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Metsa Board Corp. Series B (0O7A) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Metsa Board Corp. Series B €2.42, price €3.23, upside -25.1%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · Home Finland

MB Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Metsa Board Corp. Series B

0O7A · LSE

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value €2.42 · Overvalued (−25.1%)
✓Quality 63/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y +0.7 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -9.7% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2020 9.0%
✓Low debt
!Trails peers (1/10)
!Narrow moat 18/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€9.12 €2.58 Fair Value €2.42 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €2.58 – €9.12 · fair‑value band €1.70 – €3.36 · the €3.23 price screens above the €2.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Metsä Board Oyj engages in the folding boxboard, fresh fibre linerboard, and market pulp businesses in Finland and internationally. It also provides food service boards, white kraft liners and lightweight fresh fibre paperboards.

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Metsä Board Oyj engages in the folding boxboard, fresh fibre linerboard, and market pulp businesses in Finland and internationally. It also provides food service boards, white kraft liners and lightweight fresh fibre paperboards. It offers its products to brand owners, packaging converters, manufacturers of corrugated products and merchants, and consumer and retail packaging industries. The company was formerly known as M-real Corporation and changed its name to Metsä Board Oyj in March 2012. Metsä Board Oyj was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Espoo, Finland. Metsä Board Oyj is a subsidiary of Metsäliitto Cooperative.

Stock analysis

Metsa Board Corp. Series B (0O7A) currently trades at €3.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.42, 25.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €2.64 per share, and 3 of the 23 models we run sit above the €3.23 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €0.8500, and 20 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €1.70 (bear) to €3.36 (bull), the price of €3.23 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Metsa Board Corp. Series B reported revenue of €1.9B in FY2020 versus €1.7B in FY2016, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was €170M in FY2020, compounding +17.2%/yr from FY2016.

Key figures

Market cap €3.5B · P/S ratio 2.09 · Dividend yield 4.4% · Net margin 9.0% · Return on equity −9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.5% · Operating margin −5.0% · Revenue (TTM) €1.7B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −25%, 0O7A screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €1.70 Fair Value €2.42 Bull €3.36
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €1.77 €2.48 €3.76 76
Growth DCF €1.85 €2.53 €3.68 75
EPV €1.16 €1.37 €1.56 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €1.77 €2.48 €3.76 76
5Y Revenue Exit €1.63 €2.44 €3.62 69
5Y EBITDA Exit €2.01 €3.09 €4.54 71
5Y P/E Exit €1.85 €2.81 €3.97 67
10Y Revenue Exit €1.62 €2.24 €2.90 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €1.90 €2.64 €3.44 66
10Y P/E Exit €1.80 €2.47 €3.11 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €1.05 €1.36 €1.56 65
EPV €1.16 €1.37 €1.56 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.26 €1.37 €1.54 67
DDM Multi-Stage €1.26 €1.57 €1.99 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple €2.44 €3.26 €4.07 63
P/S Multiple €1.98 €2.64 €3.30 58
P/B Multiple €1.98 €2.64 €3.30 55
EV/EBIT €2.45 €3.33 €4.21 66
EV/EBITDA €2.56 €3.48 €4.40 67
EV/Revenue €1.69 €2.50 €3.31 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.6300 €0.8500 €1.26 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €1.85 €2.53 €3.68 75
Rev-Margin DCF €1.63 €2.48 €3.54 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income €1.17 €1.33 €1.63 73
ROIC Compounder €1.16 €1.39 €1.64 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €1.73 €2.46 €3.20 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.7% (2016) → 12.0% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0O7A screens overvalued: fair value 25% below the price. Compare with Daelim Paper Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Containers & Packaging · 20 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −25.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −2.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −9.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −5.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −18.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.31× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Containers & Packaging median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.88× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.35× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 1
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 33
HEALTH (low debt)84 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)89 · sector 0

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Metsa Board Corp. Series B · Fair Value
€2.42 −25%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Metsa Board Corp. Series B Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0O7A

Frequently asked questions

Is Metsa Board Corp. Series B (0O7A) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.42 versus a price of €3.23, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0O7A?
Our model-based fair value for Metsa Board Corp. Series B is €2.42 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €3.23.
What is the quality score of 0O7A?
Metsa Board Corp. Series B has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Metsa Board Corp. Series B (0O7A)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €2.42 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.70, optimistic scenario €3.36. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Metsa Board Corp. Series B stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €2.42, about −25% upside versus a price of €3.23 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €1.70, optimistic scenario €3.36. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Metsa Board Corp. Series B (0O7A)?
Metsa Board Corp. Series B reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Metsa Board Corp. Series B pay a dividend?
Metsa Board Corp. Series B currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.44% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Metsa Board Corp. Series B (0O7A)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Metsa Board Corp. Series B it is €2.42 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €3.23. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Metsa Board Corp. Series B stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0O7A trades above its calculated fair value: price €3.23, fair value €2.42, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0O7A?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€3.23); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€2.42). For Metsa Board Corp. Series B the two are €0.8100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Metsa Board Corp. Series B worth?
The market values Metsa Board Corp. Series B at about €3.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €3.23; our models calculate a fair value of €2.42 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0O7A?
Our models span a range for Metsa Board Corp. Series B: cautious scenario €1.70, base €2.42, optimistic €3.36 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €3.23). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Metsa Board Corp. Series B (0O7A)?
Balance-sheet figures for Metsa Board Corp. Series B (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −9.7%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0O7A from its 52-week high?
Metsa Board Corp. Series B trades at €3.23, about 10% below its 52-week high of €3.58 and 25% above the low of €2.58 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €2.42 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Metsa Board Corp. Series B?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Daelim Paper Co, M2N Co, RDBRL, ECOPLAST, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Metsa Board Corp. Series B stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €3.23, calculated fair value €2.42 (−25%), Quality Score 63/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0O7A calculated?
We run Metsa Board Corp. Series B through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €2.42, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Metsa Board Corp. Series B itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Metsa Board Corp. Series B (0O7A)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €3.23. Our model-based fair value is €2.42, about −25% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Metsa Board Corp. Series B right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€1.70 to €3.36) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Metsa Board Corp. Series B

How large is the market capitalisation of Metsa Board Corp. Series B (0O7A)?
The market capitalisation of Metsa Board Corp. Series B is €3.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Metsa Board Corp. Series B (0O7A)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Metsa Board Corp. Series B is 2.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Metsa Board Corp. Series B (0O7A)?
The dividend yield of Metsa Board Corp. Series B is 4.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Metsa Board Corp. Series B (0O7A)?
The net margin of Metsa Board Corp. Series B is 9.0% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Metsa Board Corp. Series B (0O7A)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Metsa Board Corp. Series B is −9.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Metsa Board Corp. Series B (0O7A)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Metsa Board Corp. Series B is 9.5% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Metsa Board Corp. Series B (0O7A)?
The operating margin of Metsa Board Corp. Series B is −5.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Metsa Board Corp. Series B (0O7A)?
Revenue at Metsa Board Corp. Series B is growing −18.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Metsa Board Corp. Series B (0O7A)?
Earnings per share at Metsa Board Corp. Series B are growing +505% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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