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China Yurun Food Group Ltd (1068) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what China Yurun Food Group Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Aug 5, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Defensive · HK · ISIN BMG211591018

CY Thin data Aug 5, 2026

China Yurun Food Group Ltd

1068 · HK

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value HK$0.0902 · Undervalued (+21.9%)
!Quality 37/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −50.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -16.0% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/8)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.07 HK$0.0740 Fair Value HK$0.0902 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0740 – HK$1.07 · fair‑value band HK$0.0853 – HK$0.0978 · the HK$0.0740 price screens below the HK$0.0902 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

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Company profile

China Yurun Food Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the slaughtering, production, and sale of chilled and frozen meat, and processed meat products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Chilled and Frozen Meat; and Process Meat Products segments.

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China Yurun Food Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the slaughtering, production, and sale of chilled and frozen meat, and processed meat products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Chilled and Frozen Meat; and Process Meat Products segments. It offers chilled and frozen pork, and low temperature and high temperature meat products under the Haroulian brand. China Yurun Food Group Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Nanjing, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

China Yurun Food Group Ltd (1068) currently trades at HK$0.0740, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0902, implying the stock looks roughly 18.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 4 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.0853 (bear) to HK$0.0978 (bull), the price of HK$0.0740 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

China Yurun Food Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$446M in FY2025 versus HK$8.4B in FY2021, a compound −52.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$71.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$135M (≈ $17.2M) · P/S ratio 0.32 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0100 · Net margin −16.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 43.6% · Operating margin −21.0% · Revenue (TTM) HK$446M · Revenue growth (YoY) −57.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at 22%, 1068 screens cheaper than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−55.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−40.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−50.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −31.7% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−10.7% (2020) → −5.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 646 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +21.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −4.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −16.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −21.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −57.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.36× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)63 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 57

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 77.17 CHF 59.51 −23%
Danone S.A BN €59.56 €50.65 −15%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥33.93 ¥37.32 +10%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $23.63 $29.20 +24%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,363 ₹724.74 −47%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥26.90 ¥41.84 +56%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥24.55 ¥9.98 −59%
General Mills, Inc GIS $33.64 $34.59 +3%
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.68 SGD 5.14 SGD +40%
Kerry Group KRZ €85.55 €59.96 −30%

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HK$0.0902 +18%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Yurun Food Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1068

Frequently asked questions

Is China Yurun Food Group Ltd (1068) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0902 versus a price of HK$0.0740, about +22% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1068?
Our model-based fair value for China Yurun Food Group Ltd is HK$0.0902 (as of Aug 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0740.
What is the quality score of 1068?
China Yurun Food Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Yurun Food Group Ltd (1068)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0902 (as of Aug 5, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0853, optimistic scenario HK$0.0978. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Yurun Food Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0902, about +22% upside versus a price of HK$0.0740 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0853, optimistic scenario HK$0.0978. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Yurun Food Group Ltd (1068)?
China Yurun Food Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$446M (latest available figure, as of Aug 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Yurun Food Group Ltd (1068)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Yurun Food Group Ltd it is HK$0.0902 per share (as of Aug 5, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0740. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Yurun Food Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 5, 2026, 1068 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0740, fair value HK$0.0902, a gap of about +22% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1068?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0740); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0902). For China Yurun Food Group Ltd the two are HK$0.0162 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Yurun Food Group Ltd worth?
The market values China Yurun Food Group Ltd at about HK$135M (market capitalisation, as of Aug 5, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0740; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0902 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1068?
Our models span a range for China Yurun Food Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0853, base HK$0.0902, optimistic HK$0.0978 per share (as of Aug 5, 2026, price HK$0.0740). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 1068?
The PEG ratio of China Yurun Food Group Ltd is 0.36 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Aug 5, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Yurun Food Group Ltd (1068)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Yurun Food Group Ltd (as of Aug 5, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1068 from its 52-week high?
China Yurun Food Group Ltd trades at HK$0.0740, about 51% below its 52-week high of HK$0.1500 and at the low of HK$0.0740 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0902 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Yurun Food Group Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Yurun Food Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 5, 2026: price HK$0.0740, calculated fair value HK$0.0902 (+22%), Quality Score 37/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1068 calculated?
We run China Yurun Food Group Ltd through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0902, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. China Yurun Food Group Ltd currently trades 18 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Yurun Food Group Ltd (1068)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.0740. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0902, about +22% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Yurun Food Group Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0853). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.0853 to HK$0.0978), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of China Yurun Food Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China Yurun Food Group Ltd (1068)?
The market capitalisation of China Yurun Food Group Ltd is HK$135M (≈ $17.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Yurun Food Group Ltd (1068)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Yurun Food Group Ltd is 0.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Yurun Food Group Ltd (1068)?
Earnings per share at China Yurun Food Group Ltd are HK$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of China Yurun Food Group Ltd (1068)?
The net margin of China Yurun Food Group Ltd is −16.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Yurun Food Group Ltd (1068)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Yurun Food Group Ltd is 43.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Yurun Food Group Ltd (1068)?
The operating margin of China Yurun Food Group Ltd is −21.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Yurun Food Group Ltd (1068)?
Revenue at China Yurun Food Group Ltd is growing −57.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −40.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does China Yurun Food Group Ltd (1068) generate?
The free cash flow of China Yurun Food Group Ltd is −HK$40.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Yurun Food Group Ltd (1068) carry?
The net debt of China Yurun Food Group Ltd is HK$419M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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