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ASSA ABLOY AB (0R87) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of ASSA ABLOY AB SEK 188, price SEK 354, upside -46.8%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · Home Sweden · ISIN SE0007100581

AA Broad data Sep 29, 2026

ASSA ABLOY AB

0R87 · LSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value kr 188.37 · Strongly overvalued (−46.8%)
✓Quality 62/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +4.2 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 10.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
✓1.8% dividend yield · Sustainable
✓Wide moat 65/100

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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 392.25 kr 188.86 Fair Value kr 188.37 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 188.86 – kr 392.25 · fair‑value band kr 123.10 – kr 252.98 · the kr 353.80 price screens above the kr 188.37 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

ASSA ABLOY AB (publ) provides door opening and access products for the institutional, commercial, and residential markets. It operates through Europe, the Middle East, India, and Africa (EMEIA); North and South America (Americas); Asia and Oceania (Asia Pacific); Global Technologies; and Entrance Systems divisions.

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ASSA ABLOY AB (publ) provides door opening and access products for the institutional, commercial, and residential markets. It operates through Europe, the Middle East, India, and Africa (EMEIA); North and South America (Americas); Asia and Oceania (Asia Pacific); Global Technologies; and Entrance Systems divisions. The company offers digital access solutions, such as electronic access control ecosystem, wireless and keyed access solutions, and standalone access and electrochemical solutions; swing, revolving, and sliding doors; hinges, lever handles, mortise lockcases, euro profile cylinders, panic exit devices, door closers, floor springs, pull handles, and general hardware; wooden and steel doors; and security entrance control and loading dock equipment. It also provides repair and maintenance, and digital services; building specification; and educational program and training services. In addition, the company's technology platforms for hi-tech door and entrance environments include Aperio, CLIQ, Hi-O, Incedo, and Seos. Further, it provides Openings Studio, a building information modeling software that integrates with design software to create and visualize openings for door, frame, and hardware specifications. The company offers its products under the ASSA ABLOY, Yale, ABLOY, Vachette, TESA, Kwikset, Baldwin, Weiser, Sargent, Curries, Norton Rixson, Papaiz, Odis, Philips, PanPan, Gateman, Lockwood, and HID brands. It sells its products through distributors and wholesalers. The company serves aviation, education, distribution and logistics, entertainment and public facilities, finance and banking, government and military, healthcare, hospitality, industry and manufacturing, mining, office and enterprise, residential, retail, shipyards, and transportation, hospitality, heavy, construction, critical infrastructure, key and asset management, marine, self-storage, and senior care industries. ASSA ABLOY AB (publ) was founded in 1881 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.

Stock analysis

ASSA ABLOY AB (0R87) currently trades at kr 353.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 188.37, 46.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 199.15 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the kr 353.80 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 41.97, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: kr 123.10 (bear) to kr 252.98 (bull), the price of kr 353.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

ASSA ABLOY AB reported revenue of 95.0B SEK in FY2021 versus 76.1B SEK in FY2017, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was 10.9B SEK in FY2021, compounding +6.0%/yr from FY2017.

Key figures

Market cap 257B SEK (≈ $25.6B) · P/E ratio 0.2 · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) kr 10.36 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 11.5% · Return on equity 15.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −47%, 0R87 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 123.10 Fair Value kr 188.37 Bull kr 252.98
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 129.99 kr 205.89 kr 319.65 75
EPV kr 71.08 kr 85.30 kr 97.75 74
Growth DCF kr 132.95 kr 200.97 kr 297.21 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 129.99 kr 205.89 kr 319.65 75
5Y Revenue Exit kr 102.80 kr 164.47 kr 241.61 69
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 128.56 kr 212.03 kr 307.76 71
5Y P/E Exit kr 125.23 kr 205.87 kr 288.96 67
10Y Revenue Exit kr 108.16 kr 166.36 kr 241.58 63
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 127.73 kr 199.15 kr 291.45 65
10Y P/E Exit kr 125.61 kr 194.90 kr 277.28 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 66.72 kr 193.99 kr 256.19 62
Lynch FV kr 40.25 kr 57.50 kr 74.75 58
PEG = 1.0 kr 40.25 kr 57.50 kr 74.75 55
EPV kr 71.08 kr 85.30 kr 97.75 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 38.56 kr 80.18 kr 127.19 63
DDM Multi-Stage kr 38.56 kr 61.92 kr 84.15 63
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 154.54 kr 206.05 kr 257.57 63
P/S Multiple kr 125.10 kr 166.80 kr 208.51 58
P/B Multiple kr 125.10 kr 166.80 kr 208.51 55
EV/EBIT kr 148.49 kr 202.75 kr 257.01 66
EV/EBITDA kr 146.07 kr 199.52 kr 252.98 67
EV/Revenue kr 93.48 kr 139.67 kr 185.86 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 31.32 kr 41.97 kr 62.64 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 132.95 kr 200.97 kr 297.21 74
Rev-Margin DCF kr 102.80 kr 165.55 kr 236.69 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 64.62 kr 81.57 kr 119.56 72
ROIC Compounder kr 73.02 kr 95.56 kr 123.44 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 124.87 kr 178.39 kr 231.91 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
16.2% (2017) → 14.9% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0R87 screens overvalued: fair value 47% below the price. Compare with AEPL →

