 – €19.10 · fair‑value band €12.35 – €21.28 · the €17.89 price screens above the €13.71 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Ebro Foods, S.A. operates as a food company in Spain, the Americas, Europe and internationally.

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Ebro Foods, S.A. operates as a food company in Spain, the Americas, Europe and internationally. The company engages in the research, production, preparation, sale, import, and export of food and dietary products for human and animal consumption, including rice, pasta, sauces, and nutritional products; and production, preparation, and sale of soft and alcoholic beverages. It is also involved in the production of flour and tinned vegetables; operation of financial and insurance management business; and investment management. In addition, the company engages in the acquisition, lease, creation, installation, development, and management of industrial, farming, and livestock facilities in the food, nutrition, and beverage industries. Further, it provides staff training, computer programming or management, investment and monetization of resources, advertising and image, transport, and distribution and sale and marketing activities. The company was formerly known as Ebro Puleva, S.A. and changed its name to Ebro Foods, S.A. in June 2010. Ebro Foods, S.A. was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Madrid, Spain.

Stock analysis

Ebro Foods, S.A (0NYH) currently trades at €17.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €13.71, 23.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €24.65 per share, and 7 of the 16 models we run sit above the €17.89 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €7.37, and 9 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €12.35 (bear) to €21.28 (bull), the price of €17.89 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Ebro Foods, S.A reported revenue of €2.9B in FY2020 versus €2.5B in FY2016, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was €192M in FY2020, compounding +3.2%/yr from FY2016.

Key figures

Market cap €2.5B · P/S ratio 0.84 · Net margin 6.6% · Return on equity 9.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% · Operating margin 9.9% · Revenue (TTM) €3.0B · Revenue growth (YoY) −4.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −23%, 0NYH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €12.35 Fair Value €13.71 Bull €21.28
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV €7.95 €9.55 €10.94 74
Residual Income €12.04 €13.24 €16.08 73
ROIC Compounder €7.95 €9.55 €10.94 69
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €9.38 €25.87 €33.96 62
Lynch FV €5.16 €7.37 €9.58 58
PEG = 1.0 €5.16 €7.37 €9.58 55
EPV €7.95 €9.55 €10.94 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €6.08 €12.11 €18.34 64
DDM Multi-Stage €6.08 €9.39 €12.75 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple €21.72 €28.97 €36.21 63
P/S Multiple €17.59 €23.45 €29.31 58
P/B Multiple €17.59 €23.45 €29.31 55
EV/EBIT €16.63 €22.90 €29.18 66
EV/EBITDA €19.26 €26.41 €33.56 67
EV/Revenue €11.24 €17.00 €22.76 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €6.91 €9.26 €13.82 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €12.04 €13.24 €16.08 73
ROIC Compounder €7.95 €9.55 €10.94 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €17.26 €24.65 €32.05 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.7% (2016) → 7.1% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0NYH screens overvalued: fair value 23% below the price. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 637 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside +32.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9.8% · Above median
Return on assets 4.8% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −4.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.16× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.50× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.97× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.0× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 74.63 CHF 59.51 −20%
Danone S.A BN €59.12 €50.65 −14%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥33.93 ¥37.32 +10%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $23.45 $29.20 +25%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,363 ₹724.74 −47%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥26.90 ¥41.84 +56%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥24.55 ¥9.98 −59%
General Mills, Inc GIS $31.67 $34.59 +9%
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.68 SGD 5.14 SGD +40%
Kerry Group KRZ €85.55 €59.96 −30%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ebro Foods, S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0NYH

Frequently asked questions

Is Ebro Foods, S.A (0NYH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €13.71 versus a price of €17.89, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0NYH?
Our model-based fair value for Ebro Foods, S.A is €13.71 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €17.89.
What is the quality score of 0NYH?
Ebro Foods, S.A has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ebro Foods, S.A (0NYH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €13.71 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario €12.35, optimistic scenario €21.28. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ebro Foods, S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €13.71, about −23% upside versus a price of €17.89 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €12.35, optimistic scenario €21.28. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ebro Foods, S.A (0NYH)?
Ebro Foods, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €3.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ebro Foods, S.A (0NYH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ebro Foods, S.A it is €13.71 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €17.89. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ebro Foods, S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0NYH trades above its calculated fair value: price €17.89, fair value €13.71, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0NYH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€17.89); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€13.71). For Ebro Foods, S.A the two are €4.18 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ebro Foods, S.A worth?
The market values Ebro Foods, S.A at about €2.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €17.89; our models calculate a fair value of €13.71 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0NYH?
Our models span a range for Ebro Foods, S.A: cautious scenario €12.35, base €13.71, optimistic €21.28 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €17.89). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ebro Foods, S.A (0NYH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ebro Foods, S.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.8%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0NYH from its 52-week high?
Ebro Foods, S.A trades at €17.89, about 6% below its 52-week high of €19.10 and 4% above the low of €17.15 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €13.71 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ebro Foods, S.A?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ebro Foods, S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €17.89, calculated fair value €13.71 (−23%), Quality Score 61/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0NYH calculated?
We run Ebro Foods, S.A through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €13.71, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Ebro Foods, S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ebro Foods, S.A (0NYH)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €17.89. Our model-based fair value is €13.71, about −23% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ebro Foods, S.A right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Ebro Foods, S.A

How large is the market capitalisation of Ebro Foods, S.A (0NYH)?
The market capitalisation of Ebro Foods, S.A is €2.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ebro Foods, S.A (0NYH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ebro Foods, S.A is 0.84 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Ebro Foods, S.A (0NYH)?
The net margin of Ebro Foods, S.A is 6.6% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ebro Foods, S.A (0NYH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ebro Foods, S.A is 9.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ebro Foods, S.A (0NYH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ebro Foods, S.A is 5.6% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ebro Foods, S.A (0NYH)?
The operating margin of Ebro Foods, S.A is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ebro Foods, S.A (0NYH)?
Revenue at Ebro Foods, S.A is growing −4.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ebro Foods, S.A (0NYH)?
Earnings per share at Ebro Foods, S.A are growing +56.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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