1258 (1258) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · Market cap HK$44.6B

1 1258 1258 · HK

PriceHK$11.25

Fair ValueHK$1.76

Upside-84.4%

Quality63/100

Evidence: Medium Range HK$1.32 – HK$2.20

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price −14.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$6.46 – HK$17.73 · fair‑value band HK$1.32 – HK$2.20 · the HK$11.25 price screens above the HK$1.76 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1258 (1258) currently trades at HK$11.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.76 — implying the stock looks roughly 84.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, 1258 generated revenue of HK$3.4B at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue declined 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$3.4B

Revenue growth (YoY) -7.6%

Net margin 11.8%

Return on equity 18.1%

Free cash flow HK$737M FY2025

P/E ratio 14.1

More key figures

Operating margin 13.9%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.0700

Dividend yield 0.4%

EPS growth (YoY) -21.4%

Net cash HK$1.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1258 reported revenue of HK$3.4B in FY2025 versus HK$4.1B in FY2021, a compound −4.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$404M in FY2025, compounding +3.2%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −4.1%/yr

FY21 HK$4.1B

FY22 HK$4.1B

FY23 HK$3.6B

FY24 HK$3.8B

FY25 HK$3.4B

Net income +3.2%/yr

FY21 HK$357M

FY22 HK$266M

FY23 HK$278M

FY24 HK$399M

FY25 HK$404M

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Similar stocks

6 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Southern Copper Corporation SCCO	$189.91	$79.36	-58%
Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX	$69.69	$19.89	-71%
Antofagasta plc ANFGF	$54.00	$23.43	-57%
First Quantum Minerals Ltd FQVLF	$30.61	$3.23	-89%
Lundin Mining Corporation LUMI	kr 265.10	kr 156.55	-41%
Jiangxi Copper Company 600362	¥54.86	¥35.21	-36%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1258 (1258) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.76 versus a price of HK$11.25 — about −84% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 1258?

Our model-based fair value for 1258 is HK$1.76 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$11.25.

What is the quality score of 1258?

1258 has a Quality Score of 63/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 1258 (1258)?

1258 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$3.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1258?

The net profit margin of 1258 is about 11.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 1258 pay a dividend?

1258 currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.36% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.