China Yurun Food Group (1068) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$144M
Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 5, 2026, revised from HK$0.0950 to HK$0.0902 (−5.0%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price +1.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 16% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0853). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.0853 to HK$0.0978), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0740 – HK$1.07 · fair‑value band HK$0.0853 – HK$0.0978 · the HK$0.0780 price screens below the HK$0.0902 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
Analysis
China Yurun Food Group (1068) currently trades at HK$0.0780, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0902, implying the stock looks roughly 15.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Yurun Food Group generated revenue of HK$446M at a net margin of -16.0%. Revenue declined 57.8% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$419M. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0853 (bear case) to HK$0.0978 (bull case); at HK$0.0780, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 16%, 1068 screens cheaper than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Yurun Food Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the slaughtering, production, and sale of chilled and frozen meat, and processed meat products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Chilled and Frozen Meat; and Process Meat Products segments.
Full company description
China Yurun Food Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the slaughtering, production, and sale of chilled and frozen meat, and processed meat products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Chilled and Frozen Meat; and Process Meat Products segments. It offers chilled and frozen pork, and low temperature and high temperature meat products under the Haroulian brand. China Yurun Food Group Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Nanjing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Yurun Food Group reported revenue of HK$446M in FY2025 versus HK$8.4B in FY2021, a compound −52.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$71.2M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,507 | ₹362.37 | -76% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,646 | ₹1,870 | -67% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,062 | ₹327.27 | -69% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 7,550 IDR | 12,864 IDR | +70% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,219,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -17% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹352.60 | ₹144.77 | -59% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 61,600 VND | 52,858 VND | -14% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,665 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +62% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,630 IDR | 4,350 IDR | -6% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 389,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +36% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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