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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PANAENERG PANAENERG ₹252.95 ₹97.63 −61%
LAKSELEC LAKSELEC ₹792.45 ₹82.10 −90%
REXNORD REXNORD ₹104.42 ₹77.89 −25%
CALCOM CALCOM ₹65.87 ₹43.35 −34%
JSLINDL JSLINDL ₹850.45 ₹476.69 −44%
ULTRACAB ULTRACAB ₹8.06 ₹9.32 +16%
SHALIWIR SHALIWIR ₹20.10 ₹28.59 +42%
JIGAR JIGAR ₹59.95 ₹36.68 −39%
RELICAB RELICAB ₹34.93 ₹39.55 +13%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ASSA ABLOY AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0R87

Frequently asked questions

Is ASSA ABLOY AB (0R87) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 188.37 versus a price of kr 353.80, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0R87?
Our model-based fair value for ASSA ABLOY AB is kr 188.37 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 353.80.
What is the quality score of 0R87?
ASSA ABLOY AB has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ASSA ABLOY AB (0R87)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 188.37 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 123.10, optimistic scenario kr 252.98. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ASSA ABLOY AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 188.37, about −47% upside versus a price of kr 353.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 123.10, optimistic scenario kr 252.98. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ASSA ABLOY AB (0R87)?
ASSA ABLOY AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 151B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does ASSA ABLOY AB pay a dividend?
ASSA ABLOY AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.81% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ASSA ABLOY AB (0R87)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ASSA ABLOY AB it is kr 188.37 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of kr 353.80. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ASSA ABLOY AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 0R87 trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 353.80, fair value kr 188.37, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0R87?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 353.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 188.37). For ASSA ABLOY AB the two are kr 165.43 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ASSA ABLOY AB worth?
The market values ASSA ABLOY AB at about 257B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is kr 353.80; our models calculate a fair value of kr 188.37 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0R87?
Our models span a range for ASSA ABLOY AB: cautious scenario kr 123.10, base kr 188.37, optimistic kr 252.98 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price kr 353.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0R87 from its 52-week high?
ASSA ABLOY AB trades at kr 353.80, about 10% below its 52-week high of kr 392.25 and 11% above the low of kr 319.35 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 188.37 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ASSA ABLOY AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value AEPL, PANAENERG, LAKSELEC, REXNORD, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ASSA ABLOY AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price kr 353.80, calculated fair value kr 188.37 (−47%), Quality Score 62/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0R87 calculated?
We run ASSA ABLOY AB through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 188.37, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. ASSA ABLOY AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ASSA ABLOY AB (0R87)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 353.80. Our model-based fair value is kr 188.37, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ASSA ABLOY AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 252.98). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (kr 123.10 to kr 252.98) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of ASSA ABLOY AB

How large is the market capitalisation of ASSA ABLOY AB (0R87)?
The market capitalisation of ASSA ABLOY AB is 257B SEK (≈ $25.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of ASSA ABLOY AB (0R87)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of ASSA ABLOY AB is 0.2 (as of Aug 5, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of ASSA ABLOY AB (0R87)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ASSA ABLOY AB is 0.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ASSA ABLOY AB (0R87)?
Earnings per share at ASSA ABLOY AB are kr 10.36 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ASSA ABLOY AB (0R87)?
The dividend yield of ASSA ABLOY AB is 1.8% (payout 61.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ASSA ABLOY AB (0R87)?
The net margin of ASSA ABLOY AB is 11.5% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ASSA ABLOY AB (0R87)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ASSA ABLOY AB is 15.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ASSA ABLOY AB (0R87)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ASSA ABLOY AB is 10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ASSA ABLOY AB (0R87)?
The operating margin of ASSA ABLOY AB is 16.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ASSA ABLOY AB (0R87)?
Revenue at ASSA ABLOY AB is growing +3.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ASSA ABLOY AB (0R87)?
Earnings per share at ASSA ABLOY AB are growing +15.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